Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 7
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.71
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+11.1%
Alianza Lima Rest
6 days
Deportivo Garcilaso Rest
7 days
Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Garcilaso: result, form and history
Deportivo Garcilaso beat Alianza Lima 1-0 in the Primera División on 30 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Deportivo Garcilaso had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Alianza Lima.
Alianza Lima have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 7 previous meetings, which averaged 3.4 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
165%1.32
X22%4.33
213%10.25
Double Chance
1X87%1.05
X235%3.08
Both Teams to Score
Yes50%2.29
No50%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.58 + 0.82 = 2.40
Over 1.572%1.27
Over 2.546%1.88
Over 3.524%3.10
Under 1.528%3.45
Under 2.554%1.87
Under 3.576%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 3.6 = 9.8
Over 8.565%1.71
Over 9.553%2.13
Over 10.539%2.83
Under 8.535%2.01
Under 9.547%1.63
Under 10.561%1.34
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.8 = 5.1
Over 3.569%-
Over 4.555%1.72
Under 3.531%-
Under 4.545%1.99
Match Events
29'B. Da Silva(Penalty)
41'F. CastelliUnsportsmanlike conduct
45+1'J. VelezFoul
46'Paolo Guerrero INF. Girotti out
46'A. Cantero INC. Neira out
63'F. Castelli INC. Olivares out
72'A. SalazarUnsportsmanlike conduct
75'M. Antoni INC. Carbajal out
75'L. Advincula INA. Burlamaqui out
75'J. Velez INL. Ramos out
81'R. GarcesFoul
82'F. Arancibia INA. Ascues out
88'B. Da Silva INS. Ramirez out
90+3'A. GomezFoul
90+3'N. DiazUnsportsmanlike conduct
Lineups
Alianza LimaDeportivo Garcilaso
4-2-3-1Coach: Lisandro GreppoAvg ratingAvg rating
1A. Duarte
17L. Advíncula
6R. Garcés
3M. Antoni
2N. Díaz
5E. Pavez
7F. Gaibor
11A. Cantero
20J. Vélez
C34P. Guerrero
8E. Castillo
C1P. Zubczuk
55E. Canales
2A. Salazar
19A. Gomez
23X. Moreno
18C. Ramos
8A. González
11F. Arancibia
10K. Sandoval
30B. Da Silva
9F. CastelliAlianza Lima Substitutes
22Christian Neira46'for A. Cantero
99Federico Girotti46'for Paolo Guerrero
31Cristian Carbajal75'for M. Antoni
18Alessandro Burlamaqui75'for L. Advincula
9Luis Ramos75'for J. Velez
12Ángel de la Cruz
4Gianfranco Chávez
29Jean Pierre Archimbaud
25Gaspar Gentile
Deportivo Garcilaso Substitutes
24Christopher Olivares63'for F. Castelli
27Adrián Ascues82'for F. Arancibia
17Sharif Ramírez88'replaced by B. Da Silva
31Juniors Barbieri
6Cesar Flores
33Samir Villacorta
22Jefferson Portales
20Anthony Rosell
35Joao Mendoza
Match Stats
Alianza LimaDeportivo Garcilaso 71%Ball Possession29%
10Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards3
25Total Shots8
6Shots on Goal5
15Shots off Goal2
18Shots Inside Box4
7Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots1
13Fouls16
6Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves6
476Total Passes200
402Passes Accurate121
84%Pass Accuracy61%
Team Comparison
Alianza LimaDeportivo Garcilaso1707Elo Rating 1659
1.97Attack 2.41
1.83Defense 1.02
73%Hit Rate 37%
17.3Shots per Game 19.1
5.7Shots on Target 7.2
6.3Corners per Game 5.2
2.3Cards per Game 2.0
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend71% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Alianza Lima- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Deportivo Garcilaso- Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.8 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
Alianza Lima5Wins · 72%Draws114%
Deportivo Garcilaso1Wins · 14%
1Wins · 14%3.4Avg Goals
71%Both teams scored5 of 7
57%3+ goals4 of 7
Previous meetings
15/03/2026Deportivo GarcilasoAlianza Lima11
14/09/2025Alianza LimaDeportivo Garcilaso34
15/04/2025Deportivo GarcilasoAlianza Lima01
27/10/2024Deportivo GarcilasoAlianza Lima12
20/05/2024Alianza LimaDeportivo Garcilaso32
29/10/2023Deportivo GarcilasoAlianza Lima01
11/06/2023Alianza LimaDeportivo Garcilaso32
Recent Form
Alianza Lima3W5D2L
23/08/2026
FBC MelgarAlianza Lima
Sport BoysAlianza LimaAlianza Lima
Alianza Atletico
Comerciantes UnidosAlianza LimaAlianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
FBC MelgarAlianza Lima11
D16/08/2026Alianza Lima
UTC Cajamarca
09/08/2026Alianza LimaUTC Cajamarca10
WSport BoysAlianza Lima11
D02/08/2026Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico31
W26/07/2026Comerciantes UnidosAlianza Lima22
D20/07/2026Alianza LimaSport Huancayo21
W28/06/2026Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico
Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico12
L21/06/2026
Carlos A. MannucciAlianza Lima
Carlos A. MannucciAlianza Lima31
L14/06/2026
Cesar VallejoAlianza Lima
Cesar VallejoAlianza Lima00
D31/05/2026
FC CajamarcaAlianza Lima
FC CajamarcaAlianza Lima11
DDeportivo Garcilaso5W2D3L
23/08/2026Deportivo Garcilaso
CuscoDeportivo Garcilaso
UCV Moquegua
ADTDeportivo GarcilasoDeportivo GarcilasoFC Cajamarca
Sporting CristalDeportivo GarcilasoDeportivo GarcilasoCusco
Deportivo GarcilasoCusco41
W17/08/2026
CiencianoDeportivo Garcilaso
09/08/2026CiencianoDeportivo Garcilaso00
DDeportivo GarcilasoUCV Moquegua20
W02/08/2026ADTDeportivo Garcilaso01
W27/07/2026Deportivo GarcilasoFC Cajamarca21
W17/07/2026Sporting CristalDeportivo Garcilaso10
L12/07/2026UCV MoqueguaDeportivo Garcilaso
UCV MoqueguaDeportivo Garcilaso4020
L29/06/2026Deportivo Garcilaso
Deportivo Binacional
Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Binacional41
W22/06/2026CiencianoDeportivo Garcilaso
15/06/2026CiencianoDeportivo Garcilaso21
LDeportivo GarcilasoCusco00
DReferee Profile
5.43Cards per match
5.04Yellow cards per match
0.39Red cards per match
26.4Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.43 cards a match, 0.29 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.14).
