Dynamo vs CSKA Moscow Prediction

Dynamo
3-1
Finished
HT 1-1
CSKA Moscow
VTB Arena, Moscow·Andrey Prokopov 18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.1 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.17
SignalHIGHModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-7.3%
Dynamo Rest
3 days
CSKA Moscow Rest
3 days

Dynamo vs CSKA Moscow: result, form and history

Dynamo beat CSKA Moscow 3-1 in the Premier League on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.7 goals, and both sides scored in 9 of them. Referee Andrey Prokopov averages 5.20 cards a game, 0.68 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.11
X
26%3.75
2
29%3.32
Double Chance
1X
71%1.36
X2
55%1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.55
No
45%2.31
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.46 + 1.11 = 2.57
Over 1.5
78%1.17
Over 2.5
55%1.70
Over 3.5
34%2.55
Under 1.5
22%4.25
Under 2.5
45%2.21
Under 3.5
66%1.43
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.3 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.65
Over 9.5
51%2.06
Over 10.5
40%2.70
Under 8.5
37%2.12
Under 9.5
49%1.68
Under 10.5
60%1.38
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.8 = 5.1
Over 3.5
75%-
Over 4.5
58%-
Under 3.5
25%-
Under 4.5
42%-

Match Events

27'Luciano GondouFoul
31'Konstantin TyukavinAssist: Yaroslav Gladyshev
34'Card upgrade confirmedAndrey Lunev
43'Ivan Oblyakov(Penalty)
45'Daniil FominFoul
67'Kirill Glebov INMatheus Alves out
68'Arthur Gomes INMaximiliano Gutierrez out
69'Dmitriy Skopintsev INMaksim Osipenko out
69'Luciano Gondou INMaksim Voronov out
76'Yaroslav Gladyshev INViktor Okishor out
80'Ivan Oleynikov INImran Firov out
81'Konstantin Tyukavin INIvan Sergeev out
88'Roberto FernandezAssist: Bitello
90'Roberto FernandezFoul
90+2'Viktor OkishorAssist: Ivan Sergeev
90+4'Danil GlebovFoul

Lineups

Dynamo
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Schwarz
CSKA Moscow
5-3-2Coach: Dmitriy Igdisamov
Avg rating6.83
Avg rating6.15
A. Lunev6.699A. Lunev
N. Marichal7.02N. Marichal
R. Fernández7.36R. Fernández
David Ricardo7.557D. Ricardo
D. Skopintsev6.27D. Skopintsev
D. Fomin6.274D. Fomin
D. Glebov6.115D. Glebov
Y. Gladyshev7.291Y. Gladyshev
Bitello7.310Bitello
Arthur Gomes6.411A. Gomes
K. Tyukavin7.970K. Tyukavin
V. Torop5.649V. Torop
M. Azzi6.321M. Azzi
João Victor6.54J. Victor
M. Zea6.179M. Zea
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov6.223D. Abdulkadyrov
D. Krugovoy5.73D. Krugovoy
I. Oblyakov6.910I. Oblyakov
M. Kislyak6.431M. Kislyak
I. Oleynikov5.919I. Oleynikov
K. Glebov6.417K. Glebov
L. Gondou5.932L. Gondou

Dynamo Substitutes

77J. Casimir
28M. Gutiérrez68'for Arthur Gomes6.5
31I. Leshchuk
60T. Marinkin
21A. Miranchuk
88V. Okishor76'for Yaroslav Gladyshev90+2'7.1
55M. Osipenko69'for Dmitriy Skopintsev6.4
1K. Rasulov
33I. Sergeev81'for Konstantin Tyukavin6.8
56L. Zaydenzal

CSKA Moscow Substitutes

39M. Borisko
20Matija Popovic
11T. Musaev
2Matheus Reis
7Matheus Alves67'for Kirill Glebov5.8
90M. Lukin
18D. Kozlov
37Henrique
62I. Firov80'for Ivan Oleynikov6.3
61P. Filyushin
99Nikolay Barovskiy
97Maksim Voronov69'replaced by Luciano Gondou

Match Stats

DynamoCSKA Moscow
51%Ball Possession49%
5Corner Kicks1
3Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots12
5Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal4
9Shots Inside Box8
4Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots3
15Fouls12
3Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves2
479Total Passes470
383Passes Accurate366
12Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

