Dinamo Makhachkala vs Rodina Moskva Prediction

Anzhi Arena, Kaspijsk 06/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.23
SignalHIGHModel50%SurpriseMediumGap-1.3%
Dinamo Makhachkala Rest
3 days
Rodina Moskva Rest
3 days

Dinamo Makhachkala vs Rodina Moskva: the result in context

Dinamo Makhachkala beat Rodina Moskva 2-0 in the Premier League on 6 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 4 previous meetings produced 1.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.83
X
26%3.78
2
21%4.16
Double Chance
1X
79%1.23
X2
47%2.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%1.83
No
63%1.87
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.46 + 0.86 = 2.32
Over 1.5
37%1.30
Over 2.5
22%2.01
Over 3.5
18%3.38
Under 1.5
63%3.25
Under 2.5
78%1.85
Under 3.5
82%1.27
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 3.9 = 9.4
Over 8.5
53%1.56
Over 9.5
40%1.95
Over 10.5
31%2.46
Under 8.5
47%2.28
Under 9.5
60%1.78
Under 10.5
69%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2 = 4
Over 3.5
56%-
Over 4.5
37%-
Under 3.5
44%-
Under 4.5
63%-

Match Events

7'Card upgrade confirmedGerman Onugkha
8'German OnugkhaSerious foul
15'Iker PozoFoul
22'Artem MeshchaninovFoul
38'Aleksandr Sandrachuk INMakhmud Makhamadzhonov out
38'Egor Smelov INGamid Agalarov out
51'Gamid AgalarovAssist: Marat Apshatsev
57'Yordy Reyna INAndrey Egorychev out
57'Iker Pozo INLeon Musaev out
57'Soltmurad Bakaev INArtem Sokol out
64'Houssem MrezigueAssist: Daniil Lesovoy
65'Juan Díaz QuintaDissent
75'Mickael Nade INMitja Krizan out
80'Artem Maksimenko INBrian Mansilla out
86'Valdemiro Pinto Domingos INMohammadjavad Hosseinnejad out
89'Daniil Lesovoy INVladimir Khubulov out
89'Marat Apshatsev INDmitriy Aleksandrov out

Lineups

Dinamo Makhachkala
4-2-3-1Coach: V. Evseev
Rodina Moskva
4-2-3-1Coach: Juan Díaz
Avg rating7.25
Avg rating6.20
T. Magomedov6.739T. Magomedov
A. Sandrachuk7.072A. Sandrachuk
A. Alarcón7.624A. Alarcón
M. Alibekov7.299M. Alibekov
T. Sundukov7.877T. Sundukov
M. Apshatsev7.76M. Apshatsev
E. Smelov6.852E. Smelov
N. Glushkov7.247N. Glushkov
H. Mrezigue8.216H. Mrezigue
D. Lesovoy7.788D. Lesovoy
Miro6.411Miro
S. Volkov6.613S. Volkov
S. Bessmertny6.480S. Bessmertny
A. Meshchaninov6.026A. Meshchaninov
M. Nadé6.775M. Nadé
L. Goglichidze6.33L. Goglichidze
Iker Pozo5.98I. Pozo
R. Fishchenko5.86R. Fishchenko
S. Bakaev6.417S. Bakaev
Y. Reyna6.210Y. Reyna
A. Maksimenko5.99A. Maksimenko
G. Onugkha5.57G. Onugkha

Dinamo Makhachkala Substitutes

43I. Akhmedov
25G. Agalarov38'for Egor Smelov51'8.0
21Abdulpasha Dzhabrailov
10M. Hosseinnezhad86'for Valdemiro Pinto Domingos6.8
13S. Kagermazov
33N. Karabashev
8V. Khubulov89'for Daniil Lesovoy6.5
9R. Magomedov
23M. Makhamadjonov38'for Aleksandr Sandrachuk7.4
1D. Volk
19K. Zinovich
30D. Aleksandrov89'for Marat Apshatsev7.1

