Akhmat vs Spartak Moscow Prediction

Akhmat
1-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Spartak Moscow
Akhmat-Arena, Grozny·Anton Frolov, Russia 02/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.35
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+8.8%
Akhmat Rest
7 days
Spartak Moscow Rest
7 days

Akhmat vs Spartak Moscow: result, form and history

Spartak Moscow beat Akhmat 2-1 in the Premier League on 2 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.6 goals a game across 10 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
23%3.92
X
29%3.57
2
48%1.96
Double Chance
1X
52%1.92
X2
77%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.68
No
45%2.06
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.15 + 1.49 = 2.64
Over 1.5
72%1.25
Over 2.5
46%1.85
Over 3.5
24%2.95
Under 1.5
28%3.60
Under 2.5
54%2.00
Under 3.5
76%1.35
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 5.4 = 10.1
Over 8.5
62%1.49
Over 9.5
50%1.83
Over 10.5
41%2.29
Under 8.5
38%2.44
Under 9.5
50%1.89
Under 10.5
59%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.1 = 4.6
Over 3.5
62%-
Over 4.5
44%2.12
Under 3.5
38%-
Under 4.5
56%1.62

Match Events

5'E. Cacintura(Penalty)
39'C. WoohAssist: Marquinhos
42'A. Maksimenko
61'M. Samorodov INK. Shchetinin out
62'I. Silva INM. Keliano out
66'C. Martins INM. Ugalde out
76'E. Cacintura
79'S. Babic IND. Prutsev out
79'D. Denisov INI. Dmitriev out
83'G. Melkadze INE. Maksuti out
86'
90+1'E. Barco
90+3'R. Zobnin INV. Parada out
90+7'O. Ndong

Lineups

Akhmat
5-4-1Coach: Stanislav Cherchesov
Spartak Moscow
4-2-3-1Coach: Carlos Carcedo Juan
Avg rating6.39
Avg rating6.65
Giorgi SheliaC5.988G. Shelia
Arsen Adamov6.595A. Adamov
Turpal-Ali Ibishev6.24T. Ibishev
Ousmane N’Dong6.290O. N’Dong
Klisman Cake6.35K. Cake
Miroslav Bogosavac6.38M. Bogosavac
Maksim Samorodov6.620M. Samorodov
Ismael Silva6.511I. Silva
Júlio Romão6.718J. Romão
Egas Cacintura6.517E. Cacintura
Georgiy Melkadze6.977G. Melkadze
Aleksandr Maksimenko7.098A. Maksimenko
Daniil Denisov5.997D. Denisov
Christopher Wooh7.53C. Wooh
Srđan Babić6.66S. Babić
Roman ZobninC5.947R. Zobnin
Ruslan Litvinov6.968R. Litvinov
Nail Umyarov6.318N. Umyarov
Pablo Solari7.07P. Solari
Ezequiel Barco7.65E. Barco
Marquinhos6.610Marquinhos
Christopher Martins6.335C. Martins

Akhmat Substitutes

1Vadim Ulyanov
71Rasul Mitsaev
81Maksim Sidorov
7Lechii Sadulaev
10Kirill Shchetinin61'for M. Samorodov6.2
6Kalidou Sidibé
23Galymzhan Kenzhebek
42Manuel Keliano62'for I. Silva6.3
97Aleksey Kasadzhikov
76Erald Maksuti83'for G. Melkadze6.3
70Abakar Gadzhiev

Spartak Moscow Substitutes

1Ilya Pomazun
56Alexander Dovbnya
33Victor Parada90+3'for R. Zobnin
4Alexander Djiku
82Daniil Khlusevich
83Gedson Fernandes
25Danyl Prutsev79'for S. Babic6.3
17Vladislav Saus
27Igor Dmitriev79'for D. Denisov6.3
9Manfred Ugalde66'for C. Martins6.9
11Levi García
24Nikita Massalyga

Match Stats

AkhmatSpartak Moscow
27%Ball Possession73%
1Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
4Total Shots11
3Shots on Goal4
1Shots off Goal5
1Shots Inside Box6
3Shots Outside Box5
1Blocked Shots2
12Fouls15
2Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves2
213Total Passes582
133Passes Accurate504
62%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

