Sevilla vs Valencia Prediction
Spain · Regular Season - 5
11/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.73
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+5.4%
Sevilla Rest
5 days
Valencia Rest
5 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
148%2.04
X28%3.23
224%3.95
Double Chance
1X76%1.25
X252%1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes48%2.00
No52%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.38 + 1.07 = 2.45
Over 1.572%1.41
Over 2.542%2.30
Over 3.518%4.33
Under 1.528%2.80
Under 2.558%1.62
Under 3.582%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 3.7 = 9.1
Over 8.551%1.93
Over 9.543%2.49
Over 10.531%3.38
Under 8.549%1.85
Under 9.557%1.47
Under 10.569%1.25
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2 = 3.9
Over 3.556%1.27
Over 4.536%1.56
Under 3.544%3.50
Under 4.564%2.27
Match Events
24'César Tárrega Requeni INIker Córdoba out
27'Ryunosuke SatoFoul
62'Arnau Martínez López INPablo Maffeo out
62'Ryunosuke Sato INHarvey Elliott out
63'Isaac Romero INRobbie Ure out
63'Miguel Sierra INChidera Ejuke out
67'Chidera EjukeFoul
71'Youssouf Fofana INGiorgi Kochorashvili out
81'Juan Antonio Iglesias SánchezAssist: Giorgi Kochorashvili
83'Javi Guerra INHugo Duro out
83'José Gayà INJesús Vázquez out
83'Lucas Stassin INJon Guridi out
83'Felix Correia INJulio Diaz out
88'Pablo MaffeoFoul
Lineups
SevillaValencia
4-4-1-1Coach: Carlos CorberánAvg ratingAvg rating
1O. Vlachodimos
2J. Iglesias
5A. Castrín
4K. Salas
17G. Suazo
30M. Sierra
6L. Agoumé
24Y. Fofana
20F. Correia
19L. Stassin
16Isaac
1S. Dimitrievski
22A. Martínez
5C. Tárrega
18Pepelu
14J. Gayà
27D. Otorbi
15A. Dieng
23F. Ugrinic
39R. Sato
8J. Guerra
7A. DanjumaSevilla Substitutes
22José Ángel Carmona
14Manu Bueno
3Julio Díaz del Romo83'for Felix Correia
21C. Ejuke63'for Miguel Sierra67'
10Peque Fernández
7Alfon González
13Fran González
18Jon Guridi83'for Lucas Stassin
8G. Kochorashvili71'for Youssouf Fofana
34Iker Ortín Muñoz
9R. Ure63'for Isaac Romero
23Marcão
Valencia Substitutes
36Iker Córdoba24'for César Tárrega Requeni
9Hugo Duro83'for Javi Guerra
38Jaume Durá
10H. Elliott62'for Ryunosuke Sato
24Pablo Maffeo62'for Arnau Martínez López88'
33Aaron Mayol
29Alex Panach
19Dani Raba
21Jesús Vázquez83'for José Gayà
12J. de Haas
25K. van Oevelen
37Aimar Blázquez
Match Stats
SevillaValencia 46%Ball Possession54%
6Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots3
4Shots on Goal0
5Shots off Goal2
9Shots Inside Box1
4Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots1
8Fouls12
2Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves3
348Total Passes427
274Passes Accurate349
79%Pass Accuracy82%
Team Comparison
SevillaValencia1751Elo Rating 1714
1.46Attack 1.13
0.65Defense 1.57
31%Hit Rate 14%
12.1Shots per Game 13.1
4.6Shots on Target 3.7
2.7Corners per Game 4.5
2.7Cards per Game 3.2
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Sevilla- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Valencia- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Sevilla2Wins · 20%Draws550%
Valencia3Wins · 30%
3Wins · 30%2.0Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10
Previous meetings
21/03/2026SevillaValencia02
07/12/2025ValenciaSevilla11
11/04/2025ValenciaSevilla10
11/01/2025SevillaValencia11
17/02/2024ValenciaSevilla00
11/08/2023SevillaValencia12
16/04/2023ValenciaSevilla02
18/10/2022SevillaValencia11
19/01/2022ValenciaSevilla11
22/09/2021SevillaValencia31
Recent Form
Sevilla6W1D3L
06/09/2026
EspanyolSevillaSevilla
Atletico Madrid
Athletic ClubSevillaSevilla
Rayo Vallecano
EspanyolSevilla11
D29/08/2026SevillaAtletico Madrid13
L22/08/2026Athletic ClubSevilla13
W15/08/2026SevillaRayo Vallecano21
W08/08/2026
Bayer LeverkusenSevilla
Bayer LeverkusenSevilla21
L02/08/2026
UtrechtSevilla
UtrechtSevilla01
W31/07/2026
NEC NijmegenSevilla
NEC NijmegenSevilla12
W26/07/2026Sevilla