DynamoDynamo
CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
1685Elo Rating 1670
1.56Attack 2.55
1.41Defense 2.15
50%Hit Rate 81%
12.8Shots per Game 14.5
4.4Shots on Target 6.0
6.4Corners per Game 5.0
1.6Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend90% in H2H
🔥Derby Match

Game State Tendencies

DynamoDynamo
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (2 vs 0.6 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

DynamoDynamo5Wins · 50%
Draws110%
CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow4Wins · 40%
3.7Avg Goals
90%Both teams scored9 of 10
90%3+ goals9 of 10

Previous meetings

Friendlies Clubs18/07/2026
DynamoCSKA Moscow
52
Premier League08/03/2026
CSKA MoscowDynamo
14
Premier League17/08/2025
DynamoCSKA Moscow
13
Cup16/04/2025
DynamoCSKA Moscow
00
Premier League06/04/2025
CSKA MoscowDynamo
31
Cup12/03/2025
CSKA MoscowDynamo
21
Premier League06/10/2024
DynamoCSKA Moscow
12
Premier League25/11/2023
CSKA MoscowDinamo Moscow
23
Premier League19/08/2023
Dinamo MoscowCSKA Moscow
21
Premier League13/11/2022
Dinamo MoscowCSKA Moscow
21

Recent Form

DynamoDynamo
9W0D1L
14/10/2026
AkhmatDynamo
12
W
11/10/2026
RubinDynamo
01
W
04/10/2026
DynamoRodina Moskva
32
W
17/09/2026
FC RostovDynamo
03
W
12/09/2026
DynamoFC Orenburg
10
W
06/09/2026
DynamoSpartak Moscow
21
W
03/09/2026
DynamoAkhmat
30
W
29/08/2026
LokomotivDynamo
01
W
23/08/2026
DynamoRodina Moskva
31
W
19/08/2026
DynamoFC Krasnodar
01
L
CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
6W2D2L
14/10/2026
CSKA MoscowFC Rostov
40
W
11/10/2026
CSKA MoscowRodina Moskva
30
W
04/10/2026
CSKA MoscowArsenal Tula
31
W
17/09/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaCSKA Moscow
13
W
12/09/2026
CSKA MoscowRubin
11
D
05/09/2026
ZenitCSKA Moscow
12
W
01/09/2026
FC RostovCSKA Moscow
20
L
28/08/2026
AkronCSKA Moscow
22
D
22/08/2026
CSKA MoscowLokomotiv
32
W
18/08/2026
CSKA MoscowAkron
01
L

Referee Profile

Andrey Prokopov32 matches

5.20Cards per match
5.07Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
26.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Andrey Prokopov5.20
Other referees4.52

5.20 cards a match, 0.68 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.52).

Cards come from 15 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ZenitZenit1290327:13+1427WWWWW
2DynamoDynamo1281319:12+725LWWWW
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1274121:12+925WLWWD
4FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1265120:14+623DDLDD
5Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1272321:10+1123LWDWW
6FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1237214:12+216WDWDL
7FC RostovFC Rostov1243513:17-415WDWLL
8Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1236317:17015WLDDW
9BaltikaBaltika1235415:13+214DDDLD
10Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1241716:23-713LDLLL
11RubinRubin1226412:18-612LLLDD
12AkronAkron1226415:21-612WDLWD
13LokomotivLokomotiv1225516:16011LDWDL
14AkhmatAkhmat1225515:17-211LLDLW
15Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1223713:27-149WDLDL
16FakelFakel121388:20-126LWLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1ZenitZenit1227:1327
2DynamoDynamo1219:1225
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1221:1225
4FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1220:1423
5Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1221:1023
6FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1214:1216
7FC RostovFC Rostov1213:1715
8Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1217:1715
9BaltikaBaltika1215:1314
10Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1216:2313
11RubinRubin1212:1812
12AkronAkron1215:2112
13LokomotivLokomotiv1216:1611
14AkhmatAkhmat1215:1711
15Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1213:279
16FakelFakel128:206
Relegation

About the Dynamo vs CSKA Moscow forecast

As a derby, this Premier League meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Dynamo and CSKA Moscow in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Dynamo (2nd) and CSKA Moscow (3rd) are level on 25 points. League goal record so far: Dynamo 19-12, CSKA Moscow 21-12. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

CSKA Moscow have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.