Spartak Moscow vs Rubin Prediction

Spartak Moscow
4-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Rubin
Lukoil Arena, Moscow·Anton Frolov 18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.42
SignalGOODModel75%SurpriseMediumGap+0.6%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.42
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Spartak Moscow Rest
2 days
Rubin Rest
3 days

Spartak Moscow vs Rubin: result, form and history

Spartak Moscow beat Rubin 4-0 in the Premier League on 18 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Spartak Moscow had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Rubin.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
69%1.42
X
20%4.75
2
11%7.94
Double Chance
1X
89%1.09
X2
31%2.99
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%2.04
No
45%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.02 + 0.83 = 2.85
Over 1.5
77%1.22
Over 2.5
54%1.85
Over 3.5
32%2.90
Under 1.5
23%3.66
Under 2.5
46%2.03
Under 3.5
68%1.34
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.5 + 3.9 = 10.3
Over 8.5
68%1.47
Over 9.5
57%1.81
Over 10.5
46%2.28
Under 8.5
32%2.44
Under 9.5
43%1.89
Under 10.5
54%1.54
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.9 = 4.7
Over 3.5
69%-
Over 4.5
50%-
Under 3.5
31%-
Under 4.5
50%-

Match Events

4'Jakhongir UrozovFoul
5'Manfred UgaldeFoul
18'Pablo Solari
36'Victor ParadaFoul
43'Manfred UgaldeAssist: Ruslan Litvinov
45'Ulvi Babaev INNazmi Gripshi out
63'Victor Parada INIgor Dmitriev out
63'Marquinhos INDaniil Denisov out
64'Manfred Ugalde INMirlind Daku out
65'Mirlind DakuAssist: Pablo Solari
69'Jakhongir Urozov INEgor Teslenko out
69'Veldin Hodza INIgnacio Saavedra out
69'Jacques Siwe INRuslan Bezrukov out
74'Pablo Solari INNikita Massalyga out
79'Eddie Salcedo INDaniil Motorin out
83'Esequiel Barco INIvan Sorokin out
86'Ivan SorokinFoul
90'Mirlind Daku

Lineups

Spartak Moscow
4-1-4-1Coach: Carcedo
Rubin
5-4-1Coach: Franc Artiga
Avg rating7.28
Avg rating5.96
I. Pomazun6.81I. Pomazun
R. Zobnin7.347R. Zobnin
R. Litvinov8.168R. Litvinov
S. Babić7.56S. Babić
Víctor Parada6.033V. Parada
N. Umyarov6.818N. Umyarov
P. Solari9.07P. Solari
D. Prutsev7.225D. Prutsev
E. Barco7.25E. Barco
Marquinhos7.110Marquinhos
M. Ugalde8.09M. Ugalde
E. Staver6.738E. Staver
A. Arroyo5.912A. Arroyo
N. Lobov5.498N. Lobov
I. Vujačić5.85I. Vujačić
J. Urozov5.513J. Urozov
I. Rozhkov6.151I. Rozhkov
V. Hodža6.222V. Hodža
E. Salcedo6.010E. Salcedo
U. Iwu6.06U. Iwu
U. Babaev5.87U. Babaev
J. Siwe6.543J. Siwe

Spartak Moscow Substitutes

19M. Daku64'for Manfred Ugalde65'90'8.1
97D. Denisov63'for Marquinhos7.0
4A. Djiku
27I. Dmitriev63'for Victor Parada6.9
56A. Dovbnya
24Nikita Massalyga74'for Pablo Solari7.1
62P. Polekh
17V. Saus
40I. Sorokin83'for Esequiel Barco86'6.6
3C. Wooh
86Pavel Egorov

Rubin Substitutes

2E. Teslenko69'for Jakhongir Urozov5.7
14I. Saavedra69'for Veldin Hodza6.2
25A. Nigmatullin
59D. N. Motorin79'for Eddie Salcedo6.3
44D. Kuznetsov
86N. Korets
8B. Jočić
18M. Ignatjev
27A. Gritsaenko
23R. Bezrukov69'for Jacques Siwe5.6
11N. Gripshi45'for Ulvi Babaev5.9
89Matvey Ivanov

