Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa Prediction

Heart Health Park·E. Koroleva 02/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
55%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.62
SignalNEUTRALModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-7.1%
Sacramento Republic Rest
8 days
FC Tulsa Rest
8 days

Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa: the result in context

Sacramento Republic beat FC Tulsa 1-0 in the USL Championship on 2 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Sacramento Republic had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for FC Tulsa.

Their history points to a close game: 9 previous meetings produced 1.6 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.62
X
27%3.54
2
19%5.00
Double Chance
1X
81%1.11
X2
46%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%2.10
No
53%1.63
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.63 + 1.07 = 2.70
Over 1.5
69%1.40
Over 2.5
45%2.20
Over 3.5
25%3.82
Under 1.5
31%2.75
Under 2.5
55%1.61
Under 3.5
75%1.20
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

43'A. MidenceFoul
45+2'W. WilsonFoul
46'A. Midence INB. Willey out
46'R. Cabral INL. Dorsey out
61'D. CrisostomoFoul
68'C. Jennings INK. Edwards out
76'H. St.Clair INO. Damm out
76'L. Dorsey INS. Lukic out
83'M. KayeUnsportsmanlike conduct
84'M. Kaye INF. Ajago out
87'W. Wilson ING. Colli out
87'A. Cissoko IND. Pierre out
88'B. Willey
89'K. EdwardsFoul
90+4'M. Malango INR. Spaulding out

Team Comparison

Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic
FC TulsaFC Tulsa
1579Elo Rating 1499
1.82Attack 0.76
1.82Defense 1.38
64%Hit Rate 14%

Game State Tendencies

Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
FC TulsaFC Tulsa
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic2Wins · 22%
Draws445%
FC TulsaFC Tulsa3Wins · 33%
1.6Avg Goals
44%Both teams scored4 of 9
11%3+ goals1 of 9

Previous meetings

USL Championship04/10/2026
FC TulsaSacramento Republic
11
USL Championship06/08/2026
FC TulsaSacramento Republic
10
USL Championship08/03/2026
Sacramento RepublicFC Tulsa
20
USL Championship08/06/2025
Sacramento RepublicFC Tulsa
01
USL Championship29/03/2025
FC TulsaSacramento Republic
10
USL Championship23/06/2024
FC TulsaSacramento Republic
00
USL Championship14/04/2024
Sacramento RepublicFC Tulsa
11
USL Championship30/04/2023
FC TulsaSacramento Republic
11
USL Championship27/03/2022
Sacramento RepublicTulsa Roughnecks
21

Recent Form

Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic
5W5D0L
25/10/2026
Sacramento RepublicOakland Roots
32
W
18/10/2026
El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
01
W
11/10/2026
Sacramento RepublicColorado Springs
11
D
04/10/2026
FC TulsaSacramento Republic
11
D
01/10/2026
Sacramento RepublicLas Vegas Lights
32
W
27/09/2026
New Mexico UnitedSacramento Republic
23
W
21/09/2026
Sacramento RepublicSan Antonio
00
D
13/09/2026
Sacramento RepublicDetroit City
10
W
06/09/2026
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
11
D
30/08/2026
Monterey BaySacramento Republic
11
D
FC TulsaFC Tulsa
2W5D3L
25/10/2026
Colorado SpringsFC Tulsa
20
L
18/10/2026
FC TulsaOakland Roots
24
L
10/10/2026
LexingtonFC Tulsa
00
D
04/10/2026
FC TulsaSacramento Republic
11
D
01/10/2026
FC TulsaNew Mexico United
10
W
26/09/2026
El Paso LocomotiveFC Tulsa
11
D
20/09/2026
BrooklynFC Tulsa
22
D
13/09/2026
Phoenix RisingFC Tulsa
21
L
06/09/2026
San AntonioFC Tulsa
00
D
30/08/2026
FC TulsaRhode Island
10
W

League Table

USL Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United30157845:34+1152WLWWL
2Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic301312542:28+1451WWDDW
3El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive301551048:38+1050LLWLD
4LexingtonLexington301461057:39+1848DWDWW
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs30138944:38+647WWDDD
6San AntonioSan Antonio301112732:30+245WWDLD
7FC TulsaFC Tulsa301110934:31+343LLDDW
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3010101045:46-140DWWLL
9Orange County SCOrange County SC301091139:49-1039LLLLW
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots309111039:40-138LWDDW
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights301061441:48-736LLLWL
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay30661832:52-2024WLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United3045:3452
2Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic3042:2851
3El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive3048:3850
4LexingtonLexington3057:3948
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs3044:3847
6San AntonioSan Antonio3032:3045
7FC TulsaFC Tulsa3034:3143
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3045:4640
9Orange County SCOrange County SC3039:4939
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots3039:4038
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights3041:4836
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay3032:5224

About the Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa forecast

As a knockout tie in the USL Championship, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sacramento Republic and FC Tulsa in the USL Championship table

In the USL Championship table, Sacramento Republic are 2nd and FC Tulsa 7th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Sacramento Republic 42-28, FC Tulsa 34-31. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.