Rodina Moskva Substitutes

23K. Ushatov
99I. Timoshenko
88A. Sokol57'for Soltmurad Bakaev6.5
38L. Musaev57'for Iker Pozo6.0
11B. Mansilla80'for Artem Maksimenko6.3
55M. Križan75'for Mickael Nade6.8
72A. Gordyushenko
77A. Gharibyan
5A. Egorychev57'for Yordy Reyna6.1
49I. Dyatlov
18M. Abdusalamov
1S. Aydarov

Match Stats

Dinamo MakhachkalaRodina Moskva
70%Ball Possession30%
7Corner Kicks3
0Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
28Total Shots4
9Shots on Goal0
12Shots off Goal3
15Shots Inside Box3
13Shots Outside Box1
7Blocked Shots1
14Fouls12
1Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves7
474Total Passes201
419Passes Accurate136
88%Pass Accuracy68%

Team Comparison

Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva
1451Elo Rating 1462
0.36Attack 1.22
0.91Defense 0.99
0%Hit Rate 23%
8.7Shots per Game 9.5
2.6Shots on Target 3.6
2.1Corners per Game 3.2
2.3Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1Wins · 25%
Draws250%
Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1Wins · 25%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 4
0%3+ goals0 of 4

Previous meetings

First League18/05/2024
Dinamo MakhachkalaRodina Moskva
20
First League23/10/2023
Rodina MoskvaDinamo Makhachkala
00
First League15/04/2023
Rodina MoskvaDinamo Makhachkala
20
First League25/09/2022
Dinamo MakhachkalaRodina Moskva
00

Recent Form

Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
4W1D5L
02/09/2026
ZenitDinamo Makhachkala
30
L
30/08/2026
RubinDinamo Makhachkala
31
L
23/08/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaFC Krasnodar
01
L
20/08/2026
BaltikaDinamo Makhachkala
11
D
16/08/2026
Krylia SovetovDinamo Makhachkala
14
W
09/08/2026
DynamoDinamo Makhachkala
31
L
04/08/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaKrylia Sovetov
12
L
01/08/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaLokomotiv
21
W
25/07/2026
FakelDinamo Makhachkala
12
W
16/07/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo St. Petersburg
31
W
Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva
2W1D7L
02/09/2026
Spartak MoscowRodina Moskva
31
L
30/08/2026
Rodina MoskvaBaltika
03
L
23/08/2026
DynamoRodina Moskva
31
L
18/08/2026
Rodina MoskvaFC Orenburg
14
L
15/08/2026
Rodina MoskvaAkron
33
D
09/08/2026
ZenitRodina Moskva
12
W
04/08/2026
Rodina MoskvaRubin
50
W
31/07/2026
Rodina MoskvaFC Rostov
24
L
25/07/2026
Spartak MoscowRodina Moskva
30
L
02/07/2026
Rodina MoskvaAkron
05
L

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ZenitZenit13100330:13+1730WWWWW
2DynamoDynamo1391321:12+928WLWWW
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1375121:12+926DWLWW
4Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1382325:10+1526WLWDW
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1365221:16+523LDDLD
6FC RostovFC Rostov1353516:17-118WWDWL
7BaltikaBaltika1345417:14+317WDDDL
8FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1338214:12+217DWDWD
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1336417:20-315LWLDD
10RubinRubin1336413:18-515WLLLD
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1341816:26-1013LLDLL
12Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1333715:28-1312WWDLD
13AkronAkron1326516:23-712LWDLW
14LokomotivLokomotiv1325616:20-411LLDWD
15AkhmatAkhmat1325615:19-411LLLDL
16FakelFakel131398:21-136LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ZenitZenit1330:1330
2DynamoDynamo1321:1228
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1321:1226
4Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1325:1026
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1321:1623
6FC RostovFC Rostov1316:1718
7BaltikaBaltika1317:1417
8FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1314:1217
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1317:2015
10RubinRubin1313:1815
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1316:2613
12Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1315:2812
13AkronAkron1316:2312
14LokomotivLokomotiv1316:2011
15AkhmatAkhmat1315:1911
16FakelFakel138:216
Relegation

About the Dinamo Makhachkala vs Rodina Moskva forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Dinamo Makhachkala and Rodina Moskva in the Premier League table

Dinamo Makhachkala and Rodina Moskva are close in the Premier League table, 11th and 12th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Dinamo Makhachkala 16-26, Rodina Moskva 15-28. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.