Spartak Moscow vs FC Krasnodar Prediction

Lukoil Arena, Moscow·Kirill Levnikov, Russia 09/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.80
SignalNEUTRALModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+4.0%
Spartak Moscow Rest
4 days
FC Krasnodar Rest
3 days

Spartak Moscow vs FC Krasnodar: result, form and history

FC Krasnodar beat Spartak Moscow 2-1 in the Premier League on 9 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.2 goals, and both sides scored in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.05
X
26%3.58
2
27%3.52
Double Chance
1X
72%1.29
X2
53%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.63
No
44%2.17
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 1.26 = 2.85
Over 1.5
82%1.21
Over 2.5
57%1.80
Over 3.5
32%2.82
Under 1.5
18%3.92
Under 2.5
43%2.06
Under 3.5
68%1.38
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.5 = 9.9
Over 8.5
62%1.55
Over 9.5
50%1.91
Over 10.5
39%2.46
Under 8.5
38%2.27
Under 9.5
50%1.80
Under 10.5
61%1.46
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.7 = 5.3
Over 3.5
73%-
Over 4.5
54%1.73
Under 3.5
27%-
Under 4.5
46%1.97

Match Events

2'M. UgaldeAssist: Marquinhos
5'L. OlazaAssist: Douglas Augusto
10'Joao BatxiAssist: N. Krivtsov
21'A. Chernikov
46'E. Barco INC. Martins out
66'A. Chernikov INK. Lenini out
68'S. Babic INM. Daku out
75'M. Ugalde IND. Prutsev out
76'I. Vakhania
79'G. Fernandes
83'D. Vorobyev INM. Ozdoev out
84'R. Zobnin INI. Dmitriev out
86'Christian INV. Paltsev out
90+4'Jubal Junior

Lineups

Spartak Moscow
4-1-4-1Coach: Carlos Carcedo Juan
FC Krasnodar
4-2-3-1Coach: Murad Musaev
Avg rating6.73
Avg rating6.91
Aleksandr Maksimenko7.398A. Maksimenko
Gedson Fernandes6.583G. Fernandes
Christopher Wooh6.63C. Wooh
Srđan Babić6.26S. Babić
Roman ZobninC5.947R. Zobnin
Ruslan Litvinov7.368R. Litvinov
Pablo Solari6.77P. Solari
Nail Umyarov6.918N. Umyarov
Ezequiel Barco6.25E. Barco
Marquinhos7.610Marquinhos
Manfred Ugalde7.29M. Ugalde
Stanislav AgkatsevC6.51S. Agkatsev
Ilya Vakhaniya6.940I. Vakhaniya
Vítor Tormena7.33V. Tormena
Jubal6.95Jubal
Lucas Olaza8.015L. Olaza
Aleksandr Chernikov6.353A. Chernikov
Augusto Douglas6.98A. Douglas
Christian7.318Christian
Nikita Krivtsov6.988N. Krivtsov
João Batxi7.511J. Batxi
Dmitry Vorobyev6.010D. Vorobyev

Spartak Moscow Substitutes

35Christopher Martins46'for E. Barco6.3
19Mirlind Daku68'for S. Babic6.3
56Alexander Dovbnya
1Ilya Pomazun
97Daniil Denisov
4Alexander Djiku
33Victor Parada
17Vladislav Saus
25Danyl Prutsev75'for M. Ugalde7.0
27Igor Dmitriev84'for R. Zobnin6.9
24Nikita Massalyga
62Pavel Polekh

FC Krasnodar Substitutes

6Kevin Pina66'for A. Chernikov6.9
16Aleksandr Koryakin
17Valentin Paltsev86'for Christian6.6
4Diego Costa
59Artem Khmarin
47Daniil Utkin
21Magomed Ozdoev83'for D. Vorobyev6.7
67Kazbek Mukailov

Match Stats

Spartak MoscowFC Krasnodar
62%Ball Possession38%
6Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards3
11Total Shots16
3Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal8
9Shots Inside Box9
2Shots Outside Box7
1Blocked Shots4
13Fouls15
2Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves2
472Total Passes287
366Passes Accurate203
78%Pass Accuracy71%

