Fakel vs Dinamo Makhachkala Prediction

Premier LeagueRussia Russia · Regular Season - 1
Fakel
1-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Dinamo Makhachkala
Fakel Stadium, Voronezh·Igor Kaplenkov, Russia 25/07/2026
FakelFakel
1-2
Finished
Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.53
SignalGOODModel31%SurpriseHighGap+10.7%
Fakel Rest
10 days
Dinamo Makhachkala Rest
9 days

Fakel vs Dinamo Makhachkala: the result in context

Dinamo Makhachkala beat Fakel 2-1 in the Premier League on 25 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Fakel tend to win more corners, 4.5 a game to 2.1 for Dinamo Makhachkala.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
33%2.63
X
34%2.92
2
33%3.10
Double Chance
1X
67%1.38
X2
67%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.12
No
49%1.64
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 1.25 = 2.58
Over 1.5
71%1.53
Over 2.5
41%2.74
Over 3.5
21%5.10
Under 1.5
29%2.46
Under 2.5
59%1.48
Under 3.5
79%1.14
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4.4 = 9.2
Over 8.5
61%1.77
Over 9.5
47%2.25
Over 10.5
35%3.05
Under 8.5
39%1.94
Under 9.5
53%1.54
Under 10.5
65%1.29
Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

21'V. Yakimov
30'Y. ZhuravlevOG
42'M. Apshatsev
65'M. Apshatsev INA. Dzhabrailov out
65'G. Agalarov IND. Lesovoy out
68'V. Yakimov INA. Kovalev out
74'A. Gnapi Dable INM. Turishchev out
74'I. Alshin INN. Giorgobiani out
79'A. Sandrachuk
84'D. Todorovic INM. Uridia out
84'B. Magomedov INA. Bagamaev out
88'N. Glushkov INM. Hosseinnejad out
90+3'Miro INK. Zinovich out

Lineups

Fakel
5-3-2Coach: Oleg Vasilenko
Dinamo Makhachkala
5-3-2Coach: Vadim Evseev
Avg rating6.54
Avg rating6.90
D. Frolkin6.21D. Frolkin
D. Todorović6.255D. Todorović
A. Gabaraev6.25A. Gabaraev
I. Yurganov7.320I. Yurganov
Y. Zhuravlev6.544Y. Zhuravlev
I. AlshinC7.210I. Alshin
B. Magomedov6.297B. Magomedov
R. Netfullin6.952R. Netfullin
V. Yakimov6.923V. Yakimov
B. Pusi5.919B. Pusi
T. Magomedov6.939T. Magomedov
A. Sandrachuk7.272A. Sandrachuk
S. Kagermazov8.313S. Kagermazov
M. AlibekovC7.099M. Alibekov
T. Sundukov6.777T. Sundukov
H. Mrezigue6.716H. Mrezigue
M. Apshatsev6.96M. Apshatsev
N. Glushkov6.247N. Glushkov
G. Agalarov6.325G. Agalarov
Miro7.011Miro

Fakel Substitutes

8A. Bagamaev84'for B. Magomedov
93M. Uridia84'for D. Todorovic
53M. Bardachev
25A. Belyaev
99N. Giorgobiani74'for I. Alshin6.7
17A. Kovalev68'for V. Yakimov6.2
96I. Obukhov
11A. Sutormin
7M. Turishchev74'replaced by A. Gnapi Dable6.7

Dinamo Makhachkala Substitutes

19K. Zinovich90+3'for Miro
1D. Volk
9R. Magomedov
88D. Lesovoy65'for G. Agalarov6.9
8V. Khubulov
10M. Hosseinnezhad88'for N. Glushkov
21Abdulpasha Dzhabrailov65'for M. Apshatsev6.6
22M. Azzi
43I. Akhmedov

Match Stats

FakelDinamo Makhachkala
57%Ball Possession43%
8Corner Kicks2
0Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots11
3Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal5
5Shots Inside Box8
7Shots Outside Box3
6Blocked Shots2
16Fouls10
1Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves2
521Total Passes401
431Passes Accurate300
83%Pass Accuracy75%

Team Comparison

FakelFakel
Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
1458Elo Rating 1451
0.72Attack 0.36
1.87Defense 0.91
36%Hit Rate 0%
10.5Shots per Game 8.7
3.0Shots on Target 2.6
4.5Corners per Game 2.1
2.7Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

FakelFakel
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

FakelFakel0Wins · 0%
Draws2100%
Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala0Wins · 0%
1.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

Premier League01/12/2024
Dinamo MakhachkalaFakel
00
Premier League06/10/2024
FakelDinamo Makhachkala
11

Recent Form

FakelFakel
3W4D3L
15/07/2026
FC RostovFakel
21
L
11/07/2026
AkronFakel
11
D
07/07/2026
FakelFC Rostov
31
W
16/05/2026
Volga UlyanovskFakel
03
W
08/05/2026
FakelSka-khabarovsk
00
D
03/05/2026
FakelEnisey
20
W
27/04/2026
Torpedo MoskvaFakel
22
D
22/04/2026
FakelShinnik Yaroslavl
22
D
18/04/2026
ChaykaFakel
20
L
13/04/2026
FakelRodina Moskva
13
L
Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
4W3D3L
16/07/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo St. Petersburg
31
W
13/07/2026
ZenitDinamo Makhachkala
11
D
07/07/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaGimnasia L.P.
13
L
04/07/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaLeningradets
30
W
01/07/2026
ZenitDinamo Makhachkala
20
L
23/05/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaUral
20
W
20/05/2026
UralDinamo Makhachkala
01
W
17/05/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaSpartak Moscow
00
D
10/05/2026
AkhmatDinamo Makhachkala
11
D
02/05/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaFC Rostov
12
L

Referee Profile

Igor Kaplenkov3 matches analysed

3.79Cards per match
3.60Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 9% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1DynamoDynamo1391321:12+928WLWWW
2ZenitZenit1290327:13+1427WWWWW
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1375121:12+926DWLWW
4FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1365221:16+523LDDLD
5Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1272321:10+1123LWDWW
6FC RostovFC Rostov1353516:17-118WWDWL
7BaltikaBaltika1345417:14+317WDDDL
8FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1338214:12+217DWDWD
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1236317:17015WLDDW
10RubinRubin1336413:18-515WLLLD
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1341816:26-1013LLDLL
12Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1333715:28-1312WWDLD
13AkronAkron1326516:23-712LWDLW
14LokomotivLokomotiv1225516:16011LDWDL
15AkhmatAkhmat1325615:19-411LLLDL
16FakelFakel131398:21-136LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1DynamoDynamo1321:1228
2ZenitZenit1227:1327
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1321:1226
4FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1321:1623
5Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1221:1023
6FC RostovFC Rostov1316:1718
7BaltikaBaltika1317:1417
8FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1314:1217
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1217:1715
10RubinRubin1313:1815
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1316:2613
12Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1315:2812
13AkronAkron1316:2312
14LokomotivLokomotiv1216:1611
15AkhmatAkhmat1315:1911
16FakelFakel138:216
Relegation

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About the Fakel vs Dinamo Makhachkala forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Fakel and Dinamo Makhachkala in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Dinamo Makhachkala are 11th and Fakel 16th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Fakel 8-21, Dinamo Makhachkala 16-26. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Fakel and Dinamo Makhachkala have met only 2 times recently, averaging 1.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.