Sport Boys vs Sporting Cristal Prediction

Estadio Miguel Grau, Callao·Augusto Menendez, Peru 30/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.42
SignalHIGHModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+4.6%
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.95
SignalSOLIDModel40%SurpriseMediumGap+11.2%
Sport Boys Rest
4 days
Sporting Cristal Rest
4 days

Sport Boys vs Sporting Cristal: the result in context

Sport Boys beat Sporting Cristal 1-0 in the Primera División on 30 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Sporting Cristal have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.3 goals a game. Referee Augusto Menendez averages 5.86 cards a game, 0.55 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%2.55
X
29%3.25
2
27%2.60
Double Chance
1X
73%1.42
X2
56%1.47
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.72
No
39%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.73 + 1.11 = 2.84
Over 1.5
78%1.30
Over 2.5
58%1.95
Over 3.5
35%3.40
Under 1.5
22%3.35
Under 2.5
42%1.81
Under 3.5
65%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.1 = 9.2
Over 8.5
55%-
Over 9.5
40%-
Over 10.5
29%-
Under 8.5
45%-
Under 9.5
60%-
Under 10.5
71%-
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 3.1 = 5.5
Over 3.5
80%-
Over 4.5
66%1.69
Under 3.5
20%-
Under 4.5
34%2.02

Match Events

14'S. GonzalezFoul
28'H. RiojasFoul
36'R. Lutiger INL. Diaz out
41'C. CabellosSerious foul
43'J. AlarconFoul
45+1'N. Da CampoAssist: M. Llontop
46'S. Gonzalez INM. Castro out
46'N. Da Campo INE. Gonzales out
63'J. Alarcon INY. Celi out
68'C. Cueva INP. Liza out
68'H. Riojas ING. Dulanto out
68'M. Hoyos INH. Barcos out
68'J. Cuesta INI. Avila out
69'L. Sosa INJ. Gonzalez out
81'M. Tavara INA. Alvarez Wallace out
86'L. Urruti INM. Trauco out

Lineups

Sport Boys
4-2-3-1Coach: Carlos Desio
Sporting Cristal
4-2-3-1Coach: Roberto Mosquera
Avg rating6.76
Avg rating6.68
Diego Melián6.622D. Melián
Emilio Saba6.717E. Saba
Carlos Zambrano7.33C. Zambrano
Hansell RiojasC7.226H. Riojas
Mathias Llontop6.313M. Llontop
Oslimg Mora7.324O. Mora
Hernan Da Campo7.38H. Da Campo
Pablo Erustes6.732P. Erustes
Jostin Alarcón6.210J. Alarcón
Luis Urruti6.711L. Urruti
Christian Cueva6.399C. Cueva
Diego Enríquez6.91D. Enríquez
Leandro Sosa6.38L. Sosa
Miguel Araujo7.220M. Araujo
Rafael Lutiger7.25R. Lutiger
Cristiano7.290Cristiano
Martín Távara7.025M. Távara
Yoshimar YotúnC6.719Y. Yotún
Santiago González6.37S. González
Catriel Cabellos5.721C. Cabellos
Juan Manuel Cuesta6.577J. Manuel Cuesta
Michael Hoyos6.722M. Hoyos

Sport Boys Substitutes

61Jeferson Nolasco
4Renzo Alfani
55Gustavo Dulanto68'for H. Riojas6.7
47Miguel Trauco86'for L. Urruti6.5
77Yuriel Celi63'for J. Alarcon6.9
5Federico Illanes
28Erick Gonzales46'replaced by N. Da Campo6.9
30Percy Liza68'for C. Cueva6.5
14Rolando Diaz

Sporting Cristal Substitutes

32Leonardo Díaz36'for R. Lutiger6.7
33César Bautista
4Anderson Villacorta
18Juan Cruz Gonzalez69'for L. Sosa6.7
23Maxloren Castro46'for S. Gonzalez6.7
6Agustín Álvarez81'for M. Tavara6.9
29Hernán Barcos68'for M. Hoyos6.7
16Luis Iberico
11Irven Ávila68'for J. Cuesta6.2

Match Stats

Sport BoysSporting Cristal
54%Ball Possession46%
9Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
9Total Shots5
2Shots on Goal1
3Shots off Goal3
6Shots Inside Box2
3Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots1
16Fouls10
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves1
443Total Passes374
381Passes Accurate293
86%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

