Zenit vs Akhmat Prediction

Zenit
3-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Akhmat
Gazprom Arena, Saint Petersburg·Rafael Shafeev 18/10/2026
ZenitZenit
3-2
Finished
AkhmatAkhmat

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel74%SurpriseMediumGap-4.6%
Value Analysis
74%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.37
SignalHIGHModel74%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Zenit Rest
3 days
Akhmat Rest
3 days

Zenit vs Akhmat: the result in context

Zenit beat Akhmat 3-2 in the Premier League on 18 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Zenit had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Akhmat.

Zenit have had the better of this fixture, winning 9 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
71%1.37
X
18%5.05
2
11%8.44
Double Chance
1X
89%1.07
X2
29%3.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.99
No
45%1.74
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.22 + 0.9 = 3.12
Over 1.5
80%1.18
Over 2.5
60%1.71
Over 3.5
37%2.62
Under 1.5
20%4.15
Under 2.5
40%2.21
Under 3.5
63%1.41
Corners
Projected Corners: 7 + 3.7 = 10.7
Over 8.5
72%1.48
Over 9.5
61%1.84
Over 10.5
50%2.34
Under 8.5
28%2.45
Under 9.5
39%1.90
Under 10.5
50%1.54
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.9 = 4.9
Over 3.5
71%-
Over 4.5
53%-
Under 3.5
29%-
Under 4.5
47%-

Match Events

13'Turpal-Ali IbishevFoul
22' Pedro Henrique Silva dos SantosFoul
25'Lechi SadulaevAssist: Egas Cacintura
30'Gustavo MantuanFoul
45' Pedro Henrique Silva dos Santos INJhon Jhon out
47'Arsen AdamovOG
57'Kirill Shchetinin INMaksim Samorodov out
62'Maksim GlushenkovAssist: Artem Karpukas
67'Georgiy Melkadze INMohamed Konate out
68'Turpal-Ali Ibishev INManuel Keliano out
71'Ismael SilvaFoul
72'Egas Cacintura INAleksey Kasadzhikov out
78'Aleksey KasadzhikovFoul
84' Marcilio Florencio Mota Filho INKevin Andrade out
86'Mohamed KonateAssist: Miroslav Bogosavac
90'Jhon Jhon
90+3'Maksim Glushenkov INRoman Vega out
90+3'Luiz Henrique INFelipe Augusto out
90+4'Denis AdamovTime wasting
90+5'Roman VegaFoul
90+6'Aleksandr SobolevDissent

Lineups

Zenit
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Semak
Akhmat
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Cherchesov
Avg rating6.47
Avg rating6.43
D. Adamov5.816D. Adamov
Gustavo Mantuan6.231G. Mantuan
Nino6.633Nino
N. Alip6.628N. Alip
Douglas Santos6.33D. Santos
W. Barrios6.65W. Barrios
A. Karpukas7.793A. Karpukas
Luiz Henrique6.011L. Henrique
M. Glushenkov7.410M. Glushenkov
Pedro Henrique5.720P. Henrique
A. Sobolev6.47A. Sobolev
V. Ulyanov5.61V. Ulyanov
A. Adamov5.495A. Adamov
K. Sidibé7.06K. Sidibé
K. Cake6.85K. Cake
M. Bogosavac6.88M. Bogosavac
T. Ibishev6.44T. Ibishev
Ismael Silva Lima6.111I. Silva Lima
L. Sadulaev7.57L. Sadulaev
Egas Cacintura6.617E. Cacintura
K. Shchetinin6.310K. Shchetinin
G. Melkadze5.777G. Melkadze

Zenit Substitutes

25K. Andrade84'for Marcilio Florencio Mota Filho6.2
21A. Erokhin
9Felipe Augusto90+3'for Luiz Henrique6.5
14Jhon Jhon45'for Pedro Henrique Silva dos Santos90'7.5
15V. Karavaev
61D. Kondakov
57B. Moskvichev
51V. Shilov
66R. Vega90+3'for Maksim Glushenkov90+5'5.7
82S. Volkov
96Maksim Zaytsev
38Amir Musaev

Akhmat Substitutes

20M. Samorodov57'for Kirill Shchetinin6.3
71R. Mitsaev
76E. Maksuti
13M. Konaté67'for Georgiy Melkadze86'7.9
42Manuel Keliano68'for Turpal-Ali Ibishev6.0
97A. Kasadzhikov72'for Egas Cacintura78'6.1
70A. Gadzhiev
81M. Sidorov
54Kirill Kistenev

