Zenit vs Lokomotiv Prediction

Zenit
2-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Lokomotiv
Gazprom Arena, Saint Petersburg 12/09/2026
ZenitZenit
2-1
Finished
LokomotivLokomotiv

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.40
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap-1.5%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.40
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+3.4%
Zenit Rest
6 days
Lokomotiv Rest
5 days

Zenit vs Lokomotiv: the result in context

Zenit beat Lokomotiv 2-1 in the Premier League on 12 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Zenit had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Lokomotiv.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them. Zenit tend to win more corners, 7.1 a game to 4.0 for Lokomotiv.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
74%1.40
X
17%5.05
2
9%7.55
Double Chance
1X
91%1.09
X2
26%2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%1.87
No
62%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.14 + 0.67 = 2.81
Over 1.5
79%1.17
Over 2.5
56%1.65
Over 3.5
33%2.51
Under 1.5
21%4.42
Under 2.5
44%2.28
Under 3.5
67%1.47
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.6 + 2.7 = 9.3
Over 8.5
54%1.56
Over 9.5
40%1.97
Over 10.5
33%2.51
Under 8.5
46%2.25
Under 9.5
60%1.78
Under 10.5
67%1.45
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.3 = 4.1
Over 3.5
58%-
Over 4.5
38%-
Under 3.5
42%-
Under 4.5
62%-

Match Events

18'Aleksandr RudenkoAssist: Sergey Babkin
47'Kevin Andrade
65'Kevin Andrade INVyacheslav Karavaev out
65'Artem Karpukas IN Pedro Henrique Silva dos Santos out
70'Luiz HenriqueAssist: Pedro Henrique Silva dos Santos
72'Zelimkhan Bakaev INSergey Pinyaev out
76'Evgeniy MorozovFoul
76'Nuraly AlipFoul
80'Jhon Jhon INDaniil Kondakov out
80'Maksim Glushenkov INDouglas Santos out
80'Lucas Fasson INVadim Rakov out
83'Nikolay Titkov INAndrey Mostovoy out
89'Aleksandr Sobolev INFelipe Augusto out
90+3'Andrey MostovoyFoul

Lineups

Zenit
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Semak
Lokomotiv
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Galaktionov
Avg rating6.78
Avg rating6.46
D. Adamov6.616D. Adamov
K. Andrade7.825K. Andrade
I. Diveev7.078I. Diveev
N. Alip6.628N. Alip
R. Vega6.866R. Vega
W. Barrios6.45W. Barrios
A. Karpukas6.793A. Karpukas
Luiz Henrique8.211L. Henrique
M. Glushenkov6.510M. Glushenkov
Jhon Jhon6.514J. Jhon
A. Sobolev6.47A. Sobolev
A. Mitryushkin5.81A. Mitryushkin
M. Nenakhov6.424M. Nenakhov
E. Morozov6.585E. Morozov
A. Siljanov6.545A. Siljanov
Lucas Fasson7.03L. Fasson
S. Babkin7.56S. Babkin
I. Eremeev6.675I. Eremeev
Z. Bakaev6.17Z. Bakaev
N. Titkov5.918N. Titkov
A. Rudenko7.719A. Rudenko
N. Komlichenko6.327N. Komlichenko

Zenit Substitutes

57B. Moskvichev
33Nino
38Amir Musaev
71D. Odoevskiy
20Pedro Henrique65'for Artem Karpukas6.9
82S. Volkov
9Felipe Augusto89'for Aleksandr Sobolev7.0
3Douglas Santos80'for Maksim Glushenkov6.3
61D. Kondakov80'for Jhon Jhon6.3
15V. Karavaev65'for Kevin Andrade6.2
21A. Erokhin

Lokomotiv Substitutes

74D. Chevardin
47D. Godyaev
63V. Golubev
8A. Kovalenko
22I. Lantratov
77A. Mostovoy83'for Nikolay Titkov90+3'5.8
9S. Pinyaev72'for Zelimkhan Bakaev6.2
59E. Pogostnov
11V. Rakov80'for Lucas Fasson6.3
88M. Shchetinin
16D. Veselov
60Gleb Belotelov

