Akhmat vs FC Rostov Prediction

Akhmat
4-1
Finished
HT 1-1
FC Rostov
Akhmat-Arena, Grozny·Yan Bobrovskiy, Russia 22/08/2026
AkhmatAkhmat
4-1
Finished
FC RostovFC Rostov

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.38
SignalSOLIDModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-3.0%
Akhmat Rest
3 days
FC Rostov Rest
3 days

Akhmat vs FC Rostov: result, form and history

Akhmat beat FC Rostov 4-1 in the Premier League on 22 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: FC Rostov had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Akhmat.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Referee Yan Bobrovskiy averages 5.30 cards a game, 0.65 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.44
X
27%3.17
2
28%3.08
Double Chance
1X
73%1.38
X2
55%1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.87
No
43%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.51 + 1.2 = 2.71
Over 1.5
77%1.37
Over 2.5
53%2.23
Over 3.5
30%3.99
Under 1.5
23%2.84
Under 2.5
47%1.66
Under 3.5
70%1.21
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.4 = 9.2
Over 8.5
59%1.60
Over 9.5
49%1.99
Over 10.5
36%2.58
Under 8.5
41%2.18
Under 9.5
51%1.73
Under 10.5
64%1.41
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.2 = 4.4
Over 3.5
63%-
Over 4.5
39%-
Under 3.5
37%-
Under 4.5
61%-

Match Events

5'G. MelkadzeAssist: A. Adamov
40'T. SuleymanovAssist: K. Kuchaev
54'M. Keliano INK. Shchetinin out
54'A. Adamov INM. Sidorov out
55'O. SakoFoul
57'K. KuchaevFoul
59'G. MelkadzeAssist: L. Sadulaev
68'T. IbishevAssist: L. Sadulaev
70'I. Komarov INE. Golenkov out
70'A. Mironov IND. Prokhin out
76'Y. Mikhailov INI. Aznaurov out
77'I. Silva INK. Sidibe out
77'G. Melkadze INE. Maksuti out
78'L. SadulaevAssist: K. Shchetinin
84'O. Sako INA. Shamonin out
84'L. Sadulaev INA. Kasadzhikov out
84'K. Kuchaev IND. Shantaliy out

Lineups

Akhmat
5-4-1Coach: Stanislav Cherchesov
FC Rostov
4-5-1Coach: Jonatan Alba
Avg rating7.03
Avg rating6.50
Vadim Ulyanov6.91V. Ulyanov
Arsen Adamov7.395A. Adamov
Turpal-Ali Ibishev7.54T. Ibishev
Ousmane N’Dong6.090O. N’Dong
Klisman Cake6.35K. Cake
Miroslav Bogosavac6.78M. Bogosavac
Egas Cacintura6.917E. Cacintura
Manuel Keliano6.542M. Keliano
Ismael Silva6.911I. Silva
Lechi SadulaevC8.97L. Sadulaev
Georgiy Melkadze9.077G. Melkadze
Rustam Yatimov6.71R. Yatimov
Viktor Melekhin7.24V. Melekhin
Oumar Sako5.63O. Sako
Ygor Nogueira7.240Y. Nogueira
Andrey Langovich5.987A. Langovich
Yaroslav Mikhailov6.25Y. Mikhailov
Aleksey Mironov6.68A. Mironov
Ivan Komarov6.510I. Komarov
Konstantin KuchaevC6.318K. Kuchaev
Olakunle Olusegun5.76O. Olusegun
Timur Suleymanov7.599T. Suleymanov

Akhmat Substitutes

81Maksim Sidorov54'for A. Adamov7.0
10Kirill Shchetinin54'for M. Keliano6.6
6Kalidou Sidibé77'for I. Silva6.7
76Erald Maksuti77'for G. Melkadze6.7
97Aleksey Kasadzhikov84'for L. Sadulaev6.5
71Rasul Mitsaev
88Giorgi Shelia
87Akhmed Elberdov
23Galymzhan Kenzhebek
70Abakar Gadzhiev
13Mohamed Konaté

FC Rostov Substitutes

27Danila Prokhin70'for A. Mironov6.3
17Egor Golenkov70'for I. Komarov6.5
73Imran Aznaurov76'for Y. Mikhailov6.3
21Daniil Shantaliy84'for K. Kuchaev6.9
91Anton Shamonin84'for O. Sako6.6
34Daniil Golikov
84Artem Petrov
22David Semenchuk
59Nikita Babakin
11Ibraheem Ajasa
13Denis Titov
80Karim Madrakhimov

