Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia Prediction

Torreense
3-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Ararat-Armenia
Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria·Milos Milanovic 05/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-13.9%
Torreense Rest
5 days
Ararat-Armenia Rest
4 days

Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia: result, form and history

Torreense beat Ararat-Armenia 3-2 in the UEFA Europa League on 5 Nov 2026. That went against recent form: Ararat-Armenia had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Torreense.

Referee Milos Milanovic averages 5.26 cards a game, 0.81 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%1.70
X
25%3.88
2
25%5.00
Double Chance
1X
75%1.18
X2
50%2.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.90
No
50%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1.6 = 2.80
Over 1.5
74%1.30
Over 2.5
50%1.97
Over 3.5
29%3.40
Under 1.5
26%3.40
Under 2.5
50%1.88
Under 3.5
71%1.30
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

13'Jorge Aguirre de CéspedesAssist: Javi Vazquez
22'Card upgrade confirmedJorge Aguirre de Céspedes
25'Jorge Aguirre de CéspedesSerious foul
36'Karem Zoabi INmusa drammeh out
41'Karen MuradyanAssist: Zhirayr Shaghoyan
43'Bruno WilsonFoul
45+2'Karen MuradyanArgument
45+2'Volnei FeltesArgument
48'Bernardo OliveiraFoul
58'Bruno WilsonAssist: Artur Serobyan
66'Manuel Pozo INL. Quintero out
66'Jonathan Mutombo Mawesi INDavid Bruno out
68'Bernardo Oliveira INZidane Banjaqui out
68'Zhirayr Shaghoyan INCarlos Henrique França Freires out
76'João Marques INAmine Oudrhiri out
76'Dany Jean INJuan María Alcedo out
76'joao donna
79'Artur Serobyan INArman Nersesyan out
79'Arman NersesyanTime wasting
80'Juan Andres Balanta INKamo Hovhannisyan out
84'Carlos Henrique França FreiresTime wasting
85'hugo oliveira INMaxence Carlier out
88'musa drammehDissent
90+3'Javi VazquezAssist: David Bruno
90+5'musa drammeh

Lineups

Torreense
4-2-3-1Coach: João Nuno
Ararat-Armenia
4-2-3-1Coach: Tulipa
Avg rating6.55
Avg rating6.31
Lucas Paes7.41L. Paes
J. Mutombo6.245J. Mutombo
M. Diadie6.15M. Diadie
Volnei Feltes6.64V. Feltes
Javi Vázquez7.923J. Vázquez
João Marques6.233J. Marques
Alejandro Alfaro6.68A. Alfaro
Manu Pozo6.411M. Pozo
K. Zoabi5.919K. Zoabi
D. Jean6.17D. Jean
Jorge Aguirre7.014J. Aguirre
João Bravim5.198J. Bravim
Hugo Oliveira6.72H. Oliveira
Bruno Wilson7.043B. Wilson
A. Malis6.347A. Malis
E. Grigoryan6.316E. Grigoryan
K. Muradyan6.719K. Muradyan
J. Balanta6.98J. Balanta
A. Serobyan6.877A. Serobyan
B. Oliveira6.270B. Oliveira
Z. Shaghoyan7.67Z. Shaghoyan
Sandro Lima6.291S. Lima

Torreense Substitutes

31Adriel
3Juan María Alcedo76'for Dany Jean5.8
44S. Henriksen
22David Bruno66'for Jonathan Mutombo Mawesi6.5
17M. Drammeh36'for Karem Zoabi88'90+5'7.5
21Nuha Jatta
6A. Oudrhiri76'for João Marques6.0
29L. Quintero66'for Manuel Pozo6.6
26André Simões
2Stopira
63Daniel Zamith De Oliveira Noro
86Gustavo Sousa Alhinho Alves Rijo

Ararat-Armenia Substitutes

10A. Ambartsumyan
20A. Tera
14Bruno Pereira
25A. Ndour
5Luís Felipe
13K. Hovhannisyan80'for Juan Andres Balanta5.9
95França68'for Zhirayr Shaghoyan84'6.4
9A. Eloyan
17M. Carlier85'for hugo oliveira5.9
11Zidane Banjaqui68'for Bernardo Oliveira6.5
1A. Nersesyan79'for Artur Serobyan79'4.5

Match Stats

TorreenseArarat-Armenia
42%Ball Possession58%
4Corner Kicks6
3Yellow Cards5
1Red Cards1
12Total Shots19
5Shots on Goal8
6Shots off Goal4
7Shots Inside Box10
5Shots Outside Box9
1Blocked Shots7
13Fouls11
2Offsides4
6Goalkeeper Saves2
333Total Passes479
274Passes Accurate421
10Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

