Krylia Sovetov vs Spartak Moscow Prediction

Premier LeagueRussia Russia · Regular Season - 10
Krylia Sovetov
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Spartak Moscow
Solidarnost Samara Arena, Samara·Nikita Novikov 10/10/2026
Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov
1-1
Finished
Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
54%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.71
SignalNEUTRALModel58%SurpriseMediumGap-4.1%
Krylia Sovetov Rest
23 days
Spartak Moscow Rest
23 days

Krylia Sovetov vs Spartak Moscow: the result in context

Krylia Sovetov and Spartak Moscow drew 1-1 in the Premier League on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Spartak Moscow have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.2 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
19%4.70
X
25%4.10
2
56%1.71
Double Chance
1X
44%2.20
X2
80%1.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.64
No
43%2.13
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.14 + 1.68 = 2.82
Over 1.5
79%1.17
Over 2.5
57%1.68
Over 3.5
35%2.59
Under 1.5
21%4.25
Under 2.5
43%2.24
Under 3.5
65%1.42
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.8 + 5.7 = 9.5
Over 8.5
61%1.53
Over 9.5
50%1.89
Over 10.5
38%2.41
Under 8.5
39%2.33
Under 9.5
50%1.81
Under 10.5
62%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 1.8 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%-
Over 4.5
40%-
Under 3.5
41%-
Under 4.5
60%-

Match Events

24'Aleksandr Maksimenko
26'Marquinhos INIlya Pomazun out
55'Amar RahmanovićFoul
60'Amar Rahmanović INDenis Makarov out
60'Nikita Saltykov INIlzat Akhmetov out
60'Maksim Vityugov INVitaliy Shitov out
65'Roman Zobnin INDaniil Denisov out
65'Pablo Solari INVictor Parada out
70'Kirill Pechenin INKirill Stolbov out
78'Esequiel Barco INIgor Dmitriev out
78'Srdjan Babic INDanil Prutsev out
79'Manfred UgaldeAssist: Igor Dmitriev
83'Manfred UgaldeFoul
85'Yuriy Gorshkov INKazbek Mukailov out
86'Martin KramaričAssist: Kazbek Mukailov
90+1'Gedson FernandesFoul

Lineups

Krylia Sovetov
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Bulatov
Spartak Moscow
4-2-3-1Coach: Carcedo
Avg rating6.79
Avg rating6.55
N. Kokarev6.280N. Kokarev
N. Rasskazov6.815N. Rasskazov
N. Chernov7.323N. Chernov
S. Bozhin7.347S. Bozhin
K. Pechenin6.72K. Pechenin
Fernando Costanza7.122F. Costanza
Y. Gorshkov6.44Y. Gorshkov
N. Saltykov6.714N. Saltykov
M. Vityugov6.68M. Vityugov
M. Kramarič7.410M. Kramarič
A. Rahmanović6.111A. Rahmanović
A. Maksimenko5.098A. Maksimenko
Gedson Fernandes6.283G. Fernandes
C. Wooh7.23C. Wooh
S. Babić7.06S. Babić
R. Zobnin6.847R. Zobnin
R. Litvinov6.968R. Litvinov
N. Umyarov6.218N. Umyarov
P. Solari6.47P. Solari
E. Barco5.95E. Barco
Marquinhos6.310Marquinhos
M. Ugalde7.99M. Ugalde

Krylia Sovetov Substitutes

77D. Makarov60'for Amar Rahmanović6.5
18I. Lepskiy
5D. Oroz
73V. Shitov60'for Maksim Vityugov7.2
67Kazbek Mukailov85'for Yuriy Gorshkov7.0
26J. Marín
97I. Akhmetov60'for Nikita Saltykov7.1
7M. Banjac
72Dani Fernández
20K. Stolbov70'for Kirill Pechenin6.4
39E. Frolov
3T. Galdames

Spartak Moscow Substitutes

40I. Sorokin
17V. Saus
25D. Prutsev78'for Srdjan Babic6.5
62P. Polekh
33Víctor Parada65'for Pablo Solari6.6
24Nikita Massalyga
56A. Dovbnya
27I. Dmitriev78'for Esequiel Barco6.8
97D. Denisov65'for Roman Zobnin6.6
19M. Daku
1I. Pomazun26'for Marquinhos6.5

