Real Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction
Spain · Regular Season - 8
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Real Madrid vs Villarreal: result, form and history
Real Madrid beat Villarreal 1-0 in the La Liga on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Real Madrid have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.7 goals a game. Referee Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos averages 5.51 cards a game, 0.61 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Real Madrid
Avg ratingAvg rating
1T. Courtois
12T. Alexander-Arnold
16I. Konaté
22A. Rüdiger
18Á. Fernández
8F. Valverde
14A. Tchouaméni
15A. Güler
5J. Bellingham
25Y. Diomande
10K. Mbappé
25P. Gulácsi
3A. Freeman
6P. Navarro
12R. Veiga
23S. Cardona
8J. Foyth
18P. Gueye
11I. Akhomach
14S. Comesaña
10A. Moleiro
22A. PérezReal Madrid Substitutes
Villarreal Substitutes
Match Stats
Real MadridVillarreal Team Comparison
Real MadridVillarrealAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Real Madrid- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (2.2 vs 0.9 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Villarreal- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Real Madrid6Wins · 60%2Wins · 20%Previous meetings
24/01/2026VillarrealReal Madrid04/10/2025Real MadridVillarreal15/03/2025VillarrealReal Madrid05/10/2024Real MadridVillarreal19/05/2024VillarrealReal Madrid17/12/2023Real MadridVillarreal08/04/2023Real MadridVillarreal
19/01/2023VillarrealReal Madrid07/01/2023VillarrealReal Madrid12/02/2022VillarrealReal MadridRecent Form
Real Madrid
Atletico MadridReal Madrid
ElcheReal MadridReal Madrid
Rayo VallecanoReal Madrid
Inter
Real BetisReal MadridReal Madrid
MalagaReal Madrid
Real Sociedad
EspanyolReal Madrid
FC Schalke 04Real Madrid
Deportivo La CorunaReal MadridVillarrealVillarreal
LevanteMalagaVillarrealVillarrealReal Betis
Borussia DortmundVillarrealVillarrealDeportivo La Coruna
AlavesVillarrealAtletico MadridVillarreal
Racing SantanderVillarreal
GalatasarayVillarrealVillarrealLevanteReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.51 cards a match, 0.61 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.90).
Cards come from 128 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 40:11 | +29 | 27 | LWWWW |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20:8 | +12 | 25 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 25:10 | +15 | 24 | WWWLW |
| 4 | Real Betis | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:14 | +2 | 20 | DLWDW |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | +1 | 19 | WWWWL |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:16 | 0 | 17 | WLDLW |
| 7 | Alaves | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:11 | +3 | 12 | DLLDL |
| 8 |  Athletic Club | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | +3 | 12 | LDDDD |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10:7 | +3 | 12 | DWDWD |
| 10 | Villarreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | +1 | 12 | WDLWW |
| 11 | Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 | LDLDL |
| 12 |  Osasuna | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 11 | LWLDL |
| 13 | Racing Santander | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:26 | -11 | 11 | WLDLL |
| 14 | Levante | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:19 | -3 | 10 | LWDDL |
| 15 | Elche | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 | WDDWL |
| 16 | Rayo Vallecano | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | -8 | 9 | DDDWL |
| 17 |  Getafe | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 9 | LDLWL |
| 18 | Espanyol | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:14 | -2 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 19 |  Valencia | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 6 | LDDLW |
| 20 | Malaga | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7:19 | -12 | 5 | DLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 10 | 40:11 | 27 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 10 | 20:8 | 25 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 10 | 25:10 | 24 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 10 | 16:14 | 20 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 10 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 10 | 16:16 | 17 |
| 7 | Alaves | 10 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 9 | 12:9 | 12 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 10 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 10 | Villarreal | 10 | 15:14 | 12 |
| 11 | Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 12 | Osasuna | 10 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 13 | Racing Santander | 10 | 15:26 | 11 |
| 14 | Levante | 10 | 16:19 | 10 |
| 15 | Elche | 10 | 14:17 | 10 |
| 16 | Rayo Vallecano | 9 | 12:20 | 9 |
| 17 | Getafe | 10 | 5:15 | 9 |
| 18 | Espanyol | 10 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 19 | Valencia | 10 | 7:17 | 6 |
| 20 | Malaga | 10 | 7:19 | 5 |
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About the Real Madrid vs Villarreal forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Real Madrid and Villarreal in the La Liga table
In the La Liga table, Real Madrid are 3rd and Villarreal 10th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Real Madrid 25-10, Villarreal 15-14. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.