Match Stats

ZenitLokomotiv
61%Ball Possession39%
5Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards2
18Total Shots13
4Shots on Goal4
10Shots off Goal5
14Shots Inside Box7
4Shots Outside Box6
4Blocked Shots4
9Fouls24
3Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves2
522Total Passes333
444Passes Accurate258
24Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

ZenitZenit
LokomotivLokomotiv
1781Elo Rating 1529
2.61Attack 1.72
1.62Defense 0.98
100%Hit Rate 14%
13.6Shots per Game 8.4
6.3Shots on Target 3.7
7.1Corners per Game 4.0
2.1Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+252 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.8 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ZenitZenit
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LokomotivLokomotiv
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

ZenitZenit4Wins · 40%
Draws440%
LokomotivLokomotiv2Wins · 20%
2.7Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League22/04/2026
LokomotivZenit
00
Premier League01/11/2025
ZenitLokomotiv
20
Premier League05/04/2025
LokomotivZenit
11
Premier League27/10/2024
ZenitLokomotiv
11
Premier League03/12/2023
Lokomotiv MoscowZenit Saint Petersburg
31
Premier League24/09/2023
Zenit Saint PetersburgLokomotiv Moscow
12
Premier League09/04/2023
Lokomotiv MoscowZenit Saint Petersburg
12
Premier League30/07/2022
Zenit Saint PetersburgLokomotiv Moscow
50
Premier League30/04/2022
Zenit Saint PetersburgLokomotiv Moscow
31
Premier League15/08/2021
Lokomotiv MoscowZenit Saint Petersburg
11

Recent Form

ZenitZenit
7W0D3L
05/09/2026
ZenitCSKA Moscow
12
L
02/09/2026
ZenitDinamo Makhachkala
30
W
29/08/2026
FakelZenit
01
W
23/08/2026
Spartak MoscowZenit
20
L
19/08/2026
Krylia SovetovZenit
3050
W
16/08/2026
ZenitDynamo
30
W
09/08/2026
ZenitRodina Moskva
12
L
05/08/2026
ZenitBaltika
10
W
02/08/2026
FC OrenburgZenit
03
W
25/07/2026
AkronZenit
05
W
LokomotivLokomotiv
1W3D6L
06/09/2026
BaltikaLokomotiv
01
W
01/09/2026
AkronLokomotiv
5040
L
29/08/2026
LokomotivDynamo
01
L
22/08/2026
CSKA MoscowLokomotiv
32
L
18/08/2026
FC RostovLokomotiv
10
L
14/08/2026
FC OrenburgLokomotiv
11
D
08/08/2026
LokomotivAkron
00
D
04/08/2026
LokomotivCSKA Moscow
4151
L
01/08/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaLokomotiv
21
L
26/07/2026
LokomotivAkhmat
11
D

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1DynamoDynamo1391321:12+928WLWWW
2ZenitZenit1290327:13+1427WWWWW
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1375121:12+926DWLWW
4FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1365221:16+523LDDLD
5Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1272321:10+1123LWDWW
6FC RostovFC Rostov1353516:17-118WWDWL
7BaltikaBaltika1345417:14+317WDDDL
8FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1338214:12+217DWDWD
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1236317:17015WLDDW
10RubinRubin1336413:18-515WLLLD
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1341816:26-1013LLDLL
12Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1333715:28-1312WWDLD
13AkronAkron1326516:23-712LWDLW
14LokomotivLokomotiv1225516:16011LDWDL
15AkhmatAkhmat1325615:19-411LLLDL
16FakelFakel131398:21-136LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1DynamoDynamo1321:1228
2ZenitZenit1227:1327
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1321:1226
4FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1321:1623
5Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1221:1023
6FC RostovFC Rostov1316:1718
7BaltikaBaltika1317:1417
8FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1314:1217
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1217:1715
10RubinRubin1313:1815
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1316:2613
12Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1315:2812
13AkronAkron1316:2312
14LokomotivLokomotiv1216:1611
15AkhmatAkhmat1315:1911
16FakelFakel138:216
Relegation

About the Zenit vs Lokomotiv forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Zenit and Lokomotiv in the Premier League table

The table shows a wide gap: Zenit are 2nd in the Premier League, while Lokomotiv sit 14th, 16 points behind. League goal record so far: Zenit 27-13, Lokomotiv 16-16. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.