Union Espanola vs San Marcos de Arica Prediction

Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK, Santiago de Chile 16/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.74
SignalSOLIDModel32%SurpriseHighGap+5.4%
Union Espanola Rest
4 days
San Marcos de Arica Rest
2 days

Union Espanola vs San Marcos de Arica: the result in context

Union Espanola beat San Marcos de Arica 2-1 in the Primera B on 16 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.68
X
29%3.10
2
31%2.50
Double Chance
1X
69%1.44
X2
60%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.75
No
52%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.29 + 1.06 = 2.35
Over 1.5
66%1.30
Over 2.5
41%2.00
Over 3.5
22%3.34
Under 1.5
34%3.10
Under 2.5
59%1.74
Under 3.5
78%1.25
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

1'C. GuerraOG
8'A. Barboza
13'W. Machado
35'F. Massri
43'A. Araos
44'C. Guerra
46'M. Moya Godoy INM. Iturra out
46'F. Ratotti INP. Rubio out
46'A. Araos INB. Droguett out
61'N. Donadell INE. Benavides out
80'R. Cordero INM. Celis out
84'A. Vilches Araneda INT. Ovando out
84'A. Maidana INN. Zedan out
89'F. Massri
90+2'K. Contreras
90+2'G. Reyes INN. Orrego out
90+7'M. Iturra
90+8'F. Massri ING. Norambuena out

Team Comparison

Union EspanolaUnion Espanola
San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica
1434Elo Rating 1473
0.64Attack 1.29
1.79Defense 1.98
23%Hit Rate 58%

Game State Tendencies

Union EspanolaUnion Espanola
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.1 in second half)
San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Union EspanolaUnion Espanola0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica1Wins · 100%
2.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

Primera B28/03/2026
San Marcos de AricaUnion Espanola
20

Recent Form

Union EspanolaUnion Espanola
2W3D5L
12/08/2026
D. Puerto MonttUnion Espanola
01
W
08/08/2026
Union EspanolaAntofagasta
03
L
02/08/2026
MagallanesUnion Espanola
32
L
28/07/2026
Union EspanolaRecoleta
21
W
05/07/2026
Union EspanolaO'Higgins
12
L
30/06/2026
Union EspanolaColo Colo
03
L
22/06/2026
O'HigginsUnion Espanola
11
D
09/06/2026
Union EspanolaUnion San Felipe
22
D
30/05/2026
Santiago WanderersUnion Espanola
22
D
26/05/2026
Deportes CopiapoUnion Espanola
31
L
San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica
1W2D7L

League Table

Primera B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CobreloaCobreloa29159552:30+2254WWLWW
2San LuisSan Luis29159544:30+1454DWWWW
3Santiago WanderersSantiago Wanderers29148748:32+1650WWLLL
4AntofagastaAntofagasta29139751:26+2548WDWWL
5MagallanesMagallanes29137945:44+146LLWWW
6San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica291110835:28+743WDLWW
7RecoletaRecoleta29119941:43-242DLLWD
8Deportes CopiapoDeportes Copiapo291181043:42+141DLWWW
9Union EspanolaUnion Espanola291161234:37-339LWLLD
10Deportes IquiqueDeportes Iquique29911942:33+938WDWWW
11D. Puerto MonttD. Puerto Montt291151329:36-738WDLLL
12Deportes TemucoDeportes Temuco30991246:45+136LLDWL
13Curico UnidoCurico Unido308101230:47-1734WLDWL
14Deportes Santa CruzDeportes Santa Cruz294121329:43-1424DDLLD
15Union San FelipeUnion San Felipe29581619:53-3423LDLLL
16Rangers de TalcaRangers de Talca29561828:47-1921LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CobreloaCobreloa2952:3054
2San LuisSan Luis2944:3054
3Santiago WanderersSantiago Wanderers2948:3250
4AntofagastaAntofagasta2951:2648
5MagallanesMagallanes2945:4446
6San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica2935:2843
7RecoletaRecoleta2941:4342
8Deportes CopiapoDeportes Copiapo2943:4241
9Union EspanolaUnion Espanola2934:3739
10Deportes IquiqueDeportes Iquique2942:3338
11D. Puerto MonttD. Puerto Montt2929:3638
12Deportes TemucoDeportes Temuco3046:4536
13Curico UnidoCurico Unido3030:4734
14Deportes Santa CruzDeportes Santa Cruz2929:4324
15Union San FelipeUnion San Felipe2919:5323
16Rangers de TalcaRangers de Talca2928:4721

About the Union Espanola vs San Marcos de Arica forecast

The forecasts for this Primera B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Union Espanola and San Marcos de Arica in the Primera B table

In the Primera B table, San Marcos de Arica are 6th and Union Espanola 9th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Union Espanola 34-37, San Marcos de Arica 35-28. The full standings are on the Primera B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

San Marcos de Arica have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Union Espanola and San Marcos de Arica have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.