Torreense vs União de Leiria Prediction

Torreense
2-3
Finished
HT 1-0
União de Leiria
Estadio Manuel Marques, Torres Vedras·Helder Carvalho 09/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-4.1%
Torreense Rest
4 days
União de Leiria Rest
9 days

Torreense vs União de Leiria: result, form and history

União de Leiria beat Torreense 3-2 in the Segunda Liga on 9 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. União de Leiria tend to win more corners, 6.8 a game to 3.5 for Torreense.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.90
X
26%3.58
2
26%3.56
Double Chance
1X
74%1.25
X2
52%1.81
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.60
No
44%2.19
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.26 + 1.19 = 2.45
Over 1.5
75%1.20
Over 2.5
53%1.70
Over 3.5
32%2.65
Under 1.5
25%4.10
Under 2.5
47%2.10
Under 3.5
68%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

26'Dany JeanAssist: Jorge Aguirre de Céspedes
53'Pablo Fernandez
59'Jose Pedro Barros Goncalves
60'Jorge Aguirre de Céspedes INmusa drammeh out
60'Manuel Pozo INCostinha out
69'Pablo Fernandez INDiogo Martins out
69'jaiminho INDamien Loppy out
69'L. Quintero INVando Félix out
75'
77'Juan Muñoz
82'David Bruno INJonathan Mutombo Mawesi out
82'João Marques INKarem Zoabi out
83'Kouassi Eboue INHugo Masaki out
83'Juan Muñoz INAlbert Lottin out
86'Diogo Martins
90'Jakob·Odehnal
90+3'Javi Vazquez

Lineups

Torreense
4-2-3-1Coach: João Nuno
União de Leiria
4-4-2Coach: Fábio Pereira
Adriel31Adriel
David Bruno22D. Bruno
M. Diadie5M. Diadie
Volnei Feltes4V. Feltes
Javi Vázquez23J. Vázquez
João Marques33J. Marques
Alejandro Alfaro8A. Alfaro
L. Quintero29L. Quintero
Manu Pozo11M. Pozo
D. Jean7D. Jean
Jorge Aguirre14J. Aguirre
J. Odehnal99J. Odehnal
Maga68Maga
Marcelo44Marcelo
Zé Pedro16Z. Pedro
Marc Baró3M. Baró
Jaime21Jaime
Ibrahima98Ibrahima
E. Kouassi6E. Kouassi
Jair da Silva11J. da Silva
Juan Muñoz9J. Muñoz
Pablo Fernández17P. Fernández

Torreense Substitutes

2Stopira
16Lisandru Olmeta
3Juan María Alcedo
45J. Mutombo82'for David Bruno
6A. Oudrhiri
10Costinha60'for Manuel Pozo
20Carlos Reina
21Nuha Jatta
26André Simões
17M. Drammeh60'for Jorge Aguirre de Céspedes
19K. Zoabi82'for João Marques
90Vando Félix69'for L. Quintero

União de Leiria Substitutes

5Miguel Nóbrega
82S. Lukisa
88Diogo Martins69'for Pablo Fernandez86'
29D. Loppy69'for jaiminho
25Diogo Amado
20Bernardo Gomes
19A. Lottin83'for Juan Muñoz
18Tharlley Oliveira Da Silva
70H. Masaki83'for Kouassi Eboue
34Quilma
80Christian Joel
79Pedro Oliveira

Match Stats

TorreenseUnião de Leiria
47%Ball Possession53%
2Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards2
8Total Shots19
3Shots on Goal10
5Shots off Goal9
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

TorreenseTorreense
União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria
1571Elo Rating 1574
1.31Attack 1.44
1.52Defense 1.98
46%Hit Rate 61%
9.5Shots per Game 17.8
3.4Shots on Target 8.1
3.5Corners per Game 6.8
2.6Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend56% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

TorreenseTorreense
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 75% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

TorreenseTorreense4Wins · 45%
Draws111%
União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria4Wins · 44%
2.6Avg Goals
56%Both teams scored5 of 9
56%3+ goals5 of 9

Previous meetings

Segunda Liga08/02/2026
TorreenseUnião de Leiria
31
Taça de Portugal11/01/2026
TorreenseUnião de Leiria
31
Segunda Liga29/08/2025
União de LeiriaTorreense
10
Segunda Liga06/04/2025
União de LeiriaTorreense
13
Segunda Liga10/11/2024
TorreenseUnião de Leiria
21
Segunda Liga20/04/2024
TorreenseUnião de Leiria
03
Segunda Liga08/12/2023
União de LeiriaTorreense
10
Liga 311/12/2021
União de LeiriaTorreense
10
Liga 314/08/2021
TorreenseUnião de Leiria
11

Recent Form

União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria
6W2D2L
31/10/2026
União de LeiriaAVS
21
W
25/10/2026
FC Porto BUnião de Leiria
11
D
17/10/2026
União de LeiriaBragança
21
W
11/10/2026
União de LeiriaAcademica
02
L
19/09/2026
O ElvasUnião de Leiria
02
W
13/09/2026
AmaranteUnião de Leiria
22
D
06/09/2026
União de LeiriaPortimonense
10
W
28/08/2026
União de LeiriaTondela
20
W
22/08/2026
LeixoesUnião de Leiria
24
W
15/08/2026
União de LeiriaBenfica B
12
L

Referee Profile

Helder Carvalho99 matches

5.06Cards per match
4.77Yellow cards per match
0.28Red cards per match
29.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Helder Carvalho5.06
Other referees5.48

5.06 cards a match, 0.42 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.48).

Cards come from 53 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenafielPenafiel1071222:10+1222WWWLW
2Sporting CP BSporting CP B1071216:8+822DWWWL
3Benfica BBenfica B1062214:8+620WWDWW
4Lusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa1054115:9+619LDDDW
5União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria1052316:13+317WWDLD
6AcademicaAcademica1051416:13+316DLWWL
7TondelaTondela1051413:11+216DWLWW
8FarenseFarense1043317:14+315LDLWW
9VizelaVizela1043312:11+115DWLLD
10PortimonensePortimonense104247:10-314WDLWL
11AVSAVS1034313:12+113DLWWD
12LeixoesLeixoes1032513:17-411DLLLD
13TorreenseTorreense1024410:13-310LDWLD
14AmaranteAmarante102359:13-49DWLLD
15Felgueiras 1932Felgueiras 19321015412:15-38DLDLL
16FC Porto BFC Porto B102268:18-108LLDWD
17ChavesChaves1022611:21-108LLWDL
18FeirenseFeirense101273:11-85WLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PenafielPenafiel1022:1022
2Sporting CP BSporting CP B1016:822
3Benfica BBenfica B1014:820
4Lusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa1015:919
5União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria1016:1317
6AcademicaAcademica1016:1316
7TondelaTondela1013:1116
8FarenseFarense1017:1415
9VizelaVizela1012:1115
10PortimonensePortimonense107:1014
11AVSAVS1013:1213
12LeixoesLeixoes1013:1711
13TorreenseTorreense1010:1310
14AmaranteAmarante109:139
15Felgueiras 1932Felgueiras 19321012:158
16FC Porto BFC Porto B108:188
17ChavesChaves1011:218
18FeirenseFeirense103:115
PromotionRelegation

About the Torreense vs União de Leiria forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Torreense and União de Leiria in the Segunda Liga table

In the Segunda Liga table, União de Leiria are 5th and Torreense 13th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Torreense 10-13, União de Leiria 16-13. The full standings are on the Segunda Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.