Malaga vs Villarreal Prediction
Spain · Regular Season - 6
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Malaga vs Villarreal: the result in context
Villarreal beat Malaga 3-1 in the La Liga on 17 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Malaga
Avg ratingAvg rating
1A. Herrero
3Puga
15Á. Recio
4E. Galilea
12J. Salinas
23I. Merino
19J. Cruz
10D. Larrubia
8C. Dotor
18P. Martínez
9Chupe
25P. Gulácsi
3A. Freeman
6P. Navarro
12R. Veiga
23S. Cardona
11I. Akhomach
24N. Saliba
14S. Comesaña
17T. Buchanan
10A. Moleiro
22A. PérezMalaga Substitutes
Villarreal Substitutes
Match Stats
MalagaVillarreal Team Comparison
MalagaVillarrealAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Malaga- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Villarreal- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.8 in first half)
Recent Form
Malaga
Celta VigoMalagaMalaga
Levante
Real MadridMalagaMalaga
Deportivo La Coruna
Atletico MadridMalagaMalaga
Fulham
AD Ceuta FCMalagaMalaga
Al-Arabi SCMalaga
Al-Ittihad FCMalaga
LeicesterVillarrealVillarreal
Real Betis
Borussia DortmundVillarrealVillarrealDeportivo La Coruna
AlavesVillarrealAtletico MadridVillarreal
Racing SantanderVillarreal
GalatasarayVillarrealVillarrealLevante
LensVillarreal
PSV EindhovenVillarrealReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.57 cards a match, 0.46 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.03).
Cards come from 134 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Madrid | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 22:8 | +14 | 28 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Barcelona | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 40:11 | +29 | 27 | LWWWW |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 25:10 | +15 | 24 | WWWLW |
| 4 | Real Betis | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:15 | +3 | 23 | WDLWD |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | +1 | 19 | WWWWL |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:16 | 0 | 17 | WLDLW |
| 7 | Alaves | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:11 | +3 | 12 | DLLDL |
| 8 |  Athletic Club | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | +3 | 12 | LDDDD |
| 9 | Villarreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 12 | LWDLW |
| 10 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 | LDWDW |
| 11 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:20 | -5 | 12 | LDDDW |
| 12 | Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 | LDLDL |
| 13 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 | WLLDL |
| 14 |  Osasuna | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 11 | LWLDL |
| 15 | Racing Santander | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:26 | -11 | 11 | WLDLL |
| 16 |  Elche | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 | WDDWL |
| 17 | Levante | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 10 | LWDDL |
| 18 |  Getafe | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 9 | LDLWL |
| 19 |  Valencia | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 6 | LDDLW |
| 20 | Malaga | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 5 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Madrid | 11 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 10 | 40:11 | 27 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 10 | 25:10 | 24 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 11 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 10 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 10 | 16:16 | 17 |
| 7 | Alaves | 10 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 9 | 12:9 | 12 |
| 9 | Villarreal | 11 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 10 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 12 | Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 13 | Espanyol | 11 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 14 | Osasuna | 10 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 15 | Racing Santander | 10 | 15:26 | 11 |
| 16 | Elche | 10 | 14:17 | 10 |
| 17 | Levante | 11 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 18 | Getafe | 10 | 5:15 | 9 |
| 19 | Valencia | 10 | 7:17 | 6 |
| 20 | Malaga | 11 | 8:21 | 5 |
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About the Malaga vs Villarreal forecast
The forecasts for this La Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Malaga and Villarreal in the La Liga table
In the La Liga table, Villarreal are 9th and Malaga 20th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Malaga 8-21, Villarreal 15-15. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Malaga and Villarreal have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.