Baltika vs Zenit Prediction

Baltika
2-3
Finished
HT 1-2
Zenit
Rostec Arena, Kaliningrad 16/09/2026
BaltikaBaltika
2-3
Finished
ZenitZenit

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.74
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+5.5%
Baltika Rest
4 days
Zenit Rest
4 days

Baltika vs Zenit: the result in context

Zenit beat Baltika 3-2 in the Premier League on 16 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Zenit had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Baltika.

Zenit have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 9 previous meetings, which averaged 1.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
18%4.41
X
30%3.50
2
52%1.90
Double Chance
1X
48%1.95
X2
82%1.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%2.04
No
50%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.09 + 1.39 = 2.48
Over 1.5
74%1.40
Over 2.5
46%2.36
Over 3.5
24%4.15
Under 1.5
26%2.65
Under 2.5
54%1.62
Under 3.5
76%1.18
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 5.1 = 9.6
Over 8.5
63%1.74
Over 9.5
52%2.20
Over 10.5
42%2.91
Under 8.5
37%2.01
Under 9.5
48%1.61
Under 10.5
58%1.33
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.2 = 4.7
Over 3.5
69%-
Over 4.5
50%-
Under 3.5
31%-
Under 4.5
50%-

Match Events

9'Maksim GlushenkovAssist: Artem Karpukas
16'Aleksandr SobolevAssist: Pedro Henrique Silva dos Santos
22'Brayan GilAssist: Konstantin Shiltsov
45'Maksim Petrov INVladislav Pospelov out
45'Aymane Mourid INIvan Belikov out
49'Luiz HenriqueAssist: Aleksandr Sobolev
53'Ivan BelikovFoul
63'Mingiyan Beveev INMikhail Ryadno out
63'Brayan Gil INEgor Golenkov out
67'Artem Karpukas INNuraly Alip out
67'Maksim Glushenkov INRoman Vega out
70'Sergey VaratynovFoul
74'Gustavo Mantuan INVyacheslav Karavaev out
77'Konstantin Shiltsov INIlya Petrov out
81'Ilya Petrov
86' Pedro Henrique Silva dos Santos INDaniil Kondakov out
86'Aleksandr Sobolev INFelipe Augusto out

Lineups

Baltika
5-4-1Coach: A. Talalaev
Zenit
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Semak
Avg rating6.24
Avg rating6.69
E. Latyshonok6.71E. Latyshonok
M. Shnaptsev5.219M. Shnaptsev
S. Varatynov5.82S. Varatynov
L. Mouyokolo6.524L. Mouyokolo
N. Gassama6.44N. Gassama
M. Beveev5.722M. Beveev
M. Petrov6.473M. Petrov
A. Mendel6.08A. Mendel
A. Mourid6.05A. Mourid
K. Shiltsov6.87K. Shiltsov
B. Gil7.691B. Gil
D. Adamov5.816D. Adamov
Gustavo Mantuan6.531G. Mantuan
I. Diveev6.378I. Diveev
K. Andrade6.725K. Andrade
Douglas Santos6.73D. Santos
W. Barrios7.05W. Barrios
A. Karpukas7.693A. Karpukas
M. Glushenkov6.910M. Glushenkov
Pedro Henrique6.620P. Henrique
Luiz Henrique7.711L. Henrique
A. Sobolev8.57A. Sobolev

Baltika Substitutes

69E. Golenkov63'for Brayan Gil6.3
26I. Belikov45'for Aymane Mourid53'5.6
3I. Kirsch
81I. Kukushkin
44E. Lyubakov
9C. Offor
10I. Petrov77'for Konstantin Shiltsov81'6.8
11I. Porokhov
42V. Pospelov45'for Maksim Petrov5.9
68M. Ryadno63'for Mingiyan Beveev6.1
77E. Ćivić

