San Marcos de Arica vs Union San Felipe Prediction

Estadio Carlos Dittborn, Arica 13/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.83
SignalNEUTRALModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+6.1%
San Marcos de Arica Rest
4 days
Union San Felipe Rest
4 days

San Marcos de Arica vs Union San Felipe: the result in context

Union San Felipe beat San Marcos de Arica 1-0 in the Primera B on 13 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
61%1.40
X
24%4.10
2
15%7.50
Double Chance
1X
85%1.07
X2
39%2.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%2.10
No
53%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.58 + 0.86 = 2.44
Over 1.5
67%1.29
Over 2.5
43%1.88
Over 3.5
22%3.20
Under 1.5
33%3.34
Under 2.5
57%1.83
Under 3.5
78%1.29
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'B. Riveros INN. Brun out
19'J. Rivera
46'P. Munoz INA. Fontana out
46'B. Sagredo INN. Donadell out
63'E. Benavides INA. Abalos out
71'L. Garcia
72'C. Suarez INL. Martinez out
73'B. Gonzalez INR. Diaz Orostegui out
74'M. Iturra INN. Orrego out
74'A. Maidana INB. Monroy out
83'A. Cazula
89'B. Aravena INO. Henriquez out

Team Comparison

San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica
Union San FelipeUnion San Felipe
1473Elo Rating 1327
1.29Attack 0.73
1.98Defense 0.48
58%Hit Rate 0%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+146 Elo

Game State Tendencies

San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Union San FelipeUnion San Felipe
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica4Wins · 45%
Draws222%
Union San FelipeUnion San Felipe3Wins · 33%
2.2Avg Goals
44%Both teams scored4 of 9
44%3+ goals4 of 9

Previous meetings

Primera B23/03/2026
Union San FelipeSan Marcos de Arica
11
Primera B18/10/2025
San Marcos de AricaUnion San Felipe
10
Primera B07/06/2025
Union San FelipeSan Marcos de Arica
12
Primera B20/10/2024
San Marcos de AricaUnion San Felipe
12
Primera B04/06/2024
Union San FelipeSan Marcos de Arica
02
Primera B22/07/2023
Union San FelipeSan Marcos de Arica
30
Primera B04/03/2023
San Marcos de AricaUnion San Felipe
02
Primera B03/10/2021
Union San FelipeSan Marcos de Arica
00
Primera B01/06/2021
San Marcos de AricaUnion San Felipe
31

Recent Form

San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica
2W2D6L
08/08/2026
Santiago WanderersSan Marcos de Arica
11
D
06/08/2026
Coquimbo UnidoSan Marcos de Arica
10
L
01/08/2026
San Marcos de AricaDeportes Iquique
11
D
26/07/2026
San Marcos de AricaMagallanes
20
W
06/07/2026
Deportes LimacheSan Marcos de Arica
41
L
27/06/2026
San Marcos de AricaCoquimbo Unido
01
L
20/06/2026
San Marcos de AricaDeportes Limache
13
L
06/06/2026
San LuisSan Marcos de Arica
10
L
31/05/2026
San Marcos de AricaDeportes Temuco
01
L
24/05/2026
D. Puerto MonttSan Marcos de Arica
02
W
Union San FelipeUnion San Felipe
2W3D5L
08/08/2026
Union San FelipeRecoleta
00
D
06/08/2026
Union San FelipeUniversidad de Chile
01
L
01/08/2026
AntofagastaUnion San Felipe
51
L
25/07/2026
Santiago WanderersUnion San Felipe
20
L
04/07/2026
Union San FelipeUnion La Calera
11
D
28/06/2026
Universidad de ChileUnion San Felipe
20
L
21/06/2026
Union La CaleraUnion San Felipe
02
W
09/06/2026
Union EspanolaUnion San Felipe
22
D
30/05/2026
Union San FelipeD. Puerto Montt
10
W
24/05/2026
Deportes TemucoUnion San Felipe
50
L

League Table

Primera B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CobreloaCobreloa29159552:30+2254WWLWW
2San LuisSan Luis29159544:30+1454DWWWW
3Santiago WanderersSantiago Wanderers29148748:32+1650WWLLL
4AntofagastaAntofagasta29139751:26+2548WDWWL
5MagallanesMagallanes29137945:44+146LLWWW
6San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica291110835:28+743WDLWW
7RecoletaRecoleta29119941:43-242DLLWD
8Deportes CopiapoDeportes Copiapo291181043:42+141DLWWW
9Union EspanolaUnion Espanola291161234:37-339LWLLD
10Deportes IquiqueDeportes Iquique29911942:33+938WDWWW
11D. Puerto MonttD. Puerto Montt291151329:36-738WDLLL
12Deportes TemucoDeportes Temuco30991246:45+136LLDWL
13Curico UnidoCurico Unido308101230:47-1734WLDWL
14Deportes Santa CruzDeportes Santa Cruz294121329:43-1424DDLLD
15Union San FelipeUnion San Felipe29581619:53-3423LDLLL
16Rangers de TalcaRangers de Talca29561828:47-1921LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CobreloaCobreloa2952:3054
2San LuisSan Luis2944:3054
3Santiago WanderersSantiago Wanderers2948:3250
4AntofagastaAntofagasta2951:2648
5MagallanesMagallanes2945:4446
6San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica2935:2843
7RecoletaRecoleta2941:4342
8Deportes CopiapoDeportes Copiapo2943:4241
9Union EspanolaUnion Espanola2934:3739
10Deportes IquiqueDeportes Iquique2942:3338
11D. Puerto MonttD. Puerto Montt2929:3638
12Deportes TemucoDeportes Temuco3046:4536
13Curico UnidoCurico Unido3030:4734
14Deportes Santa CruzDeportes Santa Cruz2929:4324
15Union San FelipeUnion San Felipe2919:5323
16Rangers de TalcaRangers de Talca2928:4721

About the San Marcos de Arica vs Union San Felipe forecast

The forecasts for this Primera B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

San Marcos de Arica and Union San Felipe in the Primera B table

In the Primera B table, San Marcos de Arica are 6th and Union San Felipe 15th, 20 points apart. League goal record so far: San Marcos de Arica 35-28, Union San Felipe 19-53. The full standings are on the Primera B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

San Marcos de Arica have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.