Beşiktaş vs Marseille Prediction

Beşiktaş
4-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Marseille
Besiktas Park, Istanbul·A. Colombo 17/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.62
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseHighGap+5.2%
Beşiktaş Rest
6 days
Marseille Rest
6 days

Beşiktaş vs Marseille: the result in context

Beşiktaş beat Marseille 4-1 in the UEFA Europa League on 17 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Beşiktaş had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Marseille.

Referee A. Colombo averages 5.03 cards a game, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.77
X
25%4.10
2
22%4.15
Double Chance
1X
78%1.22
X2
47%2.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.52
No
50%2.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.56 + 1.03 = 2.59
Over 1.5
77%1.14
Over 2.5
56%1.52
Over 3.5
31%2.38
Under 1.5
23%5.00
Under 2.5
44%2.42
Under 3.5
69%1.60
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4.2 = 10.1
Over 8.5
59%1.55
Over 9.5
46%1.94
Over 10.5
36%2.51
Under 8.5
41%2.30
Under 9.5
54%1.82
Under 10.5
64%1.47
Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'Emmanuel AgbadouFoul
15'Ilhan FakiliAssist: Junior Olaitan
29'Keyliane AbdallahAssist: Himad Abdelli
45'Emmanuel Agbadou INTiago Djaló out
56'Václav ČernýAssist: Orkun Kökçü
58'Ulisses Garcia INEmerson Palmieri out
58'Angel Gomes INIgor Paixão out
59'Amir MurilloAssist: Orkun Kökçü
67'Neal Maupay INAmine Gouiri out
67'Derek Cornelius INNayef Aguerd out
71'Václav Černý INErnest Poku out
71'Orkun Kökçü INWilfred Ndidi out
72'Amine HaritDissent
81'Ernest PokuAssist: Junior Olaitan
82'Keyliane Abdallah INTadjidine Mmadi out
82'Junior Olaitan INOh Hyeon-gyu out
82'Ilhan Fakili INFabio Miretti out
90+5'Fabio MirettiFoul

Lineups

Beşiktaş
4-1-4-1Coach: V. Italiano
Marseille
4-2-3-1Coach: Bruno Genesio
Avg rating7.02
Avg rating6.23
A. Nübel6.71A. Nübel
A. Murillo7.362A. Murillo
E. Agbadou6.512E. Agbadou
E. Topçu7.453E. Topçu
K. Ouattara6.311K. Ouattara
S. Özcan6.76S. Özcan
V. Černý7.918V. Černý
J. Olaitan8.315J. Olaitan
O. Kökçü7.910O. Kökçü
I. Fakili8.129I. Fakili
D. Vlahović6.928D. Vlahović
J. de Lange5.812J. de Lange
T. Weah6.522T. Weah
C. Egan-Riley6.24C. Egan-Riley
D. Cornelius5.913D. Cornelius
U. Garcia5.425U. Garcia
P. Højbjerg6.423P. Højbjerg
H. Abdelli7.28H. Abdelli
K. Abdallah6.748K. Abdallah
A. Gomes6.27A. Gomes
A. Harit5.777A. Harit
N. Maupay6.311N. Maupay

Beşiktaş Substitutes

80D. Alemdar
22Taylan Bulut
35Tiago Djaló45'for Emmanuel Agbadou6.2
90S. Kılıçsoy
21F. Miretti82'for Ilhan Fakili90+5'6.0
4W. Ndidi71'for Orkun Kökçü6.3
9Oh Hyeon-Gyu82'for Junior Olaitan6.5
17E. Poku71'for Václav Černý81'7.4
33R. Yılmaz
8K. Yılmaz
58Y. Özcan
50Ü. Akdağ

Marseille Substitutes

42Nouhoum Kamissoko
9A. Gouiri67'for Neal Maupay6.4
74K. Bezahaf
14Igor Paixão58'for Angel Gomes6.7
21N. Aguerd67'for Derek Cornelius5.8
18B. Meité
46E. Mbondo
43T. Mmadi82'for Keyliane Abdallah6.6
33Emerson58'for Ulisses Garcia6.0
40J. Van Neck
92T. Vermot
29F. Moumbagna

Match Stats

BeşiktaşMarseille
54%Ball Possession46%
3Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards1
18Total Shots14
7Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal9
12Shots Inside Box6
6Shots Outside Box8
2Blocked Shots2
11Fouls12
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves3
564Total Passes458
493Passes Accurate395
12Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

BeşiktaşBeşiktaş
MarseilleMarseille
1830Elo Rating 1748
1.74Attack 1.62
1.02Defense 1.80
36%Hit Rate 39%
15.0Shots per Game 13.2
5.2Shots on Target 4.0
4.7Corners per Game 4.9
2.8Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

BeşiktaşBeşiktaş
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MarseilleMarseille
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.5 in first half)

Referee Profile

A. Colombo139 matches

5.03Cards per match
4.77Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
27.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

A. Colombo5.03
Other referees4.53

5.03 cards a match, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.53).

Cards come from 116 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Europa League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BenficaBenfica330010:2+89WWW
2Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen33008:0+89WWW
3BournemouthBournemouth33008:1+79WWW
4Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC33009:3+69WWW
5Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus33004:1+39WWW
6Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise32108:1+77WDW
7JuventusJuventus32109:3+67DWW
8BeşiktaşBeşiktaş32109:5+47DWW
9SunderlandSunderland32104:2+27DWW
10AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar32016:2+46WWL
11Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia32015:4+16LWW
12LyonLyon32015:6-16LWW
13RennesRennes31204:3+15DWD
14Real SociedadReal Sociedad31118:3+54WDL
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace31118:5+34DLW
16Sparta PrahaSparta Praha31115:3+24LDW
17Levski SofiaLevski Sofia31113:304WDL
18Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb31113:4-14LWD
19Sturm GrazSturm Graz31111:3-24WLD
20NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen31115:8-34WDL
21Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg31113:6-34DLW
22AnderlechtAnderlecht31024:3+13WLL
231899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim31025:503WLL
24AC MilanAC Milan31024:5-13LWL
25Celta VigoCelta Vigo31023:4-13WLL
26OFIOFI31023:4-13LLW
27JagielloniaJagiellonia31024:6-23LWL
28TorreenseTorreense31024:7-33LLW
29CeljeCelje30122:7-51DLL
30Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva30121:6-51LLD
31LillestromLillestrom30122:9-71LDL
32Lech PoznanLech Poznan30121:9-81DLL
33PlzenPlzen30032:7-50LLL
34MarseilleMarseille30031:6-50LLL
35CelticCeltic30033:9-60LLL
36Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia30032:11-90LLL
Europa League

About the Beşiktaş vs Marseille forecast

This is a UEFA Europa League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Beşiktaş and Marseille in the UEFA Europa League table

In the UEFA Europa League table, Beşiktaş are 8th and Marseille 34th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Beşiktaş 9-5, Marseille 1-6. The full standings are on the UEFA Europa League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Beşiktaş and Marseille have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.