Match Stats

Krylia SovetovSpartak Moscow
59%Ball Possession41%
11Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
24Total Shots9
5Shots on Goal2
10Shots off Goal4
17Shots Inside Box6
7Shots Outside Box3
9Blocked Shots3
16Fouls13
1Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves4
454Total Passes314
379Passes Accurate230
13Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov
Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
1544Elo Rating 1700
1.33Attack 1.85
2.14Defense 2.07
50%Hit Rate 63%
13.4Shots per Game 15.9
4.8Shots on Target 7.2
5.6Corners per Game 4.7
1.8Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.81 goals
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov3Wins · 30%
Draws00%
Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow7Wins · 70%
3.2Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Friendlies Clubs04/07/2026
Spartak MoscowKrylia Sovetov
32
Premier League01/05/2026
Krylia SovetovSpartak Moscow
21
Premier League21/09/2025
Spartak MoscowKrylia Sovetov
21
Premier League18/05/2025
Krylia SovetovSpartak Moscow
02
Cup19/09/2024
Spartak MoscowKrylia Sovetov
41
Cup14/08/2024
Krylia SovetovSpartak Moscow
03
Premier League05/08/2024
Spartak MoscowKrylia Sovetov
30
Premier League09/12/2023
Spartak MoscowKrylya Sovetov
30
Premier League01/10/2023
Krylya SovetovSpartak Moscow
40
Premier League03/06/2023
Krylya SovetovSpartak Moscow
10

Recent Form

Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov
4W3D3L
16/09/2026
LokomotivKrylia Sovetov
11
D11/09/2026
Krylia SovetovRodina Moskva
21
W05/09/2026
Krylia SovetovFC Krasnodar
22
D
02/09/2026
BaltikaKrylia Sovetov
3050
W
29/08/2026
AkhmatKrylia Sovetov
33
D23/08/2026
AkronKrylia Sovetov
03
W
19/08/2026
Krylia SovetovZenit
3050
L
16/08/2026
Krylia SovetovDinamo Makhachkala
14
L
08/08/2026
Krylia SovetovBaltika
02
L04/08/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaKrylia Sovetov
12
W
Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
6W1D3L
16/09/2026
Spartak MoscowFakel
10
W13/09/2026
Spartak MoscowFC Rostov
30
W06/09/2026
DynamoSpartak Moscow
21
L
02/09/2026
Spartak MoscowRodina Moskva
31
W
30/08/2026
Spartak MoscowFC Orenburg
11
D
23/08/2026
Spartak MoscowZenit
20
W
19/08/2026
RubinSpartak Moscow
5131
L
16/08/2026
BaltikaSpartak Moscow
12
W
09/08/2026
Spartak MoscowFC Krasnodar
12
L
05/08/2026
Spartak MoscowFC Orenburg
51
W

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ZenitZenit13100330:13+1730WWWWW
2DynamoDynamo1391321:12+928WLWWW
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1375121:12+926DWLWW
4Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1382325:10+1526WLWDW
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1365221:16+523LDDLD
6FC RostovFC Rostov1353516:17-118WWDWL
7BaltikaBaltika1345417:14+317WDDDL
8FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1338214:12+217DWDWD
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1336417:20-315LWLDD
10RubinRubin1336413:18-515WLLLD
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1341816:26-1013LLDLL
12Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1333715:28-1312WWDLD
13AkronAkron1326516:23-712LWDLW
14LokomotivLokomotiv1325616:20-411LLDWD
15AkhmatAkhmat1325615:19-411LLLDL
16FakelFakel131398:21-136LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ZenitZenit1330:1330
2DynamoDynamo1321:1228
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1321:1226
4Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1325:1026
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1321:1623
6FC RostovFC Rostov1316:1718
7BaltikaBaltika1317:1417
8FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1314:1217
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1317:2015
10RubinRubin1313:1815
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1316:2613
12Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1315:2812
13AkronAkron1316:2312
14LokomotivLokomotiv1316:2011
15AkhmatAkhmat1315:1911
16FakelFakel138:216
Relegation

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About the Krylia Sovetov vs Spartak Moscow forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Krylia Sovetov and Spartak Moscow in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Spartak Moscow are 4th and Krylia Sovetov 9th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Krylia Sovetov 17-20, Spartak Moscow 25-10. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.