Comerciantes Unidos vs FC Cajamarca Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 7
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.26
SignalHIGHModel63%SurpriseMediumGap-1.1%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.83
SignalSOLIDModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+10.5%
Comerciantes Unidos Rest
6 days
FC Cajamarca Rest
7 days
Comerciantes Unidos vs FC Cajamarca: the result in context
FC Cajamarca beat Comerciantes Unidos 3-2 in the Primera División on 28 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Referee Joel Alarcon averages 3.47 cards a game, 1.62 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
157%1.62
X24%3.76
219%5.20
Double Chance
1X81%1.13
X243%2.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes61%1.83
No39%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.77 + 0.94 = 2.71
Over 1.576%1.26
Over 2.559%1.85
Over 3.535%3.15
Under 1.524%3.50
Under 2.541%1.90
Under 3.565%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 3.8 = 8.8
Over 8.546%1.69
Over 9.531%2.02
Over 10.520%2.67
Under 8.554%2.06
Under 9.569%1.69
Under 10.580%1.40
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.8 + 3.1 = 5.9
Over 3.582%-
Over 4.566%1.80
Under 3.518%-
Under 4.534%1.91
Match Events
7'M. RasmussenAssist: C. A. Correa Flores
10'M. ArrascoAssist: A. J. Posito Olazabal
17'Goal Disallowed - offsideF. Alcedo
45+6'C. A. Correa FloresFoul
46'A. Rodriguez INJ. Olivares out
46'W. Ayovi INJhon Sanchez out
46'J. Herrera INT. Salinas out
49'F. AlcedoFoul
52'J. Olivares
58'E. M. Perez Azambuya INM. Sen out
59'R. Vilca(Penalty)
62'J. OlivaresFoul
67'B. Palacios INA. Gutierrez out
67'C. A. Correa Flores INP. Goyoneche out
73'M. Rasmussen INC. Gomez out
78'M. ArrascoFoul
84'J. Olivares INM. P. Carpio Ferro out
85'P. Cejas INJ. Lugo out
89'M. ArrascoAssist: S. Enciso
Lineups
Comerciantes UnidosFC Cajamarca
4-4-2Coach: Rafael Ayala Gavilan CelsoAvg ratingAvg rating
17M. Córdova
16F. Rojas
40F. Alcedo
C6J. Rodríguez
15A. Cossio
11J. Herrera
18A. Rodriguez
4A. Arias
8W. Ayoví
13M. Pérez
25R. Vilca
12S. Aspajo
5R. Suárez
2A. Pósito
95Y. Vílchez
31S. Enciso
6M. Rasmussen
C18J. Orejuela
13C. Correa
17B. Palacios
9P. Santiago Cejas
11M. ArrascoComerciantes Unidos Substitutes
99José Charún
30Piero Guzmán
20José Parodi
10Mathías Carpio84'replaced by J. Olivares
32Jhon Sánchez46'for W. Ayovi
28Óscar Pinto
14Thiago Salinas46'replaced by J. Herrera
9Matías Sen58'for E. M. Perez Azambuya
50Jean Carlo Olivares
FC Cajamarca Substitutes
3Jonathan Medina
44Carlos Gómez
14Arthur Gutiérrez67'for B. Palacios
32Patrick Alegría
21John Vega
25Paulo Goyoneche67'for C. A. Correa Flores
88Edson Aubert
35Rodrigo Dioses
77José Lugo85'for P. Cejas
Match Stats
Comerciantes UnidosFC Cajamarca 72%Ball Possession28%
5Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards2
23Total Shots11
5Shots on Goal6
11Shots off Goal4
13Shots Inside Box4
10Shots Outside Box7
7Blocked Shots1
9Fouls17
1Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves3
497Total Passes193
432Passes Accurate131
87%Pass Accuracy68%
Team Comparison
Comerciantes UnidosFC Cajamarca1503Elo Rating 1471
1.24Attack 0.81
0.86Defense 1.47
0%Hit Rate 17%
14.0Shots per Game 15.5
4.9Shots on Target 5.2
4.4Corners per Game 3.0
1.8Cards per Game 2.3
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Comerciantes Unidos- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FC Cajamarca- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0 in second half)
Head to Head
1 previous meeting, all competitions
Comerciantes Unidos1Wins · 100%Draws00%
FC Cajamarca0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%7.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1
Previous meetings
13/03/2026FC CajamarcaComerciantes Unidos34
Recent Form
Comerciantes Unidos2W4D4L
22/08/2026
UTC CajamarcaComerciantes Unidos
Atletico GrauComerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos
Cusco
Club Deportivo Los ChankasComerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
UCV MoqueguaComerciantes Unidos
UTC CajamarcaComerciantes Unidos13
W14/08/2026Atletico GrauComerciantes Unidos10
L07/08/2026Comerciantes UnidosCusco31
W31/07/2026Club Deportivo Los ChankasComerciantes Unidos32
L26/07/2026Comerciantes UnidosAlianza Lima22
D18/07/2026UCV MoqueguaComerciantes Unidos22
D27/06/2026Comerciantes Unidos
Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes UnidosJuan Pablo II College00
D11/06/2026
Deportiva AgropecuariaComerciantes Unidos
Deportiva AgropecuariaComerciantes Unidos20
L31/05/2026
Sport BoysComerciantes Unidos
Sport BoysComerciantes Unidos10
L25/05/2026Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
Comerciantes UnidosDeportivo Garcilaso00
DFC Cajamarca1W4D5L
21/08/2026FC CajamarcaAtletico GrauFC Cajamarca
Universitario
FBC MelgarFC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca
Sport HuancayoDeportivo GarcilasoFC CajamarcaFC CajamarcaJuan Pablo II CollegeFC Cajamarca
Deportivo Llacuabamba
FC CajamarcaAtletico Grau13
L16/08/2026FC CajamarcaUniversitario23
L09/08/2026FBC MelgarFC Cajamarca24
W01/08/2026FC CajamarcaSport Huancayo02
L27/07/2026Deportivo GarcilasoFC Cajamarca21
L17/07/2026FC CajamarcaJuan Pablo II College22
D26/06/2026UTC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca
20/06/2026UTC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca31
LFC CajamarcaDeportivo Llacuabamba11
D31/05/2026FC CajamarcaAlianza Lima
FC CajamarcaAlianza Lima11
D24/05/2026
Alianza AtleticoFC Cajamarca
Alianza AtleticoFC Cajamarca11
DReferee Profile
3.47Cards per match
3.16Yellow cards per match
0.30Red cards per match
21.2Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
3.47 cards a match, 1.62 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.09).
