Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan Prediction

Crystal Palace
4-0
Finished
HT 3-0
Lech Poznan
Selhurst Park, London·M. Ocenas 17/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.55
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseHighGap+4.4%
Crystal Palace Rest
5 days
Lech Poznan Rest
5 days

Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan: result, form and history

Crystal Palace beat Lech Poznan 4-0 in the UEFA Europa League on 17 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee M. Ocenas averages 4.62 cards a game, 0.56 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
61%1.35
X
22%5.10
2
17%8.00
Double Chance
1X
83%1.08
X2
39%3.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.75
No
47%1.98
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.55 + 1.23 = 2.78
Over 1.5
77%1.13
Over 2.5
56%1.49
Over 3.5
36%2.29
Under 1.5
23%5.10
Under 2.5
44%2.50
Under 3.5
64%1.62
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.4 + 4.6 = 9
Over 8.5
59%1.55
Over 9.5
39%1.96
Over 10.5
28%2.53
Under 8.5
41%2.28
Under 9.5
61%1.81
Under 10.5
72%1.46
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2 = 3.9
Over 3.5
55%1.80
Over 4.5
35%2.60
Under 3.5
45%1.92
Under 4.5
65%1.46

Match Events

10'Yeremy Pino
27'Chris RichardsAssist: Adam Wharton
34'Jörgen Strand Larsen(Penalty)
61'Allahyar Sayyadmanesh INFilip Jagiełło out
61'Mikael Ishak INY. Agnero out
62'Anan Khalaili INOscar Mingueza out
62'Quinten Timber INDwight McNeil out
70'Joel Pereira INRobert Gumny out
70'Patrick Walemark INLeo Bengtsson out
74'Chris Richards INJaydee Canvot out
74'Daichi Kamada INIsmaila Sarr out
74'Jörgen Strand Larsen INEddie Nketiah out
76'Radosław MurawskiFoul
81'Pablo Rodriguez Delgado INDaniel Håkans out
87'Radosław Murawski
89'Eddie NketiahAssist: Dwight McNeil

Lineups

Crystal Palace
3-4-3Coach: P. Sage
Lech Poznan
4-2-3-1Coach: N. Frederiksen
Avg rating7.35
Avg rating6.04
W. Benítez8.944W. Benítez
C. Richards8.526C. Richards
A. Disasi7.45A. Disasi
H. Ahanor7.321H. Ahanor
A. Khalaili6.425A. Khalaili
Q. Timber7.223Q. Timber
A. Wharton7.720A. Wharton
T. Mitchell6.93T. Mitchell
D. Kamada6.318D. Kamada
J. Strand Larsen7.222J. Strand Larsen
Yeremy Pino8.210Y. Pino
M. Lis5.51M. Lis
Joel Pereira6.12J. Pereira
W. Mońka6.427W. Mońka
T. Yegbe6.259T. Yegbe
M. Gurgul5.815M. Gurgul
R. Murawski5.922R. Murawski
Pablo Rodríguez5.921P. Rodríguez
P. Wålemark6.210P. Wålemark
A. Sayyadmanesh6.317A. Sayyadmanesh
L. Palma6.377L. Palma
M. Ishak6.49M. Ishak

Crystal Palace Substitutes

43S. Williams
6J. Canvot74'for Chris Richards7.7
33B. Chilwell
31R. Matthews
11D. McNeil62'for Quinten Timber7.3
30Óscar Mingueza62'for Anan Khalaili6.8
9E. Nketiah74'for Jörgen Strand Larsen89'7.1
24D. Osorio
7I. Sarr74'for Daichi Kamada6.6
17T. Tomiyasu
81Lucca Benetton

Lech Poznan Substitutes

72M. Skrzypczak
31Wiktor Obremski
4João Moutinho
33M. Pruchniewski
24F. Jagiełło61'for Allahyar Sayyadmanesh5.6
11D. Håkans81'for Pablo Rodriguez Delgado5.8
20R. Gumny70'for Joel Pereira5.7
14L. Bengtsson70'for Patrick Walemark6.0
7Y. Agnero61'for Mikael Ishak6.6
56W. Szymczak

Match Stats

Crystal PalaceLech Poznan
53%Ball Possession47%
6Corner Kicks5
0Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
16Total Shots17
6Shots on Goal6
7Shots off Goal7
11Shots Inside Box9
5Shots Outside Box8
3Blocked Shots4
11Fouls7
3Offsides0
6Goalkeeper Saves2
545Total Passes489
478Passes Accurate409
6Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
Lech PoznanLech Poznan
1800Elo Rating 1747
1.43Attack 3.01
0.56Defense 1.42
17%Hit Rate 54%
9.5Shots per Game 15.8
3.5Shots on Target 5.7
3.8Corners per Game 4.8
1.8Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Lech PoznanLech Poznan
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Referee Profile

M. Ocenas164 matches

4.62Cards per match
4.45Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
26.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

M. Ocenas4.62
Other referees4.06

4.62 cards a match, 0.56 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.06).

Cards come from 85 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Europa League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BenficaBenfica330010:2+89WWW
2Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen33008:0+89WWW
3BournemouthBournemouth33008:1+79WWW
4Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC33009:3+69WWW
5Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus33004:1+39WWW
6Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise32108:1+77WDW
7JuventusJuventus32109:3+67DWW
8BeşiktaşBeşiktaş32109:5+47DWW
9SunderlandSunderland32104:2+27DWW
10AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar32016:2+46WWL
11Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia32015:4+16LWW
12LyonLyon32015:6-16LWW
13RennesRennes31204:3+15DWD
14Real SociedadReal Sociedad31118:3+54WDL
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace31118:5+34DLW
16Sparta PrahaSparta Praha31115:3+24LDW
17Levski SofiaLevski Sofia31113:304WDL
18Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb31113:4-14LWD
19Sturm GrazSturm Graz31111:3-24WLD
20NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen31115:8-34WDL
21Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg31113:6-34DLW
22AnderlechtAnderlecht31024:3+13WLL
231899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim31025:503WLL
24AC MilanAC Milan31024:5-13LWL
25Celta VigoCelta Vigo31023:4-13WLL
26OFIOFI31023:4-13LLW
27JagielloniaJagiellonia31024:6-23LWL
28TorreenseTorreense31024:7-33LLW
29CeljeCelje30122:7-51DLL
30Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva30121:6-51LLD
31LillestromLillestrom30122:9-71LDL
32Lech PoznanLech Poznan30121:9-81DLL
33PlzenPlzen30032:7-50LLL
34MarseilleMarseille30031:6-50LLL
35CelticCeltic30033:9-60LLL
36Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia30032:11-90LLL
Europa League

About the Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan forecast

This is a UEFA Europa League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Crystal Palace and Lech Poznan in the UEFA Europa League table

In the UEFA Europa League table, Crystal Palace are 15th and Lech Poznan 32nd, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Crystal Palace 8-5, Lech Poznan 1-9. The full standings are on the UEFA Europa League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Lech Poznan have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Crystal Palace and Lech Poznan have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.