Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth Prediction
World · League Stage - 4
Stadion Letná, Prague·Erik Lambrechts 05/11/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.57
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+3.9%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.70
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+6.8%
Sparta Praha Rest
4 days
Bournemouth Rest
5 days
Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth: result, form and history
Bournemouth beat Sparta Praha 3-1 in the UEFA Europa League on 5 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Bournemouth had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Sparta Praha.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
114%7.50
X19%5.03
267%1.39
Double Chance
1X33%2.94
X286%1.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes63%1.75
No37%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.57 + 1.95 = 3.52
Over 1.583%1.15
Over 2.562%1.57
Over 3.545%2.38
Under 1.517%5.00
Under 2.538%2.46
Under 3.555%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.9 = 9.9
Over 8.562%1.44
Over 9.551%1.74
Over 10.541%2.17
Under 8.538%2.62
Under 9.549%2.00
Under 10.559%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 1.7 = 3.9
Over 3.555%1.62
Over 4.535%2.06
Under 3.545%2.20
Under 4.565%1.70
Match Events
6'Tobias Kvalvagnes GuddalFoul
20'Ryan ChristieFoul
30'Ki-Jana HoeverDissent
30'Lewis Cook(Penalty missed)
35'Ebrima SinghatehAssist: Jakub Surovcik
37'Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal
45'Adam Smith INTyler Adams out
45'Jonatan Braut Brunes INJaroslav Zelený out
55'Amine AdliFoul
57'Tyler Adams
60'Julio Soler INAdrien Truffert out
60'Ben Gannon-Doak INMarcus Tavernier out
60'Amine Adli INFrancisco Evanilson out
68'Andy Irving INMatej Jurasek out
72'David Brooks INRayan Vitor Simplício Rocha out
78'Ebrima Singhateh INSantiago Eneme out
79'Josimar Alcocer INHugo Sochurek out
81'Francisco EvanilsonAssist: Ryan Christie
84'Matej JurasekFoul
87'Roman Macek INMatyáš Vojta out
90'Rayan Vitor Simplício RochaAssist: Francisco Evanilson
Lineups
Sparta PrahaBournemouth
4-2-3-1Coach: M. RoseAvg ratingAvg rating
44J. Surovčík
25K. Hoever
22L. Mbe Soh
6T. Guddal
2M. Suchomel
28R. Macek
20S. Mannsverk
18A. Irving
27E. Singhateh
14J. Braut Brunes
7J. Alcócer
20M. Di Gregorio
15A. Smith
5J. Hill
18B. Diakité
6J. Soler
4L. Cook
10R. Christie
11B. Doak
21A. Adli
7D. Brooks
30Á. RodríguezSparta Praha Substitutes
65Stepan Dyntar
30J. Zelený45'for Jonatan Braut Brunes
26P. Vydra
5Santiago Eneme78'for Ebrima Singhateh
21J. Grimaldo
47K. Hegyi
31M. Jurásek68'for Andy Irving84'
3P. Kadeřábek
4J. Martinec
38H. Sochurek79'for Josimar Alcocer
15V. Vitályos
29M. Vojta87'for Roman Macek
Bournemouth Substitutes
16M. Tavernier60'for Ben Gannon-Doak
14António Silva
37Rayan72'for David Brooks90'
1Đ. Petrović
19J. Kluivert
9Evanilson60'for Amine Adli81'
55M. Allan
12T. Adams45'for Adam Smith57'
3A. Truffert60'for Julio Soler
Match Stats
Sparta PrahaBournemouth 41%Ball Possession59%
3Corner Kicks10
3Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
12Total Shots20
3Shots on Goal9
6Shots off Goal6
7Shots Inside Box15
5Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots5
10Fouls11
1Offsides1
6Goalkeeper Saves2
386Total Passes539
313Passes Accurate465
10Free Kicks9
Team Comparison
Sparta PrahaBournemouth1696Elo Rating 1966
1.10Attack 2.77
1.50Defense 2.73
17%Hit Rate 100%
15.4Shots per Game 16.1
5.1Shots on Target 6.6
5.2Corners per Game 6.3
3.0Cards per Game 2.0
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.51 goals
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Sparta Praha- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.3 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Bournemouth- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 1 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Recent Form
Sparta Praha5W3D2L
01/11/2026
Bohemians 1905Sparta PrahaSparta Praha
Slovácko
Olympiakos PiraeusSparta Praha
Baník OstravaSparta PrahaSparta Praha
LillestromSparta Praha
Pardubice
Sigma OlomoucSparta Praha
Bohemians 1905Sparta Praha00
D28/10/2026Sparta PrahaBaník Ostrava
25/10/2026Sparta PrahaBaník Ostrava02
LSparta PrahaSlovácko51
W22/10/2026Olympiakos PiraeusSparta Praha10
L18/10/2026Baník OstravaSparta Praha00
D15/10/2026Sparta PrahaLillestrom11
D11/10/2026Sparta PrahaPardubice20
W02/10/2026Sparta Praha
Vysočina Jihlava
20/09/2026Sparta PrahaVysočina Jihlava53
WSigma OlomoucSparta Praha03
W16/09/2026
Ararat-ArmeniaSparta Praha
Ararat-ArmeniaSparta Praha14
WBournemouth7W1D2L
31/10/2026Bournemouth
LeedsBournemouth
Aston Villa
Manchester UnitedBournemouthBournemouth
AC MilanBournemouth
SunderlandBournemouth
Sturm Graz
ChelseaBournemouthBournemouth
Liverpool
Real SociedadBournemouthBournemouth
Brentford
BournemouthLeeds20
W28/10/2026BournemouthAston Villa30
W25/10/2026Manchester UnitedBournemouth03
W22/10/2026BournemouthAC Milan30
W18/10/2026BournemouthSunderland20
W15/10/2026BournemouthSturm Graz30
W10/10/2026ChelseaBournemouth51
L20/09/2026BournemouthLiverpool01
L17/09/2026Real SociedadBournemouth12
W12/09/2026BournemouthBrentford22
DLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:3 | +10 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 | Bournemouth | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | +9 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | +8 | 12 | WWWW |
| 4 |  Union St. Gilloise | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:2 | +8 | 10 | WWDW |
| 5 |  Juventus | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | +7 | 10 | WDWW |
