Plzen vs Levski Sofia Prediction

Plzen
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Levski Sofia
Doosan Arena, Pilsner·Alejandro Hernandez 22/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalGOODModel64%SurpriseMediumGap-9.1%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Over 3.5
1.59
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+5.7%
Plzen Rest
4 days
Levski Sofia Rest
4 days

Plzen vs Levski Sofia: the result in context

Levski Sofia beat Plzen 2-1 in the UEFA Europa League on 22 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Alejandro Hernandez averages 5.37 cards a game, 0.67 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%1.74
X
23%3.92
2
21%4.60
Double Chance
1X
80%1.20
X2
44%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.68
No
47%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.57 + 1.11 = 2.68
Over 1.5
77%1.22
Over 2.5
55%1.73
Over 3.5
33%2.77
Under 1.5
23%4.10
Under 2.5
45%2.11
Under 3.5
67%1.43
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.6 = 9.9
Over 8.5
61%1.57
Over 9.5
51%1.95
Over 10.5
40%2.57
Under 8.5
39%2.25
Under 9.5
49%1.78
Under 10.5
60%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.3 = 4.6
Over 3.5
67%1.59
Over 4.5
49%2.10
Under 3.5
33%2.27
Under 4.5
51%1.67

Match Events

20'Mazire SoulaFoul
44'Francisco Everton Mota de CastroAssist: Reinaldo Nascimento Satorno
60'Mazire Soula INArmstrong Oko-Flex out
60'Denis Višinský INSalim Fago Lawal out
60'Patrik Hrošovský INStefan Pirgic out
62'Christopher KabongoAssist: Cheick Souare
65'Reinaldo Nascimento SatornoAssist: Maicon Araújo dos Santos
74'tobias paliscak INAlexandr Sojka out
74'Tomáš Ladra INBaboucarr Faal out
74'Francisco Everton Mota de Castro INAkram Bouras out
77'Christopher Kabongo INMatěj Vydra out
82'Mehdi Moubarik INÁlex Centelles out
82'Reinaldo Nascimento Satorno INJuan Esteban Perea Sanchez out
87'Stefan PirgicFoul

Lineups

Plzen
4-2-2-2Coach: R. Kováč
Levski Sofia
4-2-3-1Coach: Julio Velázquez
Avg rating6.42
Avg rating6.87
F. Wiegele5.744F. Wiegele
T. Pališčák6.12T. Pališčák
S. Dweh6.740S. Dweh
D. Vavro7.03D. Vavro
C. Souaré7.119C. Souaré
P. Hrošovský6.117P. Hrošovský
L. Červ6.36L. Červ
A. Memić6.499A. Memić
T. Ladra6.518T. Ladra
D. Višinský5.99D. Višinský
C. Kabongo7.625C. Kabongo
S. Vutsov6.192S. Vutsov
Aldair7.221Aldair
K. Dimitrov6.950K. Dimitrov
C. Makoun6.94C. Makoun
Maicon7.33Maicon
M. Grujić6.58M. Grujić
E. El Moubarik6.719E. El Moubarik
M. Soula6.222M. Soula
Serginho6.535Serginho
Everton Bala7.617E. Bala
Reinaldo9.07Reinaldo

Plzen Substitutes

11M. Vydra77'for Christopher Kabongo6.3
14Merchas Doski
23B. Faal74'for Tomáš Ladra6.2
29A. Gabriel
7S. Lawal60'for Denis Višinský6.4
20Jiří Maxim Panoš
36S. Pirgić60'for Patrik Hrošovský87'5.9
98F. Prebsl
12A. Sojka74'for tobias paliscak6.5
5Karel Spáčil
1D. Ťapaj
10M. Toure

