Elche vs Celta Vigo Prediction

Elche
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Celta Vigo
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche·Javier Alberola Rojas 11/10/2026
ElcheElche
0-0
Finished
Celta VigoCelta Vigo

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-4.0%
Elche Rest
22 days
Celta Vigo Rest
21 days

Elche vs Celta Vigo: the result in context

Elche and Celta Vigo drew 0-0 in the La Liga on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Celta Vigo have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 2.1 goals a game. Referee Javier Alberola Rojas averages 3.68 cards a game, 1.22 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
32%2.90
X
33%3.27
2
35%2.50
Double Chance
1X
65%1.53
X2
67%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.72
No
46%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1.44 = 2.64
Over 1.5
73%1.30
Over 2.5
47%2.00
Over 3.5
27%3.34
Under 1.5
27%3.35
Under 2.5
53%1.83
Under 3.5
73%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4.4 = 9.3
Over 8.5
61%1.91
Over 9.5
51%2.47
Over 10.5
35%3.47
Under 8.5
39%1.83
Under 9.5
49%1.47
Under 10.5
65%1.25
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.3 = 4.2
Over 3.5
61%1.67
Over 4.5
41%2.17
Under 3.5
39%2.10
Under 4.5
59%1.66

Match Events

37'Yoel LagoFoul
59'Javier Rueda GarcíaFoul
59'Tete Morente INAbiel Alessio Osorio out
60'Pablo Durán Fernández INBorja Iglesias out
71'Ferran Jutglà INWilliot Swedberg out
71'Hugo Alvarez Antunez INCouhaib Driouech out
71'Javi Galán INSergio Carreira Vilarino out
71'Gonzalo Villar INMartim Neto out
71'Fernando Niño Rodríguez INLucas Cepeda out
81'Aleix FebasFoul
83'Aleix Febas INHugo Burcio out
87'Thomas Lemar INFacundo Buonanotte out

Lineups

Elche
5-3-2Coach: M. Anselmi
Celta Vigo
3-4-3Coach: Claudio Giráldez
Avg rating6.73
Avg rating6.55
M. Dituro7.01M. Dituro
Rubén Sánchez7.222R. Sánchez
J. Morcillo7.047J. Morcillo
Víctor Chust7.523V. Chust
R. Revivo6.73R. Revivo
Germán Valera6.111G. Valera
Gonzalo Villar6.612G. Villar
Marc Aguado6.68M. Aguado
T. Lemar7.118T. Lemar
Tete Morente6.920T. Morente
Fer Niño6.314F. Niño
I. Radu7.113I. Radu
Álvaro Núñez7.015Á. Núñez
Yoel Lago6.718Y. Lago
Marcos Alonso6.93M. Alonso
Javi Rueda6.117J. Rueda
I. Moriba6.76I. Moriba
Aleix Febas6.214A. Febas
Javi Galán6.822J. Galán
Ferran Jutglà6.49F. Jutglà
Pablo Durán6.011P. Durán
Hugo Álvarez6.323H. Álvarez

Elche Substitutes

6Bigas
26Matia Barzic Gutiérrez
10F. Buonanotte87'for Thomas Lemar6.2
16Martim Neto71'for Gonzalo Villar6.9
21L. Cepeda71'for Fernando Niño Rodríguez6.6
19G. Diangana
17Josan
13Alejandro Iturbe
15K. Lomónaco
24A. Osorio59'for Tete Morente6.5
30Alvaro Padilla
9E. Ponce

Celta Vigo Substitutes

19W. Swedberg71'for Ferran Jutglà6.9
20Javi Rodríguez
7Borja Iglesias60'for Pablo Durán Fernández6.5
16Hugo González
4A. Faye
24C. Driouech71'for Hugo Alvarez Antunez6.3
21S. Cáceres
5Sergio Carreira71'for Javi Galán6.4
30H. Burcio83'for Aleix Febas6.5
1A. Bayındır
10Iago Aspas
25Iván Villar

Match Stats

ElcheCelta Vigo
67%Ball Possession33%
5Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards3
13Total Shots7
2Shots on Goal0
7Shots off Goal5
8Shots Inside Box2
5Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots2
19Fouls21
0Offsides3
0Goalkeeper Saves2
653Total Passes320
597Passes Accurate280
91%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

ElcheElche
Celta VigoCelta Vigo
1758Elo Rating 1768
1.59Attack 1.90
2.41Defense 2.11
44%Hit Rate 64%
11.5Shots per Game 12.0
4.5Shots on Target 3.4
3.7Corners per Game 2.8
3.0Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ElcheElche
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.7 in second half)
Celta VigoCelta Vigo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

ElcheElche2Wins · 25%
Draws113%
Celta VigoCelta Vigo5Wins · 62%
2.1Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored4 of 8
38%3+ goals3 of 8

Previous meetings

La Liga03/05/2026
Celta VigoElche
31
La Liga28/09/2025
ElcheCelta Vigo
21
La Liga26/04/2023
Celta VigoElche
10
La Liga06/01/2023
ElcheCelta Vigo
01
La Liga15/05/2022
Celta VigoElche
10
La Liga03/10/2021
ElcheCelta Vigo
10
La Liga12/02/2021
Celta VigoElche
31
La Liga06/11/2020
ElcheCelta Vigo
11

Referee Profile

Javier Alberola Rojas153 matches

3.68Cards per match
3.51Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
26.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Javier Alberola Rojas3.68
Other referees4.90

3.68 cards a match, 1.22 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.90).

Cards come from 148 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

La Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BarcelonaBarcelona1090140:11+2927LWWWW
2Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1081120:8+1225WWWWW
3Real MadridReal Madrid1080225:10+1524WWWLW
4Real BetisReal Betis1062216:14+220DLWDW
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1061319:18+119WWWWL
6SevillaSevilla1052316:16017WLDLW
7AlavesAlaves1033414:11+312DLLDL
8Athletic ClubAthletic Club933312:9+312LDDDD
9Celta VigoCelta Vigo1026210:7+312DWDWD
10VillarrealVillarreal1033415:14+112WDLWW
11Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1025313:13011LDLDL
12OsasunaOsasuna1032510:20-1011LWLDL
13Racing SantanderRacing Santander1032515:26-1111WLDLL
14LevanteLevante1024416:19-310LWDDL
15ElcheElche1024414:17-310WDDWL
16Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano923412:20-89DDDWL
17GetafeGetafe102355:15-109LDLWL
18EspanyolEspanyol1022612:14-28LLDLL
19ValenciaValencia101367:17-106LDDLW
20MalagaMalaga100557:19-125DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BarcelonaBarcelona1040:1127
2Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1020:825
3Real MadridReal Madrid1025:1024
4Real BetisReal Betis1016:1420
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1019:1819
6SevillaSevilla1016:1617
7AlavesAlaves1014:1112
8Athletic ClubAthletic Club912:912
9Celta VigoCelta Vigo1010:712
10VillarrealVillarreal1015:1412
11Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1013:1311
12OsasunaOsasuna1010:2011
13Racing SantanderRacing Santander1015:2611
14LevanteLevante1016:1910
15ElcheElche1014:1710
16Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano912:209
17GetafeGetafe105:159
18EspanyolEspanyol1012:148
19ValenciaValencia107:176
20MalagaMalaga107:195
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Elche vs Celta Vigo forecast

The forecasts for this La Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Elche and Celta Vigo in the La Liga table

In the La Liga table, Celta Vigo are 9th and Elche 15th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Elche 14-17, Celta Vigo 10-7. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.