Barcelona vs Racing Santander Prediction

Barcelona
7-2
Finished
HT 4-1
Racing Santander
Spotify Camp Nou, Barcelona 16/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
52%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams NOT to Score
2.15
SignalNEUTRALModel52%SurpriseHighGap+6.7%
Barcelona Rest
3 days
Racing Santander Rest
4 days

Barcelona vs Racing Santander: result, form and history

Barcelona beat Racing Santander 7-2 in the La Liga on 16 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Barcelona had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Racing Santander.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
95%1.08
X
3%13.50
2
2%26.00
Double Chance
1X
98%1.01
X2
5%8.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.63
No
52%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.44 + 0.78 = 3.22
Over 1.5
83%1.02
Over 2.5
62%1.07
Over 3.5
45%1.28
Under 1.5
17%17.00
Under 2.5
38%6.50
Under 3.5
55%3.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.7 + 2.8 = 10.5
Over 8.5
70%1.17
Over 9.5
55%1.33
Over 10.5
48%1.56
Under 8.5
30%4.28
Under 9.5
45%2.96
Under 10.5
52%2.25
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 2 = 3.3
Over 3.5
43%2.16
Over 4.5
24%3.60
Under 3.5
57%1.66
Under 4.5
76%1.26

Match Events

8'João CanceloAssist: Lamine Yamal
22'Pedro FelipeFoul
25'Raphinha(Penalty)
30'M. GueyeAssist: Asier Villalibre
36'Asier VillalibreOG
42'RaphinhaAssist: Dani Olmo
45'Lamine Yamal(Penalty missed)
45'Joan García INW. Szczęsny out
45+5'Lamine YamalFoul
59'Asier Villalibre INIñigo Vicente out
59'Pedro Felipe INIker Luque out
59'Juan Carlos Arana INM. Zabiri out
60'K. AdeyemiFoul
60'M. ZabiriFoul
61'Rodri INMarc Bernal out
61'Pedri INGavi out
65'M. Zabiri
67'Raphinha(Penalty)
69'Raphinha INGabriel Jesus out
69'João CanceloFoul
78'João Cancelo INAlejandro Balde out
78'Íñigo Sainz-Maza ING. Guliashvili out
79'Gabriel JesusAssist: Lamine Yamal
86'Facundo González INJorge Salinas out
89'Lamine YamalAssist: K. Adeyemi

Lineups

Barcelona
4-3-3Coach: H. Flick
Racing Santander
4-1-3-2Coach: José Alberto López
Avg rating6.86
Avg rating6.11
Joan García5.61J. García
Eric García6.524E. García
A. Christensen6.315A. Christensen
Gerard Martín6.118G. Martín
João Cancelo7.02J. Cancelo
Dani Olmo7.720D. Olmo
Rodri7.216Rodri
Pedri6.98Pedri
Lamine Yamal9.010L. Yamal
Raphinha8.211Raphinha
K. Adeyemi7.714K. Adeyemi
Julen Agirrezabala6.113J. Agirrezabala
Manu Hernando5.64M. Hernando
Pedro Felipe5.122P. Felipe
Facundo González5.716F. González
Aarón Martín5.53A. Martín
M. Prati5.918M. Prati
Sergio Canales6.320S. Canales
M. Gueye6.714M. Gueye
Íñigo Sainz-Maza6.26Í. Sainz-Maza
Asier Villalibre6.112A. Villalibre
Juan Carlos Arana6.29J. Carlos Arana

Barcelona Substitutes

5Pau Cubarsí Paredes
22Marc Bernal61'for Rodri6.1
12X. Espart
17A. Gordon
23J. Koundé
25D. Livaković
7Fermín
6Gavi61'for Pedri6.7
29H. Abdelkarim
13W. Szczęsny45'for Joan García5.0
9Gabriel Jesus69'for Raphinha79'7.4
3Alejandro Balde78'for João Cancelo6.5

Racing Santander Substitutes

31Laro Gómez
24J. Belocian
15Pablo García
7G. Guliashvili78'for Íñigo Sainz-Maza6.4
19Iker Luque59'for Pedro Felipe6.4
2Álvaro Mantilla
23Iván Martín
5Pablo Ramón
17Jorge Salinas86'for Facundo González5.5
10Iñigo Vicente59'for Asier Villalibre6.8
21M. Zabiri59'for Juan Carlos Arana60'65'7.3