Sport BoysSport Boys
Sporting CristalSporting Cristal
1592Elo Rating 1680
1.70Attack 2.69
0.92Defense 1.38
41%Hit Rate 77%
15.1Shots per Game 15.6
4.5Shots on Target 5.4
4.3Corners per Game 5.9
3.2Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sport BoysSport Boys
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Sporting CristalSporting Cristal
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 1.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Sport BoysSport Boys0Wins · 0%
Draws330%
Sporting CristalSporting Cristal7Wins · 70%
3.3Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División15/03/2026
Sporting CristalSport Boys
30
Primera División26/07/2025
Sport BoysSporting Cristal
02
Primera División16/02/2025
Sporting CristalSport Boys
21
Primera División21/07/2024
Sporting CristalSport Boys
40
Primera División04/02/2024
Sport BoysSporting Cristal
13
Primera División10/09/2023
Sport BoysSporting Cristal
11
Primera División14/04/2023
Sporting CristalSport Boys
11
Primera División15/10/2022
Sport BoysSporting Cristal
35
Primera División05/06/2022
Sporting CristalSport Boys
30
Primera División30/10/2021
Sporting CristalSport Boys
11

Recent Form

Referee Profile

Augusto Menendez137 matches

5.86Cards per match
5.34Yellow cards per match
0.52Red cards per match
26.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Augusto Menendez5.86
Other referees5.31

5.86 cards a match, 0.55 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.31).

Cards come from 116 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera Division: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima31198452:23+2965DWWWW
2UniversitarioUniversitario30168652:34+1856WLWLW
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar31159754:35+1954DWLWW
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso311561047:33+1451WWWLL
5CuscoCusco311631246:43+351DDWWL
6CiencianoCienciano311551153:43+1050WWDLW
7Sporting CristalSporting Cristal311451257:47+1047DDLLW
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico311371148:46+246LWWLL
9Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas311371139:51-1246DLLWW
10Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo311351344:48-444WLLWD
11Sport BoysSport Boys301181134:33+141LDWLL
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College311181247:56-941LLDDL
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos318111242:45-335DLWWD
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau31971528:38-1034LLLWL
15ADTADT31791533:45-1230DWWDL
16FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca31771744:60-1628WWLLD
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua31771725:46-2128DLWLW
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca31581836:55-1918LLDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima3152:2365
2UniversitarioUniversitario3052:3456
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar3154:3554
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso3147:3351
5CuscoCusco3146:4351
6CiencianoCienciano3153:4350
7Sporting CristalSporting Cristal3157:4747
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico3148:4646
9Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas3139:5146
10Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo3144:4844
11Sport BoysSport Boys3034:3341
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College3147:5641
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos3142:4535
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau3128:3834
15ADTADT3133:4530
16FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca3144:6028
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua3125:4628
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca3136:5518

Primera Division: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima17124130:8+2240DWWWW
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas17104325:21+434DLLWW
3CiencianoCienciano17103434:22+1233WWDLW
4UniversitarioUniversitario1785424:15+929WLWLW
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1784529:20+928DWLWW
6CuscoCusco1783621:24-327DDWWL
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1775521:18+326WWWLL
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1756620:18+221LWWLL
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1756618:20-221DLWWD
10ADTADT1755722:21+120DWWDL
11Sport BoysSport Boys1755715:19-420LDWLL
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1754828:30-219DDLLW
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1746721:26-518LLDLD
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1753917:24-718DLWLW
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1745823:28-517WWLLD
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1744912:18-616LLLWL
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1744921:31-1016WLLWD
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1744922:40-1816LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1730:840
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1725:2134
3CiencianoCienciano1734:2233
4UniversitarioUniversitario1724:1529
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1729:2028
6CuscoCusco1721:2427
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1721:1826
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1720:1821
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1718:2021
10ADTADT1722:2120
11Sport BoysSport Boys1715:1920
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1728:3019
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1721:2618
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1717:2418
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1723:2817
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1712:1816
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1721:3116
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1722:4016

Primera Division: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1491429:17+1228DDLLW
2Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1491423:17+628WLLWD
3UniversitarioUniversitario1383228:19+927WLWLW
4FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1475225:15+1026DWLWW
5Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1481526:15+1125WWWLL
6Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1474325:16+925LLDDL
7Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1474322:15+725DWWWW
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1481528:28025LWWLL
9CuscoCusco1480625:19+624DDWWL
10Sport BoysSport Boys1363419:14+521LDWLL
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1453616:20-418LLLWL
12CiencianoCienciano1452719:21-217WWDLW
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1435624:25-114DLWWD
14Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1433814:30-1612DLLWW
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1432921:32-1111WWLLD
16ADTADT1424811:24-1310DWWDL
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua142488:22-1410DLWLW
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca14121115:29-145LLDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1429:1728
2Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1423:1728
3UniversitarioUniversitario1328:1927
4FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1425:1526
5Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1426:1525
6Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1425:1625
7Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1422:1525
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1428:2825
9CuscoCusco1425:1924
10Sport BoysSport Boys1319:1421
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1416:2018
12CiencianoCienciano1419:2117
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1424:2514
14Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1414:3012
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1421:3211
16ADTADT1411:2410
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua148:2210
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1415:295
PromotionRelegation

About the Sport Boys vs Sporting Cristal forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sport Boys and Sporting Cristal in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Sporting Cristal are 7th and Sport Boys 11th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Sport Boys 34-33, Sporting Cristal 57-47. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Sport Boys have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Sporting Cristal have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.