FC Orenburg vs Dinamo Makhachkala Prediction

Gazovik Stadium, Rostoshi·Stanislav Matveev 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.37
SignalSOLIDModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-5.3%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.61
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+5.2%
FC Orenburg Rest
6 days
Dinamo Makhachkala Rest
22 days

FC Orenburg vs Dinamo Makhachkala: result, form and history

FC Orenburg beat Dinamo Makhachkala 4-0 in the Premier League on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. FC Orenburg tend to win more corners, 5.2 a game to 2.1 for Dinamo Makhachkala.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.36
X
29%3.34
2
31%3.20
Double Chance
1X
69%1.37
X2
60%1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.79
No
45%1.93
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.3 + 1.21 = 2.51
Over 1.5
72%1.31
Over 2.5
48%2.10
Over 3.5
27%3.44
Under 1.5
28%3.05
Under 2.5
52%1.77
Under 3.5
73%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 4.5 = 9.1
Over 8.5
53%1.53
Over 9.5
41%1.94
Over 10.5
32%2.42
Under 8.5
47%2.28
Under 9.5
59%1.77
Under 10.5
68%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.4 = 4.6
Over 3.5
67%-
Over 4.5
48%-
Under 3.5
33%-
Under 4.5
52%-

Match Events

17'Gedeon GuzinaAssist: Jordhy Thompson
39'Jhon Alex PalaciosAssist: Ruslan Kul
45'Ilyas Akhmedov INAndres Alarcon out
45'Marat Apshatsev INValdemiro Pinto Domingos out
53'Gedeon GuzinaAssist: Damian Puebla
54'Nikita KarabashevDissent
66'Penalty confirmedGedeon Guzina
69'Jordhy Thompson(Penalty)
70'Jordhy Thompson INAnton Lukashov out
70'Dmitriy Rybchinskiy INAndrey Kasadzhikov out
74'Houssem Mrezigue INDmitriy Aleksandrov out
74'Gamid Agalarov INKirill Zinovich out
78'Aleksey Tataev INDanila Khotulev out
78'Damian Puebla INRenat Golybin out
78'Daniil Lesovoy INVladimir Khubulov out
81'Gedeon Guzina INEgor Nazarenko out

Lineups

FC Orenburg
4-2-3-1Coach: I. Akhmetzyanov
Dinamo Makhachkala
5-3-2Coach: V. Evseev
Avg rating7.19
Avg rating5.89
B. Ovsyannikov7.81B. Ovsyannikov
M. Sivis6.424M. Sivis
J. Palacios8.36J. Palacios
A. Tataev6.95A. Tataev
E. Tsenov7.326E. Tsenov
R. Kul7.078R. Kul
E. Bolotov6.257E. Bolotov
J. Thompson7.710J. Thompson
D. Puebla7.78D. Puebla
D. Rybchinskiy6.520D. Rybchinskiy
G. Guzina8.830G. Guzina
N. Karabashev6.133N. Karabashev
M. Makhamadjonov5.623M. Makhamadjonov
I. Akhmedov5.643I. Akhmedov
M. Alibekov5.799M. Alibekov
D. Lesovoy5.088D. Lesovoy
T. Sundukov5.977T. Sundukov
N. Glushkov6.247N. Glushkov
M. Apshatsev5.46M. Apshatsev
D. Kuzyaev5.814D. Kuzyaev
H. Mrezigue6.516H. Mrezigue
G. Agalarov6.625G. Agalarov

FC Orenburg Substitutes

35A. Degtev
21Benjamín Bosch
27Renat Golybin78'for Damian Puebla6.9
77A. Kasadzhikov70'for Dmitriy Rybchinskiy6.8
38A. Kasimov
4D. Khotulev78'for Aleksey Tataev7.1
22A. Lukashov70'for Jordhy Thompson7.1
63O. Minatulaev
11E. Nazarenko81'for Gedeon Guzina6.8
2S. Poroykov
80M. Pykhcheev
3D. Vedernikov