Zenit Substitutes

9Felipe Augusto86'for Aleksandr Sobolev6.4
82S. Volkov
66R. Vega67'for Maksim Glushenkov6.2
51V. Shilov
71D. Odoevskiy
38Amir Musaev
57B. Moskvichev
61D. Kondakov86'for Pedro Henrique Silva dos Santos6.0
15V. Karavaev74'for Gustavo Mantuan6.1
21A. Erokhin
28N. Alip67'for Artem Karpukas6.2
14Jhon Jhon

Match Stats

BaltikaZenit
41%Ball Possession59%
9Corner Kicks8
2Yellow Cards1
8Total Shots11
4Shots on Goal8
4Shots off Goal2
7Shots Inside Box5
1Shots Outside Box6
0Blocked Shots1
16Fouls7
0Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves2
325Total Passes499
233Passes Accurate401
5Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

BaltikaBaltika
ZenitZenit
1579Elo Rating 1768
0.94Attack 2.63
2.31Defense 1.37
19%Hit Rate 100%
10.2Shots per Game 14.3
2.8Shots on Target 6.0
5.5Corners per Game 7.0
2.3Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

BaltikaBaltika
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
ZenitZenit
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.9 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

BaltikaBaltika1Wins · 11%
Draws111%
ZenitZenit7Wins · 78%
1.4Avg Goals
22%Both teams scored2 of 9
22%3+ goals2 of 9

Previous meetings

Cup05/08/2026
ZenitBaltika
10
Cup03/03/2026
BaltikaZenit
01
Premier League27/02/2026
ZenitBaltika
10
Premier League14/09/2025
BaltikaZenit
00
Cup02/06/2024
BaltikaZenit
12
Premier League07/04/2024
Zenit Saint PetersburgBaltika
10
Premier League04/11/2023
BaltikaZenit Saint Petersburg
02
Cup03/10/2023
Zenit Saint PetersburgBaltika
21
Cup30/08/2023
BaltikaZenit Saint Petersburg
10

Recent Form

BaltikaBaltika
3W3D4L
12/09/2026
FakelBaltika
22
D
06/09/2026
BaltikaLokomotiv
01
L
02/09/2026
BaltikaKrylia Sovetov
3050
L
30/08/2026
Rodina MoskvaBaltika
03
W
24/08/2026
BaltikaRubin
11
D
20/08/2026
BaltikaDinamo Makhachkala
11
D
16/08/2026
BaltikaSpartak Moscow
12
L
08/08/2026
Krylia SovetovBaltika
02
W
05/08/2026
ZenitBaltika
10
L
01/08/2026
BaltikaDynamo
21
W

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ZenitZenit1290327:13+1427WWWWW
2DynamoDynamo1281319:12+725LWWWW
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1274121:12+925WLWWD
4FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1265120:14+623DDLDD
5Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1272321:10+1123LWDWW
6FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1237214:12+216WDWDL
7FC RostovFC Rostov1243513:17-415WDWLL
8Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1236317:17015WLDDW
9BaltikaBaltika1235415:13+214DDDLD
10Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1241716:23-713LDLLL
11RubinRubin1226412:18-612LLLDD
12AkronAkron1226415:21-612WDLWD
13LokomotivLokomotiv1225516:16011LDWDL
14AkhmatAkhmat1225515:17-211LLDLW
15Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1223713:27-149WDLDL
16FakelFakel121388:20-126LWLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1ZenitZenit1227:1327
2DynamoDynamo1219:1225
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1221:1225
4FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1220:1423
5Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1221:1023
6FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1214:1216
7FC RostovFC Rostov1213:1715
8Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1217:1715
9BaltikaBaltika1215:1314
10Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1216:2313
11RubinRubin1212:1812
12AkronAkron1215:2112
13LokomotivLokomotiv1216:1611
14AkhmatAkhmat1215:1711
15Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1213:279
16FakelFakel128:206
Relegation

About the Baltika vs Zenit forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Baltika and Zenit in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Zenit are 1st and Baltika 9th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Baltika 15-13, Zenit 27-13. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.