Cards come from 43 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 50:20 | +30 | 65 | WWWWL |
| 2 | Universitario | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 52:34 | +18 | 56 | WLWLW |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 53:34 | +19 | 53 | WLWWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 47:33 | +14 | 51 | WWWLL |
| 5 | Cusco | 31 | 16 | 3 | 12 | 46:43 | +3 | 51 | DDWWL |
| 6 |  Cienciano | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 53:43 | +10 | 50 | WWDLW |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 48:46 | +2 | 46 | LWWLL |
| 8 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 39:51 | -12 | 46 | DLLWW |
| 9 |  Sporting Cristal | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 54:45 | +9 | 44 | DLLWL |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 44:48 | -4 | 44 | WLLWD |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 34:33 | +1 | 41 | LDWLL |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 47:56 | -9 | 41 | LLDDL |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 34 | LWWDD |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 28:38 | -10 | 34 | LLLWL |
| 15 |  ADT | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 30 | DWWDL |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 44:60 | -16 | 28 | WWLLD |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 25:46 | -21 | 28 | DLWLW |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 36:55 | -19 | 18 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 30 | 50:20 | 65 |
| 2 | Universitario | 30 | 52:34 | 56 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 30 | 53:34 | 53 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 31 | 47:33 | 51 |
| 5 | Cusco | 31 | 46:43 | 51 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 31 | 53:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 31 | 48:46 | 46 |
| 8 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 31 | 39:51 | 46 |
| 9 | Sporting Cristal | 30 | 54:45 | 44 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 31 | 44:48 | 44 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 30 | 34:33 | 41 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 31 | 47:56 | 41 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 30 | 41:44 | 34 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 31 | 28:38 | 34 |
| 15 | ADT | 31 | 33:45 | 30 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 31 | 44:60 | 28 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 31 | 25:46 | 28 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 31 | 36:55 | 18 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | WWWWL |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | DLLWW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WWDLW |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | WLWLW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | WLWWL |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | DDWWL |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WWWLL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | LWWLL |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | LWWDD |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | DWWDL |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | LDWLL |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | DLLWL |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LLDLD |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | DLWLW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | WWLLD |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | LLLWL |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | WLLWD |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | LLDDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 23:17 | +6 | 28 | WLLWD |
| 2 | Universitario | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28:19 | +9 | 27 | WLWLW |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 26:15 | +11 | 25 | DLLWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 26:15 | +11 | 25 | WWWLL |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 24:14 | +10 | 25 | WLWWL |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II College | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25:16 | +9 | 25 | LLDDL |
| 7 | Alianza Lima | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20:12 | +8 | 25 | WWWWL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 28:28 | 0 | 25 | LWWLL |
| 9 | Cusco | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 25:19 | +6 | 24 | DDWWL |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19:14 | +5 | 21 | LDWLL |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 18 | LLLWL |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:21 | -2 | 17 | WWDLW |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 23:24 | -1 | 13 | LWWDD |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:30 | -16 | 12 | DLLWW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 21:32 | -11 | 11 | WWLLD |
| 16 | ADT | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:24 | -13 | 10 | DWWDL |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 8:22 | -14 | 10 | DLWLW |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15:29 | -14 | 5 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 14 | 23:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Universitario | 13 | 28:19 | 27 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 13 | 26:15 | 25 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 14 | 26:15 | 25 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 24:14 | 25 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II College | 14 | 25:16 | 25 |
| 7 | Alianza Lima | 13 | 20:12 | 25 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 14 | 28:28 | 25 |
| 9 | Cusco | 14 | 25:19 | 24 |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 13 | 19:14 | 21 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 14 | 16:20 | 18 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 13 | 23:24 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 14 | 14:30 | 12 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 14 | 21:32 | 11 |
| 16 | ADT | 14 | 11:24 | 10 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 14 | 8:22 | 10 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 14 | 15:29 | 5 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco 23/08/26
- Sport Boys vs Cienciano 23/08/26
- FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima 23/08/26
- Universitario vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas 24/08/26
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Juan Pablo II College 29/08/26
- UTC Cajamarca vs Universitario 29/08/26
- Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Garcilaso 30/08/26
- UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Atletico 30/08/26
About the Comerciantes Unidos vs FC Cajamarca forecast
The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Comerciantes Unidos and FC Cajamarca in the Primera División table
In the Primera División table, Comerciantes Unidos are 13th and FC Cajamarca 16th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Comerciantes Unidos 41-44, FC Cajamarca 44-60. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Comerciantes Unidos and FC Cajamarca have met only 1 time recently, with 7.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.