Match Stats

BarcelonaRacing Santander
69%Ball Possession31%
18Corner Kicks0
3Yellow Cards2
30Total Shots5
9Shots on Goal3
15Shots off Goal2
23Shots Inside Box5
7Shots Outside Box0
6Blocked Shots0
10Fouls13
3Offsides2
0Goalkeeper Saves3
646Total Passes288
589Passes Accurate226
12Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

BarcelonaBarcelona
Racing SantanderRacing Santander
2068Elo Rating 1678
3.38Attack 1.21
1.13Defense 0.07
73%Hit Rate 27%
20.5Shots per Game 14.7
8.1Shots on Target 6.0
5.0Corners per Game 5.4
1.1Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+390 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.23 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📉Away Underperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk90%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

BarcelonaBarcelona
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.3 vs 1.1 in first half)
Racing SantanderRacing Santander
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

BarcelonaBarcelona1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Racing SantanderRacing Santander0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

Copa del Rey15/01/2026
Racing SantanderBarcelona
02

Recent Form

BarcelonaBarcelona
9W0D1L
13/09/2026
LevanteBarcelona
24
W
09/09/2026
BarcelonaFeyenoord
51
W
06/09/2026
ValenciaBarcelona
05
W
31/08/2026
BarcelonaRayo Vallecano
52
W
27/08/2026
BarcelonaAthletic Club
20
W
23/08/2026
ElcheBarcelona
05
W
19/08/2026
BarcelonaAl Ahly
21
W
16/08/2026
FC Basel 1893Barcelona
25
W
08/08/2026
UdineseBarcelona
10
L
08/08/2026
BarcelonaNottingham Forest
10
W
Racing SantanderRacing Santander
3W1D6L
12/09/2026
Racing SantanderAlaves
21
W
05/09/2026
Rayo VallecanoRacing Santander
32
L
28/08/2026
Racing SantanderElche
32
W
23/08/2026
GetafeRacing Santander
10
L
16/08/2026
Racing SantanderVillarreal
22
D
07/08/2026
Racing SantanderAlaves
6171
L
07/08/2026
Racing SantanderSporting Gijon
41
W
01/08/2026
WolvesRacing Santander
30
L
29/07/2026
Racing SantanderAthletic Club
03
L
24/07/2026
OsasunaRacing Santander
20
L

League Table

La Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BarcelonaBarcelona1090140:11+2927LWWWW
2Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1081120:8+1225WWWWW
3Real MadridReal Madrid1080225:10+1524WWWLW
4Real BetisReal Betis1062216:14+220DLWDW
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1061319:18+119WWWWL
6SevillaSevilla1052316:16017WLDLW
7AlavesAlaves1033414:11+312DLLDL
8Athletic ClubAthletic Club933312:9+312LDDDD
9Celta VigoCelta Vigo1026210:7+312DWDWD
10VillarrealVillarreal1033415:14+112WDLWW
11Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1025313:13011LDLDL
12OsasunaOsasuna1032510:20-1011LWLDL
13Racing SantanderRacing Santander1032515:26-1111WLDLL
14LevanteLevante1024416:19-310LWDDL
15ElcheElche1024414:17-310WDDWL
16Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano923412:20-89DDDWL
17GetafeGetafe102355:15-109LDLWL
18EspanyolEspanyol1022612:14-28LLDLL
19ValenciaValencia101367:17-106LDDLW
20MalagaMalaga100557:19-125DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BarcelonaBarcelona1040:1127
2Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1020:825
3Real MadridReal Madrid1025:1024
4Real BetisReal Betis1016:1420
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1019:1819
6SevillaSevilla1016:1617
7AlavesAlaves1014:1112
8Athletic ClubAthletic Club912:912
9Celta VigoCelta Vigo1010:712
10VillarrealVillarreal1015:1412
11Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1013:1311
12OsasunaOsasuna1010:2011
13Racing SantanderRacing Santander1015:2611
14LevanteLevante1016:1910
15ElcheElche1014:1710
16Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano912:209
17GetafeGetafe105:159
18EspanyolEspanyol1012:148
19ValenciaValencia107:176
20MalagaMalaga107:195
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Barcelona vs Racing Santander forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Barcelona and Racing Santander in the La Liga table

In the La Liga table, Barcelona are 1st and Racing Santander 13th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: Barcelona 40-11, Racing Santander 15-26. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Barcelona and Racing Santander have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.