SHANGHAI SIPG vs Shandong Luneng Prediction

Pudong Football Stadium, Shanghai·Yuchen Mu, China 01/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.29
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-1.3%
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.86
SignalSOLIDModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+9.7%
SHANGHAI SIPG Rest
7 days
Shandong Luneng Rest
6 days

SHANGHAI SIPG vs Shandong Luneng: the result in context

Shandong Luneng beat SHANGHAI SIPG 1-0 in the Super League on 1 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 8.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%1.85
X
29%4.10
2
24%3.40
Double Chance
1X
76%1.29
X2
53%1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.33
No
41%2.96
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 1.44 = 2.86
Over 1.5
81%1.08
Over 2.5
53%1.34
Over 3.5
31%1.88
Under 1.5
19%6.50
Under 2.5
47%3.10
Under 3.5
69%1.86
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.7 = 10.1
Over 8.5
64%1.29
Over 9.5
53%1.52
Over 10.5
40%1.85
Under 8.5
36%3.07
Under 9.5
47%2.33
Under 10.5
60%1.86
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.2 = 4.2
Over 3.5
59%-
Over 4.5
33%-
Under 3.5
41%-
Under 4.5
67%-

Match Events

5'ZecaAssist: Mijit Mewlan
15'Chen PuFoul
19'Jean ClaudeFoul
38'Jean Claude INLu Yongtao out
45+1'Goal Disallowed - FoulP. O. Ampem
45+7'Huang ZhengyuFoul
45+8'Wei ZhenUnsportsmanlike conduct
46'Mijit Mewlan INXie Wenneng out
46'Zheng Zheng INPeng Xiao out
46'Zeca INShi Songchen out
64'Huang ZhengyuHandling
64'Huang ZhengyuHandling
65'Liu Zhurun INX. Li out
65'A. Yang INWang Shenchao out
67'V. Qazaishvili INR. Merkies out
78'Guilherme Madruga INP. Alvaro out
78'Mateus Vital(Penalty missed)
78'Goal Disallowed - video reviewX. Li
82'Mateus Vital INWu Lei out
82'O. Melendo INKuai Jiwen out
85'Yusup UmidjanUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

SHANGHAI SIPG
4-2-3-1Coach: Kevin Muscat
Shandong Luneng
3-4-2-1Coach: Peng Han
Avg rating6.87
Avg rating7.09
Yan JunlingC6.91Y. Junling
Xi Yang6.922X. Yang
Zhen Wei7.313Z. Wei
Yusup Umidjan7.340Y. Umidjan
Wang Zhenao6.619W. Zhenao
Mateus Vital7.310M. Vital
Jean Claude Aziangbe6.58J. Claude Aziangbe
Liu Zhurun6.933L. Zhurun
Óscar Melendo7.321Ó. Melendo
Prince Ampem6.517P. Ampem
Leonardo6.945Leonardo
Yu Jinyong9.91Y. Jinyong
Yang Ruiqi7.32Y. Ruiqi
Zheng Zheng6.65Z. Zheng
Yang Liu7.311Y. Liu
Maiwulang Mijiti7.228M. Mijiti
Zhengyu Huang6.235Z. Huang
Guilherme Madruga6.68G. Madruga
Chen Pu7.229C. Pu
CryzanC6.69Cryzan
Valeri Qazaishvili6.510V. Qazaishvili
Zeca7.719Zeca

SHANGHAI SIPG Substitutes

38Lu Yongtao38'for Jean Claude6.9
4Wang Shenchao65'replaced by A. Yang6.7
49Xinxiang Li65'for Liu Zhurun6.9
47Kuai Jiwen82'for O. Melendo6.7
7Wu Lei82'for Mateus Vital6.3
12Chen Wei
23Fu Huan
28Yue Xin
3Guangtai Jiang
20Yang Shiyuan
26Ruofan Liu
37Junjie Zhang

Shandong Luneng Substitutes

3Peng Xiao46'for Zheng Zheng6.9
15Songchen Shi46'for Zeca7.2
7Wenneng Xie46'replaced by Mijit Mewlan7.0
17Raphaël Merkies67'for V. Qazaishvili6.3
23Pedro Álvaro78'for Guilherme Madruga6.9
32Qihang Sun
36Qiwei Liu
33Zhunyi Gao
38Memet Imran
34Jiaxi Yin
42Yixiang Peng
41Junwei Lu

Match Stats

SHANGHAI SIPGShandong Luneng
69%Ball Possession31%
8Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
18Total Shots8
8Shots on Goal4
8Shots off Goal3
13Shots Inside Box4
5Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots1
10Fouls17
2Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves8
522Total Passes238
463Passes Accurate176
89%Pass Accuracy74%