Cards come from 54 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 52:23 | +29 | 65 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Universitario | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 55:35 | +20 | 59 | DWLWL |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 54:37 | +17 | 54 | WDWLW |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 50:35 | +15 | 54 | WWWWL |
| 5 | Cusco | 32 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 46:44 | +2 | 51 | LDDWW |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 62:47 | +15 | 50 | LDDLL |
| 7 | Cienciano | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 53:43 | +10 | 50 | WWDLW |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 49:46 | +3 | 49 | WLWWL |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46:48 | -2 | 47 | LWLLW |
| 10 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39:51 | -12 | 47 | WDLLW |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 35:33 | +2 | 44 | DLDWL |
| 12 |  Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 47:57 | -10 | 41 | LLLDD |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 44:47 | -3 | 36 | LDLWW |
| 14 |  Atletico Grau | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 29:41 | -12 | 34 | WLLLW |
| 15 | ADT | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 31 | WDWWD |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 25:46 | -21 | 29 | LDLWL |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 44:65 | -21 | 28 | WWWLL |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 38:58 | -20 | 18 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 52:23 | 65 |
| 2 | Universitario | 31 | 55:35 | 59 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 32 | 54:37 | 54 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 32 | 50:35 | 54 |
| 5 | Cusco | 32 | 46:44 | 51 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 32 | 62:47 | 50 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 31 | 53:43 | 50 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 32 | 49:46 | 49 |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 32 | 46:48 | 47 |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 32 | 39:51 | 47 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 31 | 35:33 | 44 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 47:57 | 41 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 32 | 44:47 | 36 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 32 | 29:41 | 34 |
| 15 | ADT | 32 | 35:47 | 31 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 32 | 25:46 | 29 |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 32 | 44:65 | 28 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 32 | 38:58 | 18 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | WDLLW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WWDLW |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | DWLWL |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | WDWLW |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | LDDWW |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WWWWL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | WLWWL |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | LDLWW |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | WDWWD |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | DLDWL |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | LDDLL |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LLLDL |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | LDLWL |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | WWWLL |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | WLLLW |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | LWLLW |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 34:17 | +17 | 31 | LDDLL |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 25:17 | +8 | 31 | LWLLW |
| 3 | Universitario | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 31:20 | +11 | 30 | DWLWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29:17 | +12 | 28 | WWWWL |
| 5 | Alianza Atletico | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29:28 | +1 | 28 | WLWWL |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 25:17 | +8 | 26 | WDWLW |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:17 | +8 | 25 | LLLDD |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22:15 | +7 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20:14 | +6 | 24 | DLDWL |
| 10 | Cusco | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 25:20 | +5 | 24 | LDDWW |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17:23 | -6 | 18 | WLLLW |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:21 | -2 | 17 | WWDLW |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 26:27 | -1 | 15 | LDLWW |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14:30 | -16 | 13 | WDLLW |
| 15 | ADT | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13:26 | -13 | 11 | WDWWD |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 8:22 | -14 | 11 | LDLWL |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 21:37 | -16 | 11 | WWWLL |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 17:32 | -15 | 5 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 34:17 | 31 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 25:17 | 31 |
| 3 | Universitario | 14 | 31:20 | 30 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 15 | 29:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Alianza Atletico | 15 | 29:28 | 28 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 15 | 25:17 | 26 |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 15 | 25:17 | 25 |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 22:15 | 25 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 14 | 20:14 | 24 |
| 10 | Cusco | 15 | 25:20 | 24 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 15 | 17:23 | 18 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 26:27 | 15 |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 15 | 14:30 | 13 |
| 15 | ADT | 15 | 13:26 | 11 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 15 | 8:22 | 11 |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 15 | 21:37 | 11 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 15 | 17:32 | 5 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- Universitario vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas 24/08/26
- Comerciantes Unidos vs FC Cajamarca 28/08/26
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Juan Pablo II College 29/08/26
- UTC Cajamarca vs Universitario 29/08/26
- UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Atletico 30/08/26
- ADT vs Sport Huancayo 30/08/26
- Sport Boys vs Sporting Cristal 30/08/26
- Cienciano vs Cusco 31/08/26
About the Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Garcilaso forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Alianza Lima and Deportivo Garcilaso in the Primera División table
This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Alianza Lima are 1st in the Primera División, 11 points ahead of Deportivo Garcilaso in 4th. League goal record so far: Alianza Lima 52-23, Deportivo Garcilaso 50-35. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.