| 6 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | +3 | 10 | DWWW |
| 7 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:1 | +7 | 9 | LWWW |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | +3 | 7 | LDWW |
| 9 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 7 | WLWD |
| 10 |  Levski Sofia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 7 | WWDL |
| 11 | Sunderland | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 | LDWW |
| 12 |  NEC Nijmegen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 | WWDL |
| 13 |  Lyon | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 7 | DLWW |
| 14 |  AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | +3 | 6 | LWWL |
| 15 |  Anderlecht | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:3 | +3 | 6 | WWLL |
| 16 |  OFI | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | +1 | 6 | WLLW |
| 17 |  Rennes | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | +1 | 6 | DDWD |
| 18 |  Omonia Nicosia | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 | LLWW |
| 19 |  Torreense | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 6 | WLLW |
| 20 | Real Sociedad | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | +5 | 5 | DWDL |
| 21 |  Crystal Palace | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 5 | DDLW |
| 22 | Sparta Praha | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 | LLDW |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 | DWLL |
| 24 | Sturm Graz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 | LWLD |
| 25 |  Celje | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 | WDLL |
| 26 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 4 | LDLW |
| 27 |  Celta Vigo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 | LWLL |
| 28 | AC Milan | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 | LLWL |
| 29 |  Jagiellonia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 | LLWL |
| 30 |  Plzen | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 | WLLL |
| 31 |  Marseille | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 | WLLL |
| 32 |  Celtic | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 | WLLL |
| 33 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:8 | -7 | 1 | LLLD |
| 34 | Lillestrom | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:10 | -8 | 1 | LLDL |
| 35 |  Lech Poznan | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:12 | -10 | 1 | LDLL |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4:14 | -10 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica | 4 | 13:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Bournemouth | 4 | 11:2 | 12 |
| 3 | Ferencvarosi TC | 4 | 11:3 | 12 |
| 4 | Union St. Gilloise | 4 | 10:2 | 10 |
| 5 | Juventus | 4 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 6 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 7 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 8 | Beşiktaş | 4 | 11:8 | 7 |
| 9 | Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 10 | Levski Sofia | 4 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 11 | Sunderland | 4 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 12 | NEC Nijmegen | 4 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 13 | Lyon | 4 | 6:7 | 7 |
| 14 | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 15 | Anderlecht | 4 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 16 | OFI | 4 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 17 | Rennes | 4 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 18 | Omonia Nicosia | 4 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 19 | Torreense | 4 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 20 | Real Sociedad | 4 | 9:4 | 5 |
| 21 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 9:6 | 5 |
| 22 | Sparta Praha | 4 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 23 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 24 | Sturm Graz | 4 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 25 | Celje | 4 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 26 | Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 27 | Celta Vigo | 4 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 | AC Milan | 4 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 | Jagiellonia | 4 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 30 | Plzen | 4 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 31 | Marseille | 4 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 32 | Celtic | 4 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 33 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | 1:8 | 1 |
| 34 | Lillestrom | 4 | 2:10 | 1 |
| 35 | Lech Poznan | 4 | 2:12 | 1 |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 4 | 4:14 | 0 |
Europa League
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This match
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About the Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth forecast
This is a UEFA Europa League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Sparta Praha and Bournemouth in the UEFA Europa League table
In the UEFA Europa League table, Bournemouth are 2nd and Sparta Praha 22nd, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Sparta Praha 6-6, Bournemouth 11-2. The full standings are on the UEFA Europa League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Bournemouth have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Sparta Praha and Bournemouth have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.