Celtic vs Celta Vigo Prediction

Celtic
1-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Celta Vigo
Celtic Park, Glasgow·Georgi Nikolov Kabakov 22/10/2026
CelticCeltic
1-2
Finished
Celta VigoCelta Vigo

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.21
SignalHIGHModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-3.0%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.56
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+4.5%
Celtic Rest
4 days
Celta Vigo Rest
4 days

Celtic vs Celta Vigo: result, form and history

Celta Vigo beat Celtic 2-1 in the UEFA Europa League on 22 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Georgi Nikolov Kabakov averages 5.46 cards a game, 0.69 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.70
X
22%3.50
2
35%2.52
Double Chance
1X
65%1.51
X2
57%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.57
No
44%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.96 + 1 = 2.96
Over 1.5
79%1.21
Over 2.5
55%1.73
Over 3.5
34%2.71
Under 1.5
21%4.20
Under 2.5
45%2.12
Under 3.5
66%1.47
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 3.3 = 9.2
Over 8.5
55%1.45
Over 9.5
44%1.79
Over 10.5
33%2.30
Under 8.5
45%2.48
Under 9.5
56%1.95
Under 10.5
67%1.56
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.5 = 4.6
Over 3.5
68%1.64
Over 4.5
49%2.23
Under 3.5
32%2.18
Under 4.5
51%1.61

Match Events

23'Camilo DuranDissent
47'Mika Baur
58'Callum Osmand INJames Forrest out
63'Hugo Burcio INIlaix Moriba out
63'Iago Aspas INWilliot Swedberg out
67'M. O'NeillDissent
68'Javier Rodríguez GalianoAssist: Hugo Alvarez Antunez
71'Javier Rodríguez Galiano
73'Haissem Hassan INKasper Hogh out
77'Ferran Jutglà INPablo Durán Fernández out
79'Mika Baur INOliver Sorensen out
80'Camilo Duran INSebastian Tounekti out
85'Liam ScalesFoul
85'Hugo Alvarez Antunez INJavi Galán out
85'Javier Rueda García INAndrés Antañón Vieites out
89'Oliver SorensenFoul
90+2'Colby DonovanDissent

Lineups

Celtic
4-2-3-1Coach: M. O'Neill
Celta Vigo
3-4-3Coach: Claudio Giráldez
Avg rating6.48
Avg rating6.83
S. Johnstone6.226S. Johnstone
Colby Donovan6.651C. Donovan
D. Murray6.847D. Murray
L. Scales7.05L. Scales
K. Tierney6.763K. Tierney
C. McGregor6.642C. McGregor
M. Baur7.722M. Baur
H. Hassan6.423H. Hassan
B. Nygren6.38B. Nygren
C. Osmand6.519C. Osmand
C. Durán6.411C. Durán
I. Radu6.213I. Radu
Javi Rodríguez8.920J. Rodríguez
S. Cáceres6.821S. Cáceres
Marcos Alonso7.23M. Alonso
Javi Rueda6.517J. Rueda
Aleix Febas6.914A. Febas
H. Burcio6.730H. Burcio
Sergio Carreira6.65S. Carreira
Iago Aspas6.610I. Aspas
Ferran Jutglà6.89F. Jutglà
Hugo Álvarez7.023H. Álvarez

Celtic Substitutes

61J. Haney
49J. Forrest58'for Callum Osmand6.2
9K. Høgh73'for Haissem Hassan6.0
62Liam Kennedy
3J. Lotomba
33S. McArdle
14L. McCowan
21A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
56A. Ralston
1V. Sinisalo
18O. Sørensen79'for Mika Baur89'5.9
17S. Tounekti80'for Camilo Duran6.1

Celta Vigo Substitutes

35G. Miller
6I. Moriba63'for Hugo Burcio6.4
19W. Swedberg63'for Iago Aspas7.1
18Yoel Lago
22Javi Galán85'for Hugo Alvarez Antunez6.5
4A. Faye
11Pablo Durán77'for Ferran Jutglà6.7
24C. Driouech
1A. Bayındır
28Andrés Antañón85'for Javier Rueda García6.4
16Hugo González
31Ángel Arcos

Match Stats

CelticCelta Vigo
44%Ball Possession56%
2Corner Kicks6
4Yellow Cards0
8Total Shots22
4Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal7
6Shots Inside Box9
2Shots Outside Box13
1Blocked Shots11
10Fouls5
3Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
494Total Passes647
436Passes Accurate579
5Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

CelticCeltic
Celta VigoCelta Vigo
1738Elo Rating 1768
2.40Attack 1.90
1.31Defense 2.11
39%Hit Rate 64%
13.9Shots per Game 12.0
7.4Shots on Target 3.4
5.7Corners per Game 2.8
2.4Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.96 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

CelticCeltic
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Celta VigoCelta Vigo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Referee Profile

Georgi Nikolov Kabakov226 matches

5.46Cards per match
5.20Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
24.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Georgi Nikolov Kabakov5.46
Other referees4.77

5.46 cards a match, 0.69 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.77).

Cards come from 157 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Europa League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BenficaBenfica330010:2+89WWW
2Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen33008:0+89WWW
3BournemouthBournemouth33008:1+79WWW
4Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC33009:3+69WWW
5Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus33004:1+39WWW
6Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise32108:1+77WDW
7JuventusJuventus32109:3+67DWW
8BeşiktaşBeşiktaş32109:5+47DWW
9SunderlandSunderland32104:2+27DWW
10AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar32016:2+46WWL
11Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia32015:4+16LWW
12LyonLyon32015:6-16LWW
13RennesRennes31204:3+15DWD
14Real SociedadReal Sociedad31118:3+54WDL
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace31118:5+34DLW
16Sparta PrahaSparta Praha31115:3+24LDW
17Levski SofiaLevski Sofia31113:304WDL
18Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb31113:4-14LWD
19Sturm GrazSturm Graz31111:3-24WLD
20NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen31115:8-34WDL
21Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg31113:6-34DLW
22AnderlechtAnderlecht31024:3+13WLL
231899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim31025:503WLL
24AC MilanAC Milan31024:5-13LWL
25Celta VigoCelta Vigo31023:4-13WLL
26OFIOFI31023:4-13LLW
27JagielloniaJagiellonia31024:6-23LWL
28TorreenseTorreense31024:7-33LLW
29CeljeCelje30122:7-51DLL
30Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva30121:6-51LLD
31LillestromLillestrom30122:9-71LDL
32Lech PoznanLech Poznan30121:9-81DLL
33PlzenPlzen30032:7-50LLL
34MarseilleMarseille30031:6-50LLL
35CelticCeltic30033:9-60LLL
36Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia30032:11-90LLL
Europa League

About the Celtic vs Celta Vigo forecast

This is a UEFA Europa League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Celtic and Celta Vigo in the UEFA Europa League table

In the UEFA Europa League table, Celta Vigo are 25th and Celtic 35th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Celtic 3-9, Celta Vigo 3-4. The full standings are on the UEFA Europa League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Celtic and Celta Vigo have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.