Match Stats

Spartak MoscowRubin
66%Ball Possession34%
8Corner Kicks1
3Yellow Cards1
22Total Shots9
10Shots on Goal1
8Shots off Goal3
19Shots Inside Box2
3Shots Outside Box7
4Blocked Shots5
20Fouls17
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves6
570Total Passes288
482Passes Accurate208
17Free Kicks20

Team Comparison

Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
RubinRubin
1700Elo Rating 1476
1.85Attack 0.17
2.07Defense 0.69
63%Hit Rate 0%
15.9Shots per Game 12.2
7.2Shots on Target 3.3
4.7Corners per Game 3.1
2.2Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+224 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.85 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
RubinRubin
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
RubinRubin2Wins · 20%
2.3Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Cup19/08/2026
RubinSpartak Moscow
5131
Friendlies Clubs08/07/2026
Spartak MoscowRubin
00
Premier League11/05/2026
Spartak MoscowRubin
21
Premier League23/08/2025
RubinSpartak Moscow
02
Premier League09/03/2025
RubinSpartak Moscow
21
Premier League31/08/2024
Spartak MoscowRubin
10
Premier League19/05/2024
Spartak MoscowRubin
31
Premier League05/08/2023
RubinSpartak Moscow
14
Premier League16/04/2022
Spartak MoscowRubin
11
Premier League24/07/2021
RubinSpartak Moscow
10

Recent Form

Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
6W2D2L
15/10/2026
Rodina MoskvaSpartak Moscow
24
W
10/10/2026
Krylia SovetovSpartak Moscow
11
D
16/09/2026
Spartak MoscowFakel
10
W
13/09/2026
Spartak MoscowFC Rostov
30
W
06/09/2026
DynamoSpartak Moscow
21
L
02/09/2026
Spartak MoscowRodina Moskva
31
W
30/08/2026
Spartak MoscowFC Orenburg
11
D
23/08/2026
Spartak MoscowZenit
20
W
19/08/2026
RubinSpartak Moscow
5131
L
16/08/2026
BaltikaSpartak Moscow
12
W
RubinRubin
3W5D2L
15/10/2026
RubinFC Orenburg
14
L
11/10/2026
RubinDynamo
01
L
16/09/2026
Rodina MoskvaRubin
11
D
12/09/2026
CSKA MoscowRubin
11
D
07/09/2026
RubinAkhmat
11
D
02/09/2026
FC OrenburgRubin
2141
W
30/08/2026
RubinDinamo Makhachkala
31
W
24/08/2026
BaltikaRubin
11
D
19/08/2026
RubinSpartak Moscow
5131
W
15/08/2026
FC RostovRubin
11
D

Referee Profile

Anton Frolov88 matches

4.45Cards per match
4.05Yellow cards per match
0.41Red cards per match
23.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Anton Frolov4.45
Other referees4.86

4.45 cards a match, 0.41 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.86).

Cards come from 22 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1DynamoDynamo1391321:12+928WLWWW
2ZenitZenit1290327:13+1427WWWWW
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1375121:12+926DWLWW
4Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1382325:10+1526WLWDW
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1365221:16+523LDDLD
6FC RostovFC Rostov1353516:17-118WWDWL
7BaltikaBaltika1345417:14+317WDDDL
8FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1338214:12+217DWDWD
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1236317:17015WLDDW
10RubinRubin1336413:18-515WLLLD
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1341816:26-1013LLDLL
12Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1333715:28-1312WWDLD
13AkronAkron1326516:23-712LWDLW
14LokomotivLokomotiv1325616:20-411LLDWD
15AkhmatAkhmat1325615:19-411LLLDL
16FakelFakel131398:21-136LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1DynamoDynamo1321:1228
2ZenitZenit1227:1327
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1321:1226
4Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1325:1026
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1321:1623
6FC RostovFC Rostov1316:1718
7BaltikaBaltika1317:1417
8FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1314:1217
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1217:1715
10RubinRubin1313:1815
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1316:2613
12Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1315:2812
13AkronAkron1316:2312
14LokomotivLokomotiv1316:2011
15AkhmatAkhmat1315:1911
16FakelFakel138:216
Relegation

About the Spartak Moscow vs Rubin forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Spartak Moscow and Rubin in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Spartak Moscow are 4th and Rubin 10th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Spartak Moscow 25-10, Rubin 13-18. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.