Sporting CP B vs Tondela Prediction

Sporting CP B
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Tondela
CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira, Alcochet·Carlos Macedo 08/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseHighGap-9.5%
Sporting CP B Rest
8 days
Tondela Rest
7 days

Sporting CP B vs Tondela: the result in context

Sporting CP B and Tondela drew 1-1 in the Segunda Liga on 8 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Carlos Macedo averages 4.50 cards a game, 0.99 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%2.88
X
28%3.20
2
35%2.33
Double Chance
1X
65%1.52
X2
64%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.80
No
48%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.57 + 1.12 = 2.69
Over 1.5
70%1.33
Over 2.5
47%2.08
Over 3.5
26%3.75
Under 1.5
30%3.00
Under 2.5
53%1.70
Under 3.5
74%1.25
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

1'Jose Ricardo
26'Antonio Tomane
46'Salvador Blopa INIvanildo da Silva Mendes out
60'Mateo Tanlongo
61'Arjen Van Der Heide INXabier Huarte Armendáriz out
61'Hugo Félix INTiago Dias out
70'Rodrigo Cascavel INGaston Novero out
70'Hélder Tavares INSphephelo Sithole out
73'Lucas Taibo
85'Jose Ricardo INian kamga out
87'Rodrigo Rodrigues INKauã Wellhington Oliveira Pinto out
87'Paulo Cardoso INMicael Sanha out
90'Rafael Nel INGabriel Silva out
90'Mauro Couto INBidu out

Lineups

Sporting CP B
4-2-3-1Coach: Tiago Fernandes
Tondela
4-2-3-1Coach: Ricardo Costa
Francisco Silva99F. Silva
Salvador Blopa70S. Blopa
Eduardo Felicíssimo73E. Felicíssimo
Lucas Taibo95L. Taibo
Rodrigo Dias50R. Dias
M. Tanlongo40M. Tanlongo
Samuel Justo96S. Justo
Rodrigo Rodrigues76R. Rodrigues
Mauro Couto78M. Couto
Paulo Cardoso87P. Cardoso
Rafael Ferreira Nel9R. Ferreira Nel
Carlos28Carlos
Carraça15Carraça
Christian Marques4C. Marques
B. Medina23B. Medina
Zé Ricardo12Z. Ricardo
Hélder Tavares8H. Tavares
Sarará37Sarará
A. van der Heide26A. van der Heide
Hugo Félix20H. Félix
Cascavel7Cascavel
Tómané19Tómané

Sporting CP B Substitutes

74Guilherme Pires
46W. Lodmell
85Rafael Mota
45D. Coxi
59Kauã Oliveira87'for Rodrigo Rodrigues
62I. da Silva Mendes46'for Salvador Blopa
83Z. Bafdili
88Bidu90'replaced by Mauro Couto
47M. Sanha87'for Paulo Cardoso
82Gabriel Silva90'for Rafael Nel
57C. Grombahi
63Rafael Camacho

Tondela Substitutes

2Bebeto
77Tiago Dias61'for Hugo Félix
9João Lima
17G. Novero70'for Rodrigo Cascavel
14Xabi Huarte61'for Arjen Van Der Heide
13S. Sithole70'for Hélder Tavares
11Alves Richarllyson Carvalho
10H. Addo
5João Afonso
3ian kamga85'replaced by Jose Ricardo
1Lucas Cañizares
22B. Almeida

Match Stats

Sporting CP BTondela
60%Ball Possession40%
8Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards1
8Total Shots9
2Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal6
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

Sporting CP BSporting CP B
TondelaTondela
1559Elo Rating 1482
2.20Attack 1.91
2.26Defense 1.86
83%Hit Rate 58%
13.1Shots per Game 17.4
6.4Shots on Target 5.6
3.7Corners per Game 9.2
1.3Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

Sporting CP BSporting CP B
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
TondelaTondela
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Recent Form

Sporting CP BSporting CP B
8W0D2L
31/10/2026
LeixoesSporting CP B
12
W
30/10/2026
Leicester City U21Sporting CP B
12
W
24/10/2026
Sporting CP BPortimonense
30
W
10/10/2026
VizelaSporting CP B
02
W
30/09/2026
Nottingham Forest U21Sporting CP B
24
W
14/09/2026
Sporting CP BLusitânia Lourosa
12
L
05/09/2026
FeirenseSporting CP B
13
W
30/08/2026
Sporting CP BFarense
21
W
23/08/2026
PenafielSporting CP B
20
L
15/08/2026
Sporting CP BChaves
10
W
TondelaTondela
6W0D4L
01/11/2026
TondelaFelgueiras 1932
32
W
25/10/2026
AVSTondela
21
L
18/10/2026
TondelaAlverca
2000
W
10/10/2026
TondelaTorreense
10
W
19/09/2026
Imortal AlbufeiraTondela
15
W
12/09/2026
PortimonenseTondela
02
W
05/09/2026
TondelaFC Porto B
30
W
28/08/2026
União de LeiriaTondela
20
L
21/08/2026
TondelaAcademica
02
L
16/08/2026
LeixoesTondela
10
L

Referee Profile

Carlos Macedo129 matches

4.50Cards per match
4.33Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
29.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Carlos Macedo4.50
Other referees5.49

4.50 cards a match, 0.99 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.49).

Cards come from 80 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenafielPenafiel1071222:10+1222WWWLW
2Sporting CP BSporting CP B1071216:8+822DWWWL
3Benfica BBenfica B1062214:8+620WWDWW
4Lusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa1054115:9+619LDDDW
5União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria1052316:13+317WWDLD
6AcademicaAcademica1051416:13+316DLWWL
7TondelaTondela1051413:11+216DWLWW
8FarenseFarense1043317:14+315LDLWW
9VizelaVizela1043312:11+115DWLLD
10PortimonensePortimonense104247:10-314WDLWL
11AVSAVS1034313:12+113DLWWD
12LeixoesLeixoes1032513:17-411DLLLD
13TorreenseTorreense1024410:13-310LDWLD
14AmaranteAmarante102359:13-49DWLLD
15Felgueiras 1932Felgueiras 19321015412:15-38DLDLL
16FC Porto BFC Porto B102268:18-108LLDWD
17ChavesChaves1022611:21-108LLWDL
18FeirenseFeirense101273:11-85WLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PenafielPenafiel1022:1022
2Sporting CP BSporting CP B1016:822
3Benfica BBenfica B1014:820
4Lusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa1015:919
5União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria1016:1317
6AcademicaAcademica1016:1316
7TondelaTondela1013:1116
8FarenseFarense1017:1415
9VizelaVizela1012:1115
10PortimonensePortimonense107:1014
11AVSAVS1013:1213
12LeixoesLeixoes1013:1711
13TorreenseTorreense1010:1310
14AmaranteAmarante109:139
15Felgueiras 1932Felgueiras 19321012:158
16FC Porto BFC Porto B108:188
17ChavesChaves1011:218
18FeirenseFeirense103:115
PromotionRelegation

About the Sporting CP B vs Tondela forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sporting CP B and Tondela in the Segunda Liga table

In the Segunda Liga table, Sporting CP B are 2nd and Tondela 7th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Sporting CP B 16-8, Tondela 13-11. The full standings are on the Segunda Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Sporting CP B have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Sporting CP B and Tondela have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.