Levski Sofia Substitutes

28S. Stoyanchov
31N. Serafimov
11A. Oko-Flex60'for Mazire Soula6.8
78M. Lukov
27David Kusso
2Hevertton Santos
20Álex Centelles82'for Mehdi Moubarik6.6
9J. Perea82'for Reinaldo Nascimento Satorno6.4
1O. Vladimirov
47A. Bouras74'for Francisco Everton Mota de Castro6.3

Match Stats

PlzenLevski Sofia
63%Ball Possession37%
4Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots6
2Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal1
9Shots Inside Box5
4Shots Outside Box1
5Blocked Shots2
9Fouls11
1Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves1
472Total Passes488
397Passes Accurate404
10Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

PlzenPlzen
Levski SofiaLevski Sofia
1660Elo Rating 1745
1.79Attack 1.52
1.33Defense 2.39
39%Hit Rate 66%
14.2Shots per Game 9.3
4.3Shots on Target 2.2
4.1Corners per Game 2.4
2.2Cards per Game 0.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

PlzenPlzen
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Levski SofiaLevski Sofia
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Levski SofiaLevski Sofia
5W2D3L
18/10/2026
Spartak PlevenLevski Sofia
02
W
15/10/2026
NEC NijmegenLevski Sofia
11
D
11/10/2026
Cherno More VarnaLevski Sofia
02
W
17/09/2026
Levski SofiaRed Bull Salzburg
01
L
13/09/2026
Botev VratsaLevski Sofia
00
D
09/09/2026
Levski SofiaCSKA Sofia
24
L
05/09/2026
Levski SofiaCSKA 1948
10
W
02/09/2026
Slavia SofiaLevski Sofia
12
W
30/08/2026
Botev PlovdivLevski Sofia
13
W
26/08/2026
AEK Athens FCLevski Sofia
40
L

Referee Profile

Alejandro Hernandez191 matches

5.37Cards per match
5.14Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
25.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Alejandro Hernandez5.37
Other referees4.70

5.37 cards a match, 0.67 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.70).

Cards come from 187 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Europa League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BenficaBenfica330010:2+89WWW
2Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen33008:0+89WWW
3BournemouthBournemouth33008:1+79WWW
4Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC33009:3+69WWW
5Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus33004:1+39WWW
6Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise32108:1+77WDW
7JuventusJuventus32109:3+67DWW
8BeşiktaşBeşiktaş32109:5+47DWW
9SunderlandSunderland32104:2+27DWW
10AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar32016:2+46WWL
11Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia32015:4+16LWW
12LyonLyon32015:6-16LWW
13RennesRennes31204:3+15DWD
14Real SociedadReal Sociedad31118:3+54WDL
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace31118:5+34DLW
16Sparta PrahaSparta Praha31115:3+24LDW
17Levski SofiaLevski Sofia31113:304WDL
18Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb31113:4-14LWD
19Sturm GrazSturm Graz31111:3-24WLD
20NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen31115:8-34WDL
21Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg31113:6-34DLW
22AnderlechtAnderlecht31024:3+13WLL
231899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim31025:503WLL
24AC MilanAC Milan31024:5-13LWL
25Celta VigoCelta Vigo31023:4-13WLL
26OFIOFI31023:4-13LLW
27JagielloniaJagiellonia31024:6-23LWL
28TorreenseTorreense31024:7-33LLW
29CeljeCelje30122:7-51DLL
30Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva30121:6-51LLD
31LillestromLillestrom30122:9-71LDL
32Lech PoznanLech Poznan30121:9-81DLL
33PlzenPlzen30032:7-50LLL
34MarseilleMarseille30031:6-50LLL
35CelticCeltic30033:9-60LLL
36Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia30032:11-90LLL
Europa League

About the Plzen vs Levski Sofia forecast

This is a UEFA Europa League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Plzen and Levski Sofia in the UEFA Europa League table

In the UEFA Europa League table, Levski Sofia are 17th and Plzen 33rd, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Plzen 2-7, Levski Sofia 3-3. The full standings are on the UEFA Europa League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Levski Sofia have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Plzen and Levski Sofia have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.