Krylia Sovetov vs Fakel Prediction

Premier LeagueRussia Russia · Regular Season - 11
Krylia Sovetov
1-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Fakel
Solidarnost Samara Arena, Samara·Igor Kaplenkov 17/10/2026
Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov
1-2
Finished
FakelFakel

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.27
SignalGOODModel49%SurpriseMediumGap-5.9%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.60
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+2.5%
Krylia Sovetov Rest
2 days
Fakel Rest
3 days

Krylia Sovetov vs Fakel: the result in context

Fakel beat Krylia Sovetov 2-1 in the Premier League on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Krylia Sovetov have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%1.99
X
28%3.48
2
25%3.98
Double Chance
1X
75%1.27
X2
53%1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.84
No
43%1.87
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.54 + 1.16 = 2.70
Over 1.5
74%1.31
Over 2.5
50%2.07
Over 3.5
29%3.44
Under 1.5
26%3.05
Under 2.5
50%1.81
Under 3.5
71%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4 = 10
Over 8.5
65%1.60
Over 9.5
53%1.99
Over 10.5
41%2.59
Under 8.5
35%2.19
Under 9.5
47%1.73
Under 10.5
59%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.5 = 4.6
Over 3.5
67%-
Over 4.5
48%-
Under 3.5
33%-
Under 4.5
52%-

Match Events

17'Clayton Sampaio PereiraAssist: Ilnur Alshin
25'Martin KramaričAssist: Kirill Pechenin
45'Vyacheslav Yakimov INRavil Netfullin out
45+2'Vyacheslav YakimovFoul
47'Albert GabaraevFoul
60'Martin Kramarič INVitaliy Shitov out
60'Amar Rahmanović INIlzat Akhmetov out
62'Maksim VityugovFoul
67'Matvey BardachevAssist: Ilnur Alshin
69'Belajdi Pusi INMaksim Turishchev out
69'Aleksandr Koksharov INAxel Gnapi out
74'Maksim Vityugov INMihajlo Banjac out
85'Sergey BozhinFoul
86'Nikolay Rasskazov INDominik Oroz out
86'Kirill Pechenin INKirill Stolbov out
87'Darko Todorovic INAnton Kovalev out
90+4'Ilnur AlshinFoul

Lineups

Krylia Sovetov
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Bulatov
Fakel
5-3-2Coach: Aleksey Rebko
Avg rating6.49
Avg rating6.64
N. Kokarev6.780N. Kokarev
N. Rasskazov5.715N. Rasskazov
N. Chernov6.823N. Chernov
S. Bozhin6.347S. Bozhin
K. Pechenin6.72K. Pechenin
Fernando Costanza7.022F. Costanza
Y. Gorshkov6.84Y. Gorshkov
N. Saltykov6.214N. Saltykov
M. Vityugov6.58M. Vityugov
M. Kramarič7.310M. Kramarič
A. Rahmanović7.111A. Rahmanović
I. Obukhov6.996I. Obukhov
D. Todorović6.255D. Todorović
A. Gabaraev6.75A. Gabaraev
Clayton7.440Clayton
M. Bardachev7.053M. Bardachev
I. Alshin7.210I. Alshin
A. Sutormin6.311A. Sutormin
V. Yakimov6.723V. Yakimov
A. Bagamaev6.68A. Bagamaev
B. Pusi6.419B. Pusi
A. Koksharov6.890A. Koksharov

Krylia Sovetov Substitutes

39E. Frolov
72Dani Fernández
77D. Makarov
26J. Marín
18I. Lepskiy
3T. Galdames
5D. Oroz86'for Nikolay Rasskazov6.1
97I. Akhmetov60'for Amar Rahmanović6.0
7M. Banjac74'for Maksim Vityugov6.2
17I. Chesnokov
73V. Shitov60'for Martin Kramarič6.6
20K. Stolbov86'for Kirill Pechenin6.0

Fakel Substitutes

35V. Dorovskikh
44Y. Zhuravlev
22H. El Mahasni
9A. Gnapi Dable69'for Aleksandr Koksharov6.5
17A. Kovalev87'for Darko Todorovic6.3
97B. Magomedov
52R. Netfullin45'for Vyacheslav Yakimov6.5
18K. Simonov
7M. Turishchev69'for Belajdi Pusi6.1
1D. Frolkin

