Lokomotiv vs Akhmat Prediction

Lokomotiv
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Akhmat
RZD Arena, Moscow·Kirill Levnikov, Russia 26/07/2026
LokomotivLokomotiv
1-1
Finished
AkhmatAkhmat

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.38
SignalHIGHModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+9.6%
Lokomotiv Rest
8 days
Akhmat Rest
15 days

Lokomotiv vs Akhmat: result, form and history

Lokomotiv and Akhmat drew 1-1 in the Premier League on 26 Jul 2026. Lokomotiv had gone in with the better form, having won 5 of their previous five against 2 for Akhmat.

Lokomotiv have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.66
X
31%4.07
2
16%4.96
Double Chance
1X
84%1.19
X2
47%2.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.75
No
49%1.96
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.65 + 0.99 = 2.64
Over 1.5
75%1.24
Over 2.5
47%1.80
Over 3.5
24%2.86
Under 1.5
25%3.79
Under 2.5
53%2.05
Under 3.5
76%1.38
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

8'Z. Bakaev
13'G. Nyamsi
53'Lucas Fasson
58'Lucas Fasson INM. Nenakhov out
59'L. Sadulaev ING. Kenzhebek out
68'Z. Bakaev INN. Saltykov out
68'S. Pinyaev INA. Kovalenko out
68'M. Samorodov INK. Shchetinin out
78'T. Ibishev INO. Ndong out
78'I. Silva INE. Maksuti out
82'V. Rakov ING. Dzhikiya out
82'A. Rudenko INV. Golubev out
83'E. Maksuti
88'A. Batrakov

Lineups

Lokomotiv
4-4-2Coach: Mikhail Galaktionov
Akhmat
4-2-3-1Coach: Stanislav Cherchesov
Avg rating6.67
Avg rating6.63
Anton MitryushkinC6.91A. Mitryushkin
Aleksandr Silyanov6.245A. Silyanov
Gerzino Nyamsi6.25G. Nyamsi
Evgeniy Morozov7.785E. Morozov
Lucas Fasson7.33L. Fasson
Zelimkhan Bakaev7.27Z. Bakaev
Aleksey Batrakov7.010A. Batrakov
Artem Karpukas6.393A. Karpukas
Sergey Pinyaev6.99S. Pinyaev
Aleksandr Rudenko6.519A. Rudenko
Vadim Rakov6.311V. Rakov
Giorgi Shelia6.088G. Shelia
Arsen Adamov7.095A. Adamov
Turpal-Ali Ibishev6.34T. Ibishev
Klisman Cake6.95K. Cake
Miroslav Bogosavac6.68M. Bogosavac
Ismael Silva6.611I. Silva
Júlio Romão7.318J. Romão
Maksim Samorodov6.520M. Samorodov
Egas Cacintura6.517E. Cacintura
Lechii SadulaevC6.37L. Sadulaev
Georgiy Melkadze6.777G. Melkadze

Lokomotiv Substitutes

24Maksim Nenakhov58'for Lucas Fasson6.9
17Nikita Saltykov68'for Z. Bakaev6.2
8Aleksandr Kovalenko68'for S. Pinyaev6.3
14Georgi Dzhikiya82'for V. Rakov6.5
63Vladislav Golubev82'for A. Rudenko6.3
22Ilya Lantratov
59Egor Pogostnov
32Lucas Vera
75Ilya Eremeev
74Daniil Chevardin
88Mikhail Shchetinin
99Ruslan Myalkovskiy

Akhmat Substitutes

23Galymzhan Kenzhebek59'for L. Sadulaev6.3
10Kirill Shchetinin68'for M. Samorodov6.3
90Ousmane N’Dong78'for T. Ibishev6.9
76Erald Maksuti78'for I. Silva83'7.3
1Vadim Ulyanov
71Rasul Mitsaev
81Maksim Sidorov
42Manuel Keliano
70Abakar Gadzhiev
97Aleksey Kasadzhikov

Match Stats

LokomotivAkhmat
47%Ball Possession53%
2Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards0
16Total Shots21
2Shots on Goal8
8Shots off Goal9
9Shots Inside Box11
7Shots Outside Box10
6Blocked Shots4
20Fouls9
2Offsides0
7Goalkeeper Saves1
392Total Passes426
308Passes Accurate334
79%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

