Motherwell vs Celtic Prediction

Motherwell
0-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Celtic
Fir Park, Motherwell 11/10/2026
MotherwellMotherwell
0-2
Finished
CelticCeltic

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.44
SignalSOLIDModel57%SurpriseMediumGap-5.7%
Motherwell Rest
21 days
Celtic Rest
21 days

Motherwell vs Celtic: the result in context

Celtic beat Motherwell 2-0 in the Premiership on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Celtic have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.6 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
21%4.87
X
23%4.50
2
56%1.58
Double Chance
1X
44%2.30
X2
79%1.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.50
No
40%2.45
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.16 + 1.42 = 2.58
Over 1.5
82%1.13
Over 2.5
61%1.44
Over 3.5
40%2.15
Under 1.5
18%5.65
Under 2.5
39%2.70
Under 3.5
60%1.68
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 5.2 = 10
Over 8.5
64%1.27
Over 9.5
52%1.53
Over 10.5
43%1.93
Under 8.5
36%2.85
Under 9.5
48%2.29
Under 10.5
57%1.84
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 1.8 = 3.8
Over 3.5
54%1.83
Over 4.5
34%2.42
Under 3.5
46%1.83
Under 4.5
66%1.52

Match Events

9'Camilo Duran
41'Joe HodgeFoul
58'Benjamin NygrenAssist: Kasper Hogh
60'Willy Gabriel Vogt INIbrahim Said out
71'Sebastian Palmer-Houlden INJardell Kanga out
71'Dylan Levitt INEythor Bjørgolfsson out
73'Camilo Duran INHaissem Hassan out
73'Kasper Hogh INShumaira Mheuka out
74'Sebastian Tounekti INJota out
78'Benjamin Nygren INOliver Sorensen out
82'Kieran TierneyFoul
82'Kieran Tierney INJordan Lotomba out
83'Stephen O'Donnell INJake Max Girdwood-Reich out
83'Alex·Lowry INTawanda Maswanhise out
85'Jordan LotombaFoul

Lineups

Motherwell
4-2-3-1Coach: Alfred Johansson
Celtic
4-2-3-1Coach: M. O'Neill
Avg rating6.44
Avg rating7.28
A. Paulsen8.51A. Paulsen
T. Sparrow6.87T. Sparrow
S. O'Donnell6.12S. O'Donnell
M. Moormann6.65M. Moormann
M. Emmanuel6.445M. Emmanuel
L. Fadinger6.48L. Fadinger
D. Levitt6.563D. Levitt
W. Vogt6.077W. Vogt
A. Lowry6.011A. Lowry
J. Hodge5.971J. Hodge
S. Palmer-Houlden6.247S. Palmer-Houlden
V. Sinisalo7.21V. Sinisalo
Colby Donovan7.851C. Donovan
D. Murray7.547D. Murray
L. Scales8.05L. Scales
K. Tierney7.863K. Tierney
C. McGregor6.842C. McGregor
M. Baur7.422M. Baur
C. Durán8.211C. Durán
B. Nygren8.28B. Nygren
S. Tounekti7.217S. Tounekti
K. Høgh7.19K. Høgh

Motherwell Substitutes

6J. McGhee
15E. Björgólfs­son71'for Dylan Levitt6.2
3J. Girdwood-Reich83'for Stephen O'Donnell6.3
13J. Kanga71'for Sebastian Palmer-Houlden5.8
4Jamie Knight-Lebel
18Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise83'for Alex·Lowry6.3
21M. Connelly
19I. Said60'for Willy Gabriel Vogt7.2
27M. Booth

Celtic Substitutes

6A. Trusty
18O. Sørensen78'for Benjamin Nygren6.9
21A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
29Shumaira Mheuka73'for Kasper Hogh6.7
3J. Lotomba82'for Kieran Tierney85'6.6
7Jota74'for Sebastian Tounekti6.6
26S. Johnstone
23H. Hassan73'for Camilo Duran6.5
49J. Forrest

Match Stats

MotherwellCeltic
44%Ball Possession56%
2Corner Kicks9
1Yellow Cards2
8Total Shots25
2Shots on Goal15
3Shots off Goal2
6Shots Inside Box19
2Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots8
3Fouls4
2Offsides1
12Goalkeeper Saves2
389Total Passes764
333Passes Accurate703
4Free Kicks3

Team Comparison

MotherwellMotherwell
CelticCeltic
1540Elo Rating 1739
1.07Attack 2.49
0.81Defense 1.11
0%Hit Rate 39%
15.2Shots per Game 17.8
5.8Shots on Target 6.5
5.7Corners per Game 7.1
1.5Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

MotherwellMotherwell
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
CelticCeltic
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 0.9 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

MotherwellMotherwell1Wins · 10%
Draws110%
CelticCeltic8Wins · 80%
3.6Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Premiership13/05/2026
MotherwellCeltic
23
Premiership14/03/2026
CelticMotherwell
31
Premiership30/12/2025
MotherwellCeltic
20
Premiership05/10/2025
CelticMotherwell
32
Premiership02/02/2025
MotherwellCeltic
13
Premiership26/12/2024
CelticMotherwell
40
Premiership27/10/2024
MotherwellCeltic
03
Premiership25/02/2024
MotherwellCeltic
13
Premiership25/11/2023
CelticMotherwell
11
Premiership30/09/2023
MotherwellCeltic
12

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic1191127:8+1928DWWWL
2RangersRangers1173119:9+1024DWDWW
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1162324:17+720DWLWD
4DundeeDundee1152417:13+417WLDWW
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1144316:16016DWDWW
6FalkirkFalkirk1143413:12+115WWWLD
7ST MirrenST Mirren1142512:19-714DWLLL
8ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1134413:17-413DLDWD
9AberdeenAberdeen1132612:14-211LLWLD
10MotherwellMotherwell1123613:20-79DLLLL
11HibernianHibernian1122711:17-68DLLLD
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1122711:26-158LLWLD
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic1127:828
2RangersRangers1119:924
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1124:1720
4DundeeDundee1117:1317
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1116:1616
6FalkirkFalkirk1113:1215
7ST MirrenST Mirren1112:1914
8ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1113:1713
9AberdeenAberdeen1112:1411
10MotherwellMotherwell1113:209
11HibernianHibernian1111:178
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1111:268
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About the Motherwell vs Celtic forecast

The forecasts for this Premiership match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Motherwell and Celtic in the Premiership table

The table shows a wide gap: Celtic are 1st in the Premiership, while Motherwell sit 10th, 19 points behind. League goal record so far: Motherwell 13-20, Celtic 27-8. The full standings are on the Premiership Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.