Team Comparison

Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar
1700Elo Rating 1681
1.85Attack 1.63
2.07Defense 1.16
63%Hit Rate 27%
15.9Shots per Game 13.1
7.2Shots on Target 6.4
4.7Corners per Game 4.6
2.2Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow4Wins · 40%
Draws110%
FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar5Wins · 50%
3.2Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Cup24/05/2026
Spartak MoscowFC Krasnodar
4131
Premier League23/04/2026
Spartak MoscowFC Krasnodar
12
Premier League02/11/2025
FC KrasnodarSpartak Moscow
21
Premier League01/12/2024
FC KrasnodarSpartak Moscow
03
Premier League19/10/2024
Spartak MoscowFC Krasnodar
03
Premier League11/05/2024
Spartak MoscowKrasnodar
10
Cup01/11/2023
Spartak MoscowKrasnodar
23
Premier League02/09/2023
KrasnodarSpartak Moscow
20
Cup27/07/2023
KrasnodarSpartak Moscow
12
Premier League24/04/2023
Spartak MoscowKrasnodar
43

Recent Form

Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
6W2D2L
05/08/2026
Spartak MoscowFC Orenburg
51
W
02/08/2026
AkhmatSpartak Moscow
12
W
25/07/2026
Spartak MoscowRodina Moskva
30
W
18/07/2026
ZenitSpartak Moscow
4121
L
11/07/2026
LokomotivSpartak Moscow
20
L
08/07/2026
Spartak MoscowRubin
00
D
04/07/2026
Spartak MoscowKrylia Sovetov
32
W
02/07/2026
Spartak MoscowSpartak Kostroma
10
W
24/05/2026
Spartak MoscowFC Krasnodar
4131
W
17/05/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaSpartak Moscow
00
D
FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar
6W2D2L
05/08/2026
FC KrasnodarAkhmat
5141
W
02/08/2026
FC KrasnodarFakel
32
W
26/07/2026
RubinFC Krasnodar
13
W
19/07/2026
FC KrasnodarBaltika
11
D
11/07/2026
FC KrasnodarFC Rostov
33
D
25/06/2026
FC KrasnodarPSK Dinskaya
51
W
24/05/2026
Spartak MoscowFC Krasnodar
4131
L
17/05/2026
FC KrasnodarFC Orenburg
30
W
11/05/2026
DynamoFC Krasnodar
21
L
07/05/2026
FC KrasnodarDynamo
6050
W

Referee Profile

Kirill Levnikov143 matches

5.29Cards per match
4.98Yellow cards per match
0.32Red cards per match
22.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Kirill Levnikov5.29
Other referees4.82

5.29 cards a match, 0.47 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.82).

Cards come from 130 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ZenitZenit13100330:13+1730WWWWW
2DynamoDynamo1391321:12+928WLWWW
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1375121:12+926DWLWW
4Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1382325:10+1526WLWDW
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1365221:16+523LDDLD
6FC RostovFC Rostov1353516:17-118WWDWL
7BaltikaBaltika1345417:14+317WDDDL
8FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1338214:12+217DWDWD
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1336417:20-315LWLDD
10RubinRubin1336413:18-515WLLLD
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1341816:26-1013LLDLL
12Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1333715:28-1312WWDLD
13AkronAkron1326516:23-712LWDLW
14LokomotivLokomotiv1325616:20-411LLDWD
15AkhmatAkhmat1325615:19-411LLLDL
16FakelFakel131398:21-136LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ZenitZenit1330:1330
2DynamoDynamo1321:1228
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1321:1226
4Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1325:1026
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1321:1623
6FC RostovFC Rostov1316:1718
7BaltikaBaltika1317:1417
8FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1314:1217
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1317:2015
10RubinRubin1313:1815
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1316:2613
12Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1315:2812
13AkronAkron1316:2312
14LokomotivLokomotiv1316:2011
15AkhmatAkhmat1315:1911
16FakelFakel138:216
Relegation

About the Spartak Moscow vs FC Krasnodar forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Spartak Moscow and FC Krasnodar in the Premier League table

Spartak Moscow and FC Krasnodar are close in the Premier League table, 4th and 5th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Spartak Moscow 25-10, FC Krasnodar 21-16. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.