Match Stats

AkhmatFC Rostov
49%Ball Possession51%
5Corner Kicks0
0Yellow Cards2
12Total Shots17
5Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal11
9Shots Inside Box10
3Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots1
13Fouls17
0Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves1
420Total Passes433
331Passes Accurate340
79%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

AkhmatAkhmat
FC RostovFC Rostov
1494Elo Rating 1569
0.56Attack 2.22
1.86Defense 2.07
0%Hit Rate 64%
12.6Shots per Game 11.6
3.5Shots on Target 5.9
5.2Corners per Game 5.4
1.8Cards per Game 0.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AkhmatAkhmat
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FC RostovFC Rostov
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.8 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AkhmatAkhmat4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
FC RostovFC Rostov4Wins · 40%
2.9Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League21/03/2026
AkhmatFC Rostov
10
Premier League30/08/2025
FC RostovAkhmat
11
Premier League12/04/2025
AkhmatFC Rostov
21
Premier League26/10/2024
FC RostovAkhmat
23
Premier League09/12/2023
Akhmat GroznyFC Rostov
00
Premier League22/10/2023
FC RostovAkhmat Grozny
30
Premier League28/05/2023
FC RostovAkhmat Grozny
32
Cup27/11/2022
FC RostovAkhmat Grozny
30
Premier League29/10/2022
Akhmat GroznyFC Rostov
12
Cup29/09/2022
Akhmat GroznyFC Rostov
31

Recent Form

AkhmatAkhmat
3W4D3L
18/08/2026
AkhmatFakel
21
W
15/08/2026
FC KrasnodarAkhmat
10
L
10/08/2026
FakelAkhmat
00
D
05/08/2026
FC KrasnodarAkhmat
5141
L
02/08/2026
AkhmatSpartak Moscow
12
L
26/07/2026
LokomotivAkhmat
11
D
11/07/2026
IMT Novi BeogradAkhmat
01
W
04/07/2026
Novi PazarAkhmat
11
D
29/06/2026
AkhmatBorac Banja Luka
31
W
17/05/2026
FC SochiAkhmat
11
D
FC RostovFC Rostov
4W3D3L
18/08/2026
FC RostovLokomotiv
10
W
15/08/2026
FC RostovRubin
11
D
08/08/2026
CSKA MoscowFC Rostov
00
D
04/08/2026
AkronFC Rostov
04
W
31/07/2026
Rodina MoskvaFC Rostov
24
W
26/07/2026
FC OrenburgFC Rostov
21
L
15/07/2026
FC RostovFakel
21
W
11/07/2026
FC KrasnodarFC Rostov
33
D
07/07/2026
FakelFC Rostov
31
L
17/05/2026
FC RostovZenit
01
L

Referee Profile

Yan Bobrovskiy89 matches

5.30Cards per match
4.96Yellow cards per match
0.35Red cards per match
25.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Yan Bobrovskiy5.30
Other referees4.65

5.30 cards a match, 0.65 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.65).

Cards come from 46 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ZenitZenit13100330:13+1730WWWWW
2DynamoDynamo1391321:12+928WLWWW
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1375121:12+926DWLWW
4Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1382325:10+1526WLWDW
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1365221:16+523LDDLD
6FC RostovFC Rostov1353516:17-118WWDWL
7BaltikaBaltika1345417:14+317WDDDL
8FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1338214:12+217DWDWD
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1336417:20-315LWLDD
10RubinRubin1336413:18-515WLLLD
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1341816:26-1013LLDLL
12Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1333715:28-1312WWDLD
13AkronAkron1326516:23-712LWDLW
14LokomotivLokomotiv1325616:20-411LLDWD
15AkhmatAkhmat1325615:19-411LLLDL
16FakelFakel131398:21-136LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ZenitZenit1330:1330
2DynamoDynamo1321:1228
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1321:1226
4Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1325:1026
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1321:1623
6FC RostovFC Rostov1316:1718
7BaltikaBaltika1317:1417
8FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1314:1217
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1317:2015
10RubinRubin1313:1815
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1316:2613
12Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1315:2812
13AkronAkron1316:2312
14LokomotivLokomotiv1316:2011
15AkhmatAkhmat1315:1911
16FakelFakel138:216
Relegation

About the Akhmat vs FC Rostov forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Akhmat and FC Rostov in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, FC Rostov are 6th and Akhmat 15th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Akhmat 15-19, FC Rostov 16-17. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

FC Rostov have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.