AkhmatAkhmat
Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
1494Elo Rating 1700
0.56Attack 1.85
1.86Defense 2.07
0%Hit Rate 63%
12.6Shots per Game 15.9
3.5Shots on Target 7.2
5.2Corners per Game 4.7
1.8Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AkhmatAkhmat
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AkhmatAkhmat1Wins · 10%
Draws550%
Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow4Wins · 40%
1.6Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League19/04/2026
Spartak MoscowAkhmat
31
Premier League09/11/2025
AkhmatSpartak Moscow
12
Premier League30/03/2025
AkhmatSpartak Moscow
00
Premier League11/08/2024
Spartak MoscowAkhmat
00
Premier League03/12/2023
Akhmat GroznySpartak Moscow
21
Premier League26/08/2023
Spartak MoscowAkhmat Grozny
00
Premier League01/04/2023
Spartak MoscowAkhmat Grozny
00
Premier League16/07/2022
Akhmat GroznySpartak Moscow
11
Premier League04/12/2021
Spartak MoscowAkhmat Grozny
21
Premier League03/10/2021
Akhmat GroznySpartak Moscow
01

Recent Form

AkhmatAkhmat
3W5D2L
26/07/2026
LokomotivAkhmat
11
D
11/07/2026
IMT Novi BeogradAkhmat
01
W
04/07/2026
Novi PazarAkhmat
11
D
29/06/2026
AkhmatBorac Banja Luka
31
W
17/05/2026
FC SochiAkhmat
11
D
10/05/2026
AkhmatDinamo Makhachkala
11
D
03/05/2026
AkhmatNizhny Novgorod
20
W
26/04/2026
ZenitAkhmat
20
L
23/04/2026
AkhmatBaltika
11
D
19/04/2026
Spartak MoscowAkhmat
31
L
Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
6W2D2L
25/07/2026
Spartak MoscowRodina Moskva
30
W
18/07/2026
ZenitSpartak Moscow
4121
L
11/07/2026
LokomotivSpartak Moscow
20
L
08/07/2026
Spartak MoscowRubin
00
D
04/07/2026
Spartak MoscowKrylia Sovetov
32
W
02/07/2026
Spartak MoscowSpartak Kostroma
10
W
24/05/2026
Spartak MoscowFC Krasnodar
4131
W
17/05/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaSpartak Moscow
00
D
11/05/2026
Spartak MoscowRubin
21
W
06/05/2026
Spartak MoscowCSKA Moscow
10
W

Referee Profile

Anton Frolov88 matches

4.45Cards per match
4.05Yellow cards per match
0.41Red cards per match
23.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Anton Frolov4.45
Other referees4.86

4.45 cards a match, 0.41 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.86).

Cards come from 22 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1DynamoDynamo1391321:12+928WLWWW
2ZenitZenit1290327:13+1427WWWWW
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1375121:12+926DWLWW
4Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1382325:10+1526WLWDW
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1365221:16+523LDDLD
6FC RostovFC Rostov1353516:17-118WWDWL
7BaltikaBaltika1345417:14+317WDDDL
8FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1338214:12+217DWDWD
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1236317:17015WLDDW
10RubinRubin1336413:18-515WLLLD
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1341816:26-1013LLDLL
12Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1333715:28-1312WWDLD
13AkronAkron1326516:23-712LWDLW
14LokomotivLokomotiv1325616:20-411LLDWD
15AkhmatAkhmat1325615:19-411LLLDL
16FakelFakel131398:21-136LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1DynamoDynamo1321:1228
2ZenitZenit1227:1327
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1321:1226
4Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1325:1026
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1321:1623
6FC RostovFC Rostov1316:1718
7BaltikaBaltika1317:1417
8FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1314:1217
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1217:1715
10RubinRubin1313:1815
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1316:2613
12Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1315:2812
13AkronAkron1316:2312
14LokomotivLokomotiv1316:2011
15AkhmatAkhmat1315:1911
16FakelFakel138:216
Relegation

About the Akhmat vs Spartak Moscow forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Akhmat and Spartak Moscow in the Premier League table

The table shows a wide gap: Spartak Moscow are 4th in the Premier League, while Akhmat sit 15th, 15 points behind. League goal record so far: Akhmat 15-19, Spartak Moscow 25-10. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.