LokomotivLokomotiv
AkhmatAkhmat
1529Elo Rating 1494
1.72Attack 0.56
0.98Defense 1.86
14%Hit Rate 0%
8.4Shots per Game 12.6
3.7Shots on Target 3.5
4.0Corners per Game 5.2
2.4Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

LokomotivLokomotiv
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
AkhmatAkhmat
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

LokomotivLokomotiv6Wins · 60%
Draws330%
AkhmatAkhmat1Wins · 10%
3.0Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League09/03/2026
LokomotivAkhmat
22
Premier League13/09/2025
AkhmatLokomotiv
11
Cup15/04/2025
LokomotivAkhmat
21
Premier League07/03/2025
LokomotivAkhmat
11
Premier League04/08/2024
AkhmatLokomotiv
05
Premier League07/04/2024
Akhmat GroznyLokomotiv Moscow
02
Premier League11/11/2023
Lokomotiv MoscowAkhmat Grozny
21
Premier League11/03/2023
Akhmat GroznyLokomotiv Moscow
01
Premier League04/09/2022
Lokomotiv MoscowAkhmat Grozny
12
Premier League19/03/2022
Akhmat GroznyLokomotiv Moscow
23

Recent Form

LokomotivLokomotiv
6W2D2L
18/07/2026
LokomotivRubin
31
W
14/07/2026
LokomotivCSKA Moscow
10
W
11/07/2026
LokomotivSpartak Moscow
20
W
11/07/2026
LokomotivAkron
30
W
03/07/2026
LokomotivSpartak Kostroma
20
W
27/06/2026
LokomotivRodina Moskva
00
D
17/05/2026
CSKA MoscowLokomotiv
31
L
10/05/2026
LokomotivBaltika
10
W
01/05/2026
LokomotivDynamo
11
D
25/04/2026
Krylia SovetovLokomotiv
20
L
AkhmatAkhmat
3W5D2L
11/07/2026
IMT Novi BeogradAkhmat
01
W
04/07/2026
Novi PazarAkhmat
11
D
29/06/2026
AkhmatBorac Banja Luka
31
W
17/05/2026
FC SochiAkhmat
11
D
10/05/2026
AkhmatDinamo Makhachkala
11
D
03/05/2026
AkhmatNizhny Novgorod
20
W
26/04/2026
ZenitAkhmat
20
L
23/04/2026
AkhmatBaltika
11
D
19/04/2026
Spartak MoscowAkhmat
31
L
11/04/2026
Krylia SovetovAkhmat
22
D

Referee Profile

Kirill Levnikov142 matches

5.30Cards per match
4.98Yellow cards per match
0.32Red cards per match
22.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Kirill Levnikov5.30
Other referees4.81

5.30 cards a match, 0.49 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.81).

Cards come from 129 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1DynamoDynamo1391321:12+928WLWWW
2ZenitZenit1290327:13+1427WWWWW
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1375121:12+926DWLWW
4FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1365221:16+523LDDLD
5Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1272321:10+1123LWDWW
6FC RostovFC Rostov1353516:17-118WWDWL
7BaltikaBaltika1345417:14+317WDDDL
8FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1338214:12+217DWDWD
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1236317:17015WLDDW
10RubinRubin1336413:18-515WLLLD
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1341816:26-1013LLDLL
12Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1333715:28-1312WWDLD
13AkronAkron1326516:23-712LWDLW
14LokomotivLokomotiv1225516:16011LDWDL
15AkhmatAkhmat1325615:19-411LLLDL
16FakelFakel131398:21-136LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1DynamoDynamo1321:1228
2ZenitZenit1227:1327
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1321:1226
4FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1321:1623
5Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1221:1023
6FC RostovFC Rostov1316:1718
7BaltikaBaltika1317:1417
8FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1314:1217
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1217:1715
10RubinRubin1313:1815
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1316:2613
12Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1315:2812
13AkronAkron1316:2312
14LokomotivLokomotiv1216:1611
15AkhmatAkhmat1315:1911
16FakelFakel138:216
Relegation

About the Lokomotiv vs Akhmat forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lokomotiv and Akhmat in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Lokomotiv (14th) and Akhmat (15th) are level on 11 points. League goal record so far: Lokomotiv 16-16, Akhmat 15-19. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.