Plzen vs Union St. Gilloise Prediction

Plzen
0-3
Finished
HT 0-2
Union St. Gilloise
Doosan Arena, Plzen·I. Frid 17/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.52
SignalGOODModel69%SurpriseHighGap+5.7%
Plzen Rest
4 days
Union St. Gilloise Rest
5 days

Plzen vs Union St. Gilloise: the result in context

Union St. Gilloise beat Plzen 3-0 in the UEFA Europa League on 17 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Union St. Gilloise had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Plzen.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
30%2.47
X
18%3.50
2
52%2.75
Double Chance
1X
48%1.43
X2
70%1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.54
No
37%2.32
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.14 + 2.16 = 3.30
Over 1.5
79%1.20
Over 2.5
57%1.71
Over 3.5
39%2.62
Under 1.5
21%4.20
Under 2.5
43%2.17
Under 3.5
61%1.47
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.3 + 5.7 = 10
Over 8.5
59%1.54
Over 9.5
46%1.97
Over 10.5
36%2.54
Under 8.5
41%2.30
Under 9.5
54%1.80
Under 10.5
64%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 1.8 = 3.9
Over 3.5
54%1.42
Over 4.5
34%1.91
Under 3.5
46%2.73
Under 4.5
66%1.82

Match Events

16'Ondrej KricfalusiTime wasting
17'Relebohile MofokengAssist: Massire Sylla
42'Mateo BiondicFoul
43'Mateo BiondicAssist: Louis Patris
45'Patrik HrošovskýFoul
45'Karel Spáčil INSampson Dweh out
45'Denis Višinský INSalim Fago Lawal out
59'Ondrej KricfalusiAssist: Besfort Zeneli
60'Stefan PirgicFoul
63'Mateo Biondic INKevin Rodriguez out
63'Relebohile Mofokeng INIlan Hurtevent out
63'Guilherme Smith INDenzel De Roeve out
64'Prince Kwabena Adu INBaboucarr Faal out
64'Amar Memić INAdam Gabriel out
72'Patrik Hrošovský INLukáš Červ out
75'Ondrej Kricfalusi INNohim Chibani out
82'Darius Olaru INDylan Aquino out

Lineups

Plzen
5-4-1Coach: R. Kováč
Union St. Gilloise
3-4-1-2Coach: D. Hubert
Avg rating6.20
Avg rating7.29
F. Wiegele7.444F. Wiegele
A. Memić5.299A. Memić
T. Pališčák6.12T. Pališčák
D. Vavro6.93D. Vavro
Karel Spáčil6.25K. Spáčil
C. Souaré6.419C. Souaré
A. Sojka5.912A. Sojka
S. Pirgić5.836S. Pirgić
P. Hrošovský5.717P. Hrošovský
D. Višinský5.89D. Višinský
P. Adu6.580P. Adu
H. Koffi7.812H. Koffi
N. Havenaar7.355N. Havenaar
M. Sylla8.029M. Sylla
O. Kričfaluši8.180O. Kričfaluši
L. Patris6.927L. Patris
R. Schoofs7.017R. Schoofs
D. Olaru6.328D. Olaru
Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho7.211G. Henriques da Silva Carvalho
B. Zeneli7.723B. Zeneli
R. Mofokeng8.238R. Mofokeng
M. Biondic8.19M. Biondic

Plzen Substitutes

10M. Toure
23B. Faal64'for Prince Kwabena Adu6.4
18T. Ladra
30V. Baier
14Merchas Doski
29A. Gabriel64'for Amar Memić6.0
40S. Dweh45'for Karel Spáčil6.4
98F. Prebsl
6L. Červ72'for Patrik Hrošovský6.1
20Jiří Maxim Panoš
25C. Kabongo
7S. Lawal45'for Denis Višinský6.5

Union St. Gilloise Substitutes

25I. Hurtevent63'for Relebohile Mofokeng6.7
20D. Aquino82'for Darius Olaru6.5
13K. Rodríguez63'for Mateo Biondic6.7
43Daniel Tshilanda Kabongo
21D. De Roeve63'for Guilherme Smith7.0
4N. Chibani75'for Ondrej Kricfalusi7.2
18G. Kavelashvili
1V. Chambaere
32S. Keita
39youssef hamoutahar

Match Stats

PlzenUnion St. Gilloise
49%Ball Possession51%
5Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards2
14Total Shots22
5Shots on Goal13
5Shots off Goal6
8Shots Inside Box14
6Shots Outside Box8
4Blocked Shots3
13Fouls11
0Offsides3
10Goalkeeper Saves4
476Total Passes525
374Passes Accurate446
11Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

PlzenPlzen
Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
1660Elo Rating 1881
1.79Attack 2.41
1.33Defense 2.64
39%Hit Rate 64%
14.2Shots per Game 21.9
4.3Shots on Target 8.9
4.1Corners per Game 5.6
2.2Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.3 goals
📈BTTS Trend
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

PlzenPlzen
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.1 vs 0.3 in first half)

Referee Profile

I. Frid164 matches

5.10Cards per match
4.76Yellow cards per match
0.33Red cards per match
25.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

I. Frid5.07
Other referees4.82

5.07 cards a match, 0.25 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.82).

Cards come from 42 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Europa League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BenficaBenfica330010:2+89WWW
2Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen33008:0+89WWW
3BournemouthBournemouth33008:1+79WWW
4Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC33009:3+69WWW
5Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus33004:1+39WWW
6Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise32108:1+77WDW
7JuventusJuventus32109:3+67DWW
8BeşiktaşBeşiktaş32109:5+47DWW
9SunderlandSunderland32104:2+27DWW
10AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar32016:2+46WWL
11Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia32015:4+16LWW
12LyonLyon32015:6-16LWW
13RennesRennes31204:3+15DWD
14Real SociedadReal Sociedad31118:3+54WDL
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace31118:5+34DLW
16Sparta PrahaSparta Praha31115:3+24LDW
17Levski SofiaLevski Sofia31113:304WDL
18Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb31113:4-14LWD
19Sturm GrazSturm Graz31111:3-24WLD
20NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen31115:8-34WDL
21Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg31113:6-34DLW
22AnderlechtAnderlecht31024:3+13WLL
231899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim31025:503WLL
24AC MilanAC Milan31024:5-13LWL
25Celta VigoCelta Vigo31023:4-13WLL
26OFIOFI31023:4-13LLW
27JagielloniaJagiellonia31024:6-23LWL
28TorreenseTorreense31024:7-33LLW
29CeljeCelje30122:7-51DLL
30Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva30121:6-51LLD
31LillestromLillestrom30122:9-71LDL
32Lech PoznanLech Poznan30121:9-81DLL
33PlzenPlzen30032:7-50LLL
34MarseilleMarseille30031:6-50LLL
35CelticCeltic30033:9-60LLL
36Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia30032:11-90LLL
Europa League

About the Plzen vs Union St. Gilloise forecast

This is a UEFA Europa League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Plzen and Union St. Gilloise in the UEFA Europa League table

In the UEFA Europa League table, Union St. Gilloise are 6th and Plzen 33rd, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Plzen 2-7, Union St. Gilloise 8-1. The full standings are on the UEFA Europa League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Plzen and Union St. Gilloise have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.