Team Comparison

SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG
Shandong LunengShandong Luneng
1746Elo Rating 1647
3.20Attack 2.85
1.64Defense 1.41
81%Hit Rate 50%
12.3Shots per Game 14.7
5.3Shots on Target 5.9
4.5Corners per Game 3.6
3.3Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.86 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.2 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Shandong LunengShandong Luneng
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 1.2 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG4Wins · 40%
Draws440%
Shandong LunengShandong Luneng2Wins · 20%
3.0Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Super League17/04/2026
Shandong LunengSHANGHAI SIPG
11
Super League26/10/2025
Shandong LunengSHANGHAI SIPG
31
Super League17/05/2025
SHANGHAI SIPGShandong Luneng
11
FA Cup23/11/2024
Shandong LunengSHANGHAI SIPG
13
Super League03/08/2024
Shandong LunengSHANGHAI SIPG
01
Super League14/04/2024
SHANGHAI SIPGShandong Luneng
43
Super League29/10/2023
SHANGHAI SIPGShandong Luneng
11
Super League03/07/2023
Shandong LunengSHANGHAI SIPG
11
Super League23/12/2022
SHANGHAI SIPGShandong Luneng
20
Super League30/10/2022
Shandong LunengSHANGHAI SIPG
31

Recent Form

SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG
5W3D2L
25/07/2026
SHANGHAI SIPGShanghai Shenhua
20
W
21/07/2026
SHANGHAI SIPGSichuan Jiuniu
4131
W
17/07/2026
Yunnan YukunSHANGHAI SIPG
22
D
04/07/2026
Qingdao Youth IslandSHANGHAI SIPG
21
L
27/06/2026
Henan JianyeSHANGHAI SIPG
12
W
19/06/2026
Shanghai SecondSHANGHAI SIPG
12
W
29/05/2026
Shenyang UrbanSHANGHAI SIPG
32
L
23/05/2026
SHANGHAI SIPGTianjin Teda
11
D
19/05/2026
Chengdu Better CitySHANGHAI SIPG
01
W
15/05/2026
SHANGHAI SIPGHangzhou Greentown
22
D
Shandong LunengShandong Luneng
4W1D5L
26/07/2026
Shandong LunengHenan Jianye
12
L
21/07/2026
Wuhan Three TownsShandong Luneng
3141
W
18/07/2026
Dalian ZhixingShandong Luneng
31
L
10/07/2026
Shandong LunengYunnan Yukun
43
W
04/07/2026
Beijing GuoanShandong Luneng
20
L
27/06/2026
Shenyang UrbanShandong Luneng
15
W
20/06/2026
Guangxi HengchenShandong Luneng
05
W
30/05/2026
Chengdu Better CityShandong Luneng
10
L
24/05/2026
Shandong LunengWuhan Three Towns
33
D
20/05/2026
Hangzhou GreentownShandong Luneng
41
L

Referee Profile

Yuchen Mu12 matches

4.40Cards per match
4.20Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
26.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Yuchen Mu4.40
Other referees4.19

4.40 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.19).

Cards come from 10 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better City29157751:35+1652LLLDW
2Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing291541046:43+349WWWWD
3Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan291410557:36+2147WWWDD
4Shandong LunengShandong Luneng29155957:47+1044WWDDW
5SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG29138850:36+1442WWWDW
6Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun291171157:60-340DDLWL
7Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Island29815632:38-639DLLDD
8Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua291451063:50+1337LWWWL
9Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long29812931:34-336WDDLD
10Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown291161251:54-334WLLWL
11Sichuan JiuniuSichuan Jiuniu29951539:51-1232WLDDL
12Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda291181039:35+431LWWWW
13Shenyang UrbanShenyang Urban29851641:52-1129LWDLL
14Henan JianyeHenan Jianye298101138:42-428LLDDD
15Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns295121244:55-1122LLDLD
16Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon29632034:62-2814LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better City2951:3552
2Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing2946:4349
3Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan2957:3647
4Shandong LunengShandong Luneng2957:4744
5SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG2950:3642
6Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun2957:6040
7Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Island2932:3839
8Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua2963:5037
9Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long2931:3436
10Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown2951:5434
11Sichuan JiuniuSichuan Jiuniu2939:5132
12Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda2939:3531
13Shenyang UrbanShenyang Urban2941:5229
14Henan JianyeHenan Jianye2938:4228
15Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns2944:5522
16Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon2934:6214
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the SHANGHAI SIPG vs Shandong Luneng forecast

The forecasts for this Super League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

SHANGHAI SIPG and Shandong Luneng in the Super League table

Shandong Luneng and SHANGHAI SIPG are close in the Super League table, 4th and 5th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: SHANGHAI SIPG 50-36, Shandong Luneng 57-47. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

SHANGHAI SIPG have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Shandong Luneng have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.