Match Stats

Krylia SovetovFakel
64%Ball Possession36%
6Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards3
21Total Shots12
6Shots on Goal4
10Shots off Goal3
14Shots Inside Box8
7Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots5
7Fouls17
2Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves4
526Total Passes303
444Passes Accurate222
16Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov
FakelFakel
1544Elo Rating 1458
1.33Attack 0.72
2.14Defense 1.87
50%Hit Rate 36%
13.4Shots per Game 10.5
4.8Shots on Target 3.0
5.6Corners per Game 4.5
1.8Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
FakelFakel
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov6Wins · 60%
Draws330%
FakelFakel1Wins · 10%
2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League24/05/2025
FakelKrylia Sovetov
11
Premier League11/08/2024
Krylia SovetovFakel
20
Premier League25/04/2024
Fakel VoronezhKrylya Sovetov
01
Premier League02/09/2023
Krylya SovetovFakel Voronezh
30
Premier League28/05/2023
Fakel VoronezhKrylya Sovetov
21
Cup27/11/2022
Krylya SovetovFakel Voronezh
10
Cup29/09/2022
Fakel VoronezhKrylya Sovetov
01
Premier League19/08/2022
Krylya SovetovFakel Voronezh
11
First League17/04/2021
Krylya SovetovFakel Voronezh
51
First League24/10/2020
Fakel VoronezhKrylya Sovetov
11

Recent Form

Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov
3W4D3L
14/10/2026
Krylia SovetovBaltika
02
L
10/10/2026
Krylia SovetovSpartak Moscow
11
D16/09/2026
LokomotivKrylia Sovetov
11
D11/09/2026
Krylia SovetovRodina Moskva
21
W05/09/2026
Krylia SovetovFC Krasnodar
22
D
02/09/2026
BaltikaKrylia Sovetov
3050
W
29/08/2026
AkhmatKrylia Sovetov
33
D23/08/2026
AkronKrylia Sovetov
03
W
19/08/2026
Krylia SovetovZenit
3050
L
16/08/2026
Krylia SovetovDinamo Makhachkala
14
L
FakelFakel
2W2D6L
13/10/2026
FC KrasnodarFakel
02
W
10/10/2026
FakelLokomotiv
05
L
03/10/2026
FakelFC Vitebsk
10
W
16/09/2026
Spartak MoscowFakel
10
L12/09/2026
FakelBaltika
22
D
05/09/2026
FC RostovFakel
31
L
01/09/2026
FakelFC Krasnodar
3141
L
29/08/2026
FakelZenit
01
L
22/08/2026
FakelFC Orenburg
00
D
18/08/2026
AkhmatFakel
21
L

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ZenitZenit13100330:13+1730WWWWW
2DynamoDynamo1391321:12+928WLWWW
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1375121:12+926DWLWW
4Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1382325:10+1526WLWDW
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1365221:16+523LDDLD
6FC RostovFC Rostov1353516:17-118WWDWL
7BaltikaBaltika1345417:14+317WDDDL
8FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1338214:12+217DWDWD
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1336417:20-315LWLDD
10RubinRubin1336413:18-515WLLLD
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1341816:26-1013LLDLL
12Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1333715:28-1312WWDLD
13AkronAkron1326516:23-712LWDLW
14LokomotivLokomotiv1325616:20-411LLDWD
15AkhmatAkhmat1325615:19-411LLLDL
16FakelFakel131398:21-136LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ZenitZenit1330:1330
2DynamoDynamo1321:1228
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1321:1226
4Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1325:1026
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1321:1623
6FC RostovFC Rostov1316:1718
7BaltikaBaltika1317:1417
8FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1314:1217
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1317:2015
10RubinRubin1313:1815
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1316:2613
12Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1315:2812
13AkronAkron1316:2312
14LokomotivLokomotiv1316:2011
15AkhmatAkhmat1315:1911
16FakelFakel138:216
Relegation

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About the Krylia Sovetov vs Fakel forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Krylia Sovetov and Fakel in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Krylia Sovetov are 9th and Fakel 16th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Krylia Sovetov 17-20, Fakel 8-21. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.