Match Stats

ZenitAkhmat
57%Ball Possession43%
7Corner Kicks4
5Yellow Cards3
14Total Shots10
5Shots on Goal3
8Shots off Goal2
8Shots Inside Box6
6Shots Outside Box4
1Blocked Shots5
14Fouls13
2Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves3
462Total Passes351
389Passes Accurate272
13Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

ZenitZenit
AkhmatAkhmat
1781Elo Rating 1494
2.61Attack 0.56
1.62Defense 1.86
100%Hit Rate 0%
13.6Shots per Game 12.6
6.3Shots on Target 3.5
7.1Corners per Game 5.2
2.1Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+287 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.13 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

ZenitZenit
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AkhmatAkhmat
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

ZenitZenit9Wins · 90%
Draws00%
AkhmatAkhmat1Wins · 10%
3.0Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League26/04/2026
ZenitAkhmat
20
Cup17/09/2025
ZenitAkhmat
21
Premier League09/08/2025
AkhmatZenit
10
Cup30/07/2025
AkhmatZenit
12
Premier League24/05/2025
ZenitAkhmat
30
Cup27/11/2024
AkhmatZenit
12
Premier League10/11/2024
AkhmatZenit
12
Cup06/11/2024
ZenitAkhmat
30
Premier League19/05/2024
Akhmat GroznyZenit Saint Petersburg
15
Premier League28/10/2023
Zenit Saint PetersburgAkhmat Grozny
21

Recent Form

ZenitZenit
7W1D2L
14/10/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaZenit
12
W
10/10/2026
FC KrasnodarZenit
23
W
04/10/2026
ZenitBate Borisov
10
W
27/09/2026
Shanghai ShenhuaZenit
0000
D
16/09/2026
BaltikaZenit
23
W
12/09/2026
ZenitLokomotiv
21
W
05/09/2026
ZenitCSKA Moscow
12
L
02/09/2026
ZenitDinamo Makhachkala
30
W
29/08/2026
FakelZenit
01
W
23/08/2026
Spartak MoscowZenit
20
L
AkhmatAkhmat
3W3D4L
14/10/2026
AkhmatDynamo
12
L
11/10/2026
AkhmatBaltika
00
D
17/09/2026
AkronAkhmat
20
L
13/09/2026
AkhmatDinamo Makhachkala
32
W
07/09/2026
RubinAkhmat
11
D
03/09/2026
DynamoAkhmat
30
L
29/08/2026
AkhmatKrylia Sovetov
33
D
22/08/2026
AkhmatFC Rostov
41
W
18/08/2026
AkhmatFakel
21
W
15/08/2026
FC KrasnodarAkhmat
10
L

Referee Profile

Rafael Shafeev91 matches

4.49Cards per match
4.31Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
25.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Rafael Shafeev4.49
Other referees4.53

4.49 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.53).

Cards come from 49 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1DynamoDynamo1391321:12+928WLWWW
2ZenitZenit1290327:13+1427WWWWW
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1375121:12+926DWLWW
4Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1382325:10+1526WLWDW
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1365221:16+523LDDLD
6FC RostovFC Rostov1353516:17-118WWDWL
7BaltikaBaltika1345417:14+317WDDDL
8FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1338214:12+217DWDWD
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1236317:17015WLDDW
10RubinRubin1336413:18-515WLLLD
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1341816:26-1013LLDLL
12Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1333715:28-1312WWDLD
13AkronAkron1326516:23-712LWDLW
14LokomotivLokomotiv1325616:20-411LLDWD
15AkhmatAkhmat1325615:19-411LLLDL
16FakelFakel131398:21-136LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1DynamoDynamo1321:1228
2ZenitZenit1227:1327
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1321:1226
4Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1325:1026
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1321:1623
6FC RostovFC Rostov1316:1718
7BaltikaBaltika1317:1417
8FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1314:1217
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1217:1715
10RubinRubin1313:1815
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1316:2613
12Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1315:2812
13AkronAkron1316:2312
14LokomotivLokomotiv1316:2011
15AkhmatAkhmat1315:1911
16FakelFakel138:216
Relegation

About the Zenit vs Akhmat forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Zenit and Akhmat in the Premier League table

The table shows a wide gap: Zenit are 2nd in the Premier League, while Akhmat sit 15th, 16 points behind. League goal record so far: Zenit 27-13, Akhmat 15-19. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.