AD Ceuta FC
SevillaAD Ceuta FC21
W23/07/2026
CordobaSevilla
CordobaSevilla4050
W19/07/2026
Cracovia KrakowSevilla
Cracovia KrakowSevilla10
LValencia2W2D6L
06/09/2026Valencia
Barcelona
Deportivo La CorunaValenciaValencia
Real BetisValencia
Celta Vigo
ValenciaBarcelona05
L30/08/2026Deportivo La CorunaValencia31
L25/08/2026ValenciaReal Betis01
L22/08/2026ValenciaCelta Vigo00
D08/08/2026Valencia
Newcastle
ValenciaNewcastle12
L01/08/2026
Stoke CityValencia
Stoke CityValencia11
D28/07/2026
DerbyValencia
DerbyValencia12
W25/07/2026Valencia
Castellón
ValenciaCastellón12
L22/07/2026Valencia
Eldense
ValenciaEldense30
W18/07/2026
Petro de LuandaValencia
Petro de LuandaValencia31
LLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 40:11 | +29 | 27 | LWWWW |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20:8 | +12 | 25 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 25:10 | +15 | 24 | WWWLW |
| 4 | Real Betis | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:14 | +2 | 20 | DLWDW |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | +1 | 19 | WWWWL |
| 6 | Sevilla | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:16 | 0 | 17 | WLDLW |
| 7 |  Alaves | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:11 | +3 | 12 | DLLDL |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | +3 | 12 | LDDDD |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10:7 | +3 | 12 | DWDWD |
| 10 |  Villarreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | +1 | 12 | WDLWW |
| 11 | Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 | LDLDL |
| 12 |  Osasuna | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 11 | LWLDL |
| 13 |  Racing Santander | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:26 | -11 | 11 | WLDLL |
| 14 |  Levante | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:19 | -3 | 10 | LWDDL |
| 15 |  Elche | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 | WDDWL |
| 16 | Rayo Vallecano | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | -8 | 9 | DDDWL |
| 17 |  Getafe | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 9 | LDLWL |
| 18 | Espanyol | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:14 | -2 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 19 | Valencia | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 6 | LDDLW |
| 20 |  Malaga | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7:19 | -12 | 5 | DLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 10 | 40:11 | 27 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 10 | 20:8 | 25 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 10 | 25:10 | 24 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 10 | 16:14 | 20 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 10 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 10 | 16:16 | 17 |
| 7 | Alaves | 10 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 9 | 12:9 | 12 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 10 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 10 | Villarreal | 10 | 15:14 | 12 |
| 11 | Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 12 | Osasuna | 10 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 13 | Racing Santander | 10 | 15:26 | 11 |
| 14 | Levante | 10 | 16:19 | 10 |
| 15 | Elche | 10 | 14:17 | 10 |
| 16 | Rayo Vallecano | 9 | 12:20 | 9 |
| 17 | Getafe | 10 | 5:15 | 9 |
| 18 | Espanyol | 10 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 19 | Valencia | 10 | 7:17 | 6 |
| 20 | Malaga | 10 | 7:19 | 5 |
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About the Sevilla vs Valencia forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Sevilla and Valencia in the La Liga table
In the La Liga table, Sevilla are 6th and Valencia 19th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Sevilla 16-16, Valencia 7-17. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.