TorreenseTorreense
Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia
1571Elo Rating 1616
1.31Attack 1.75
1.52Defense 1.27
46%Hit Rate 39%
9.5Shots per Game 15.6
3.4Shots on Target 6.6
3.5Corners per Game 5.7
2.6Cards per Game 4.6

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.8 goals
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

TorreenseTorreense
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Recent Form

TorreenseTorreense
3W3D4L
Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia
6W1D3L
01/11/2026
Ararat-ArmeniaGandzasar
30
W
29/10/2026
Olympia YerevanArarat-Armenia
1141
W
26/10/2026
Ararat-ArmeniaFC Noah
21
W
22/10/2026
Ararat-ArmeniaAZ Alkmaar
04
L
18/10/2026
BKMAArarat-Armenia
01
W
15/10/2026
JagielloniaArarat-Armenia
31
L
10/10/2026
Ararat-ArmeniaAlashkert
11
D
03/10/2026
AraratArarat-Armenia
04
W
20/09/2026
ShirakArarat-Armenia
13
W
16/09/2026
Ararat-ArmeniaSparta Praha
14
L

Referee Profile

Milos Milanovic142 matches

5.26Cards per match
5.00Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
28.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Milos Milanovic5.26
Other referees4.45

5.26 cards a match, 0.81 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.45).

Cards come from 62 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Europa League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BenficaBenfica440013:3+1012WWWW
2BournemouthBournemouth440011:2+912WWWW
3Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC440011:3+812WWWW
4Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise431010:2+810WWDW
5JuventusJuventus431011:4+710WDWW
6Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus43104:1+310DWWW
7Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen43018:1+79LWWW
8BeşiktaşBeşiktaş421111:8+37LDWW
9Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb42115:4+17WLWD
10Levski SofiaLevski Sofia42114:3+17WWDL
11SunderlandSunderland42114:407LDWW
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen42118:9-17WWDL
13LyonLyon42116:7-17DLWW
14AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar42027:4+36LWWL
15AnderlechtAnderlecht42026:3+36WWLL
16OFIOFI42025:4+16WLLW
17RennesRennes41304:3+16DDWD
18Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia42026:7-16LLWW
19TorreenseTorreense42027:9-26WLLW
20Real SociedadReal Sociedad41219:4+55DWDL
21Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace41219:6+35DDLW
22Sparta PrahaSparta Praha41126:604LLDW
231899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim41126:604DWLL
24Sturm GrazSturm Graz41123:6-34LWLD
25CeljeCelje41125:9-44WDLL
26Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg41123:8-54LDLW
27Celta VigoCelta Vigo41034:6-23LWLL
28AC MilanAC Milan41034:7-33LLWL
29JagielloniaJagiellonia41034:7-33LLWL
30PlzenPlzen41033:7-43WLLL
31MarseilleMarseille41032:6-43WLLL
32CelticCeltic41036:11-53WLLL
33Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva40131:8-71LLLD
34LillestromLillestrom40132:10-81LLDL
35Lech PoznanLech Poznan40132:12-101LDLL
36Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia40044:14-100LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BenficaBenfica413:312
2BournemouthBournemouth411:212
3Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC411:312
4Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise410:210
5JuventusJuventus411:410
6Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus44:110
7Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen48:19
8BeşiktaşBeşiktaş411:87
9Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb45:47
10Levski SofiaLevski Sofia44:37
11SunderlandSunderland44:47
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen48:97
13LyonLyon46:77
14AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar47:46
15AnderlechtAnderlecht46:36
16OFIOFI45:46
17RennesRennes44:36
18Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia46:76
19TorreenseTorreense47:96
20Real SociedadReal Sociedad49:45
21Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace49:65
22Sparta PrahaSparta Praha46:64
231899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim46:64
24Sturm GrazSturm Graz43:64
25CeljeCelje45:94
26Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg43:84
27Celta VigoCelta Vigo44:63
28AC MilanAC Milan44:73
29JagielloniaJagiellonia44:73
30PlzenPlzen43:73
31MarseilleMarseille42:63
32CelticCeltic46:113
33Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva41:81
34LillestromLillestrom42:101
35Lech PoznanLech Poznan42:121
36Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia44:140
Europa League

About the Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia forecast

This is a UEFA Europa League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Torreense and Ararat-Armenia in the UEFA Europa League table

In the UEFA Europa League table, Torreense are 19th and Ararat-Armenia 36th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Torreense 7-9, Ararat-Armenia 4-14. The full standings are on the UEFA Europa League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Torreense and Ararat-Armenia have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.