Dinamo Makhachkala Substitutes

21Abdulpasha Dzhabrailov
10M. Hosseinnezhad
13S. Kagermazov
8V. Khubulov78'for Daniil Lesovoy6.0
9R. Magomedov
39T. Magomedov
11Miro45'for Marat Apshatsev6.1
28S. Serderov
1D. Volk
19K. Zinovich74'for Gamid Agalarov6.2
24A. Alarcón45'for Ilyas Akhmedov5.8
30D. Aleksandrov74'for Houssem Mrezigue5.9

Match Stats

FC OrenburgDinamo Makhachkala
38%Ball Possession62%
8Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards1
17Total Shots13
8Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal5
15Shots Inside Box9
2Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots4
17Fouls7
1Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves4
258Total Passes440
153Passes Accurate331
6Free Kicks17

Team Comparison

FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
1575Elo Rating 1451
2.38Attack 0.36
2.18Defense 0.91
81%Hit Rate 0%
10.5Shots per Game 8.7
4.6Shots on Target 2.6
5.2Corners per Game 2.1
4.2Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+124 Elo
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1Wins · 25%
Draws125%
Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala2Wins · 50%
2.3Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Premier League13/03/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaFC Orenburg
10
Premier League27/07/2025
FC OrenburgDinamo Makhachkala
11
Premier League19/04/2025
FC OrenburgDinamo Makhachkala
21
Premier League09/11/2024
Dinamo MakhachkalaFC Orenburg
21

Recent Form

FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
2W5D3L
03/10/2026
FC OrenburgTekstilshchik
32
W
03/10/2026
LokomotivFC Orenburg
20
L
17/09/2026
FC OrenburgFC Krasnodar
00
D
12/09/2026
DynamoFC Orenburg
10
L
06/09/2026
FC OrenburgAkron
22
D
02/09/2026
FC OrenburgRubin
2141
L
30/08/2026
Spartak MoscowFC Orenburg
11
D
22/08/2026
FakelFC Orenburg
00
D
18/08/2026
Rodina MoskvaFC Orenburg
14
W
14/08/2026
FC OrenburgLokomotiv
11
D
Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
2W1D7L
17/09/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaCSKA Moscow
13
L
13/09/2026
AkhmatDinamo Makhachkala
32
L
06/09/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaRodina Moskva
20
W
02/09/2026
ZenitDinamo Makhachkala
30
L
30/08/2026
RubinDinamo Makhachkala
31
L
23/08/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaFC Krasnodar
01
L
20/08/2026
BaltikaDinamo Makhachkala
11
D
16/08/2026
Krylia SovetovDinamo Makhachkala
14
W
09/08/2026
DynamoDinamo Makhachkala
31
L
04/08/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaKrylia Sovetov
12
L

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ZenitZenit13100330:13+1730WWWWW
2DynamoDynamo1391321:12+928WLWWW
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1375121:12+926DWLWW
4Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1382325:10+1526WLWDW
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1365221:16+523LDDLD
6FC RostovFC Rostov1353516:17-118WWDWL
7BaltikaBaltika1345417:14+317WDDDL
8FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1338214:12+217DWDWD
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1336417:20-315LWLDD
10RubinRubin1336413:18-515WLLLD
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1341816:26-1013LLDLL
12Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1333715:28-1312WWDLD
13AkronAkron1326516:23-712LWDLW
14LokomotivLokomotiv1325616:20-411LLDWD
15AkhmatAkhmat1325615:19-411LLLDL
16FakelFakel131398:21-136LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ZenitZenit1330:1330
2DynamoDynamo1321:1228
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1321:1226
4Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1325:1026
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1321:1623
6FC RostovFC Rostov1316:1718
7BaltikaBaltika1317:1417
8FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1314:1217
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1317:2015
10RubinRubin1313:1815
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1316:2613
12Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1315:2812
13AkronAkron1316:2312
14LokomotivLokomotiv1316:2011
15AkhmatAkhmat1315:1911
16FakelFakel138:216
Relegation

About the FC Orenburg vs Dinamo Makhachkala forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Orenburg and Dinamo Makhachkala in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, FC Orenburg are 8th and Dinamo Makhachkala 11th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Orenburg 14-12, Dinamo Makhachkala 16-26. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

FC Orenburg have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.