Rangers vs Kilmarnock Prediction

Rangers
3-1
Finished
HT 3-0
Kilmarnock
Ibrox Stadium, Glasgow 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.30
SignalSOLIDModel75%SurpriseMediumGap-8.4%
Rangers Rest
20 days
Kilmarnock Rest
20 days

Rangers vs Kilmarnock: result, form and history

Rangers beat Kilmarnock 3-1 in the Premiership on 10 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Rangers had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Kilmarnock.

Rangers have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.9 goals a game. Rangers tend to win more corners, 7.1 a game to 4.7 for Kilmarnock.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
83%1.14
X
13%8.40
2
4%16.92
Double Chance
1X
96%1.03
X2
17%5.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%2.00
No
53%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.42 + 0.64 = 3.06
Over 1.5
85%1.06
Over 2.5
67%1.30
Over 3.5
47%1.88
Under 1.5
15%6.75
Under 2.5
33%3.20
Under 3.5
53%1.92
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.2 + 3.4 = 10.5
Over 8.5
67%1.18
Over 9.5
56%1.35
Over 10.5
48%1.61
Under 8.5
33%3.86
Under 9.5
44%2.74
Under 10.5
52%2.13
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.7 = 4.3
Over 3.5
62%2.25
Over 4.5
43%3.00
Under 3.5
38%1.57
Under 4.5
57%1.36

Match Events

15'Ryan NaderiAssist: James Penrice
24'Kevin Kelsy
44'Ryan NaderiAssist: Djeidi Gassama
45'Dujon Sterling INKosta Nedeljkovic out
49'Michael Schjonning-LarsenFoul
64'Kosta NedeljkovicFoul
73'Kevin Kelsy INFindlay Curtis out
75'Erik Ring INNicky Clescenco out
79'Michael-John Kamson-Kamara INJamie Brandon out
79'Greg Kiltie INDjenairo Daniels out
87'Dan Neil INTochi Chukwuani out
88'Djeidi Gassama INBadredine Bouanani out
88'Min-su Kim INBojan Miovski out
90'Nicky ClescencoAssist: Joe Hugill

Lineups

Rangers
4-2-3-1Coach: D. McInnes
Kilmarnock
4-2-3-1Coach: N. McCann
Avg rating7.10
Avg rating6.33
I. Pandur7.81I. Pandur
D. Sterling6.821D. Sterling
E. Fernandez7.637E. Fernandez
O. Makhanya6.724O. Makhanya
J. Penrice7.529J. Penrice
D. Neil7.16D. Neil
N. Raskin7.043N. Raskin
Minsu Kim6.110M. Kim
R. Naderi8.920R. Naderi
D. Gassama7.723D. Gassama
K. Kelsy7.719K. Kelsy
C. Ferrie5.812C. Ferrie
Michael-John Kamson-Kamara5.93M. Kamson-Kamara
C. McCarthy6.64C. McCarthy
G. Stanger6.414G. Stanger
M. Schjønning-Larsen5.421M. Schjønning-Larsen
A. Tshibola6.536A. Tshibola
T. Lowery6.618T. Lowery
E. Ring6.08E. Ring
T. John-Jules6.510T. John-Jules
G. Kiltie6.211G. Kiltie
J. Hugill7.29J. Hugill

Rangers Substitutes

25T. Rommens
52Findlay Curtis73'for Kevin Kelsy6.6
42T. Chukwuani87'for Dan Neil6.4
26B. Bouanani88'for Djeidi Gassama6.6
22V. Dragojević
4B. Godfrey
31L. Kelly
28B. Miovski88'for Min-su Kim6.5
18K. Nedeljković45'for Dujon Sterling64'6.7

Kilmarnock Substitutes

2J. Brandon79'for Michael-John Kamson-Kamara6.0
20N. Cleșcenco75'for Erik Ring90'7.3
29D. Daniels79'for Greg Kiltie6.4
6R. Deas
7R. McKenzie
19J. Meier
5M. O'Hara
40C. Armour
27I. Owen

Match Stats

RangersKilmarnock
60%Ball Possession40%
8Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards1
18Total Shots13
4Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal5
12Shots Inside Box11
6Shots Outside Box2
7Blocked Shots3
15Fouls13
1Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves1
505Total Passes333
435Passes Accurate264
12Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

RangersRangers
KilmarnockKilmarnock
1747Elo Rating 1486
2.48Attack 1.16
1.91Defense 0.48
54%Hit Rate 19%
17.8Shots per Game 12.2
7.2Shots on Target 2.8
7.1Corners per Game 4.7
2.3Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+261 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.06 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

RangersRangers
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
KilmarnockKilmarnock
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

RangersRangers8Wins · 80%
Draws00%
KilmarnockKilmarnock2Wins · 20%
3.9Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Premiership04/02/2026
RangersKilmarnock
51
Premiership06/12/2025
KilmarnockRangers
03
Premiership26/10/2025
RangersKilmarnock
31
Premiership26/02/2025
KilmarnockRangers
24
Premiership04/12/2024
RangersKilmarnock
60
Premiership20/10/2024
KilmarnockRangers
10
Premiership05/05/2024
RangersKilmarnock
41
Premiership28/02/2024
KilmarnockRangers
12
Premiership02/01/2024
RangersKilmarnock
31
Premiership05/08/2023
KilmarnockRangers
10

Recent Form

RangersRangers
8W1D1L
20/09/2026
CelticRangers
01
W
13/09/2026
RangersCeltic
30
W
09/09/2026
RangersST Mirren
10
W
05/09/2026
RangersMotherwell
10
W
02/09/2026
FalkirkRangers
12
W
30/08/2026
AberdeenRangers
01
W
27/08/2026
FK JablonecRangers
4130
L
20/08/2026
RangersFK Jablonec
10
W
16/08/2026
RangersST Mirren
51
W
13/08/2026
RangersJagiellonia
11
D

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic1191127:8+1928DWWWL
2RangersRangers1173119:9+1024DWDWW
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1162324:17+720DWLWD
4DundeeDundee1152417:13+417WLDWW
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1144316:16016DWDWW
6FalkirkFalkirk1143413:12+115WWWLD
7ST MirrenST Mirren1142512:19-714DWLLL
8ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1134413:17-413DLDWD
9AberdeenAberdeen1132612:14-211LLWLD
10MotherwellMotherwell1123613:20-79DLLLL
11HibernianHibernian1122711:17-68DLLLD
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1122711:26-158LLWLD
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic1127:828
2RangersRangers1119:924
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1124:1720
4DundeeDundee1117:1317
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1116:1616
6FalkirkFalkirk1113:1215
7ST MirrenST Mirren1112:1914
8ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1113:1713
9AberdeenAberdeen1112:1411
10MotherwellMotherwell1113:209
11HibernianHibernian1111:178
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1111:268
PromotionRelegation

About the Rangers vs Kilmarnock forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Rangers and Kilmarnock in the Premiership table

The table shows a wide gap: Rangers are 2nd in the Premiership, while Kilmarnock sit 12th, 16 points behind. League goal record so far: Rangers 19-9, Kilmarnock 11-26. The full standings are on the Premiership Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Rangers have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.