Villarreal vs Real Betis Prediction

Villarreal
1-2
Finished
HT 1-2
Real Betis
Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal·Francisco Jose Hernandez Maeso 14/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.60
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseHighGap+5.4%
Villarreal Rest
6 days
Real Betis Rest
6 days

Villarreal vs Real Betis: the result in context

Real Betis beat Villarreal 2-1 in the La Liga on 14 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Real Betis had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for Villarreal.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Referee Francisco Jose Hernandez Maeso averages 4.05 cards a game, 0.80 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
33%1.97
X
29%3.90
2
38%3.60
Double Chance
1X
62%1.29
X2
67%1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.49
No
45%2.48
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1.44 = 2.64
Over 1.5
74%1.14
Over 2.5
55%1.53
Over 3.5
26%2.39
Under 1.5
26%4.88
Under 2.5
45%2.38
Under 3.5
74%1.59
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 5 = 10.1
Over 8.5
66%1.38
Over 9.5
55%1.72
Over 10.5
46%2.14
Under 8.5
34%2.74
Under 9.5
45%2.06
Under 10.5
54%1.65
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2 = 3.9
Over 3.5
54%1.80
Over 4.5
35%2.27
Under 3.5
46%1.98
Under 4.5
65%1.60

Match Events

20'Goal cancelledTajon Buchanan
29'Gerard MorenoAssist: Renato Veiga
39'Cucho Hernández
43'Natan Bernardo de Souza
54'Pape Gueye INNathan-Dylan Saliba out
55'Tajon Buchanan INAlberto Moleiro out
57'Isco INDani Ceballos out
62'Gerard Moreno INTani Oluwaseyi out
66'Abde Ezzalzouli INAntony Matheus dos Santos out
67'Rodrigo Riquelme INNelson Deossa out
76'Nicolas Pépé INAyoze Pérez out
76'Álvaro Santiago Mouriño González INAlex Freeman out
84'Renato VeigaDissent
84'Pablo Fornals INFacundo Bernal out
84'Cucho Hernández INGiovani Lo Celso out

Lineups

Villarreal
4-4-2Coach: Iñigo Pérez
Real Betis
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Pellegrini
Avg rating6.76
Avg rating6.98
P. Gulácsi8.825P. Gulácsi
S. Mouriño6.315S. Mouriño
Pau Navarro6.96P. Navarro
Renato Veiga7.012R. Veiga
Carlos Romero6.520C. Romero
N. Pépé5.919N. Pépé
P. Gueye6.618P. Gueye
Santi Comesaña6.614S. Comesaña
T. Buchanan6.717T. Buchanan
Gerard Moreno8.27G. Moreno
G. Mikautadze6.49G. Mikautadze
Álvaro Vallés8.51Á. Vallés
Héctor Bellerín6.72H. Bellerín
Marc Bartra6.65M. Bartra
Natan7.64Natan
Fran García6.511F. García
Pablo Fornals6.68P. Fornals
Marc Roca6.721M. Roca
Rodrigo Riquelme6.417R. Riquelme
Isco7.222Isco
A. Ezzalzouli7.510A. Ezzalzouli
C. Hernández7.89C. Hernández

Villarreal Substitutes

23Sergi Cardona
11Ilias Akhomach
2Logan Costa
5A. Diatta
3A. Freeman76'for Álvaro Santiago Mouriño González6.1
13Rubén Gómez
1Luíz Júnior
16C. Macia
10Alberto Moleiro55'for Tajon Buchanan6.8
21T. Oluwaseyi62'for Gerard Moreno6.9
22Ayoze Pérez76'for Nicolas Pépé6.3
24N. Saliba54'for Pape Gueye6.2

Real Betis Substitutes

25Dani Ceballos57'for Isco7.1
18N. Deossa67'for Rodrigo Riquelme6.8
15Álvaro Fidalgo
23Junior Firpo
16V. Gómez
31Manu González
20G. Lo Celso84'for Cucho Hernández6.2
14Iker Losada
12Ángel Ortiz
19T. Parrott
7Antony66'for Abde Ezzalzouli7.2
6F. Bernal84'for Pablo Fornals6.2

Match Stats

VillarrealReal Betis
62%Ball Possession38%
7Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards0
14Total Shots26
8Shots on Goal12
4Shots off Goal3
11Shots Inside Box20
3Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots11
7Fouls8
5Offsides2
10Goalkeeper Saves7
623Total Passes378
552Passes Accurate314
89%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

VillarrealVillarreal
Real BetisReal Betis
1785Elo Rating 1888
2.03Attack 1.82
1.87Defense 1.41
42%Hit Rate 54%
16.4Shots per Game 16.1
4.5Shots on Target 5.9
7.0Corners per Game 4.3
2.9Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

VillarrealVillarreal
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.8 in first half)
Real BetisReal Betis
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

VillarrealVillarreal4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
Real BetisReal Betis4Wins · 40%
2.7Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

La Liga17/01/2026
Real BetisVillarreal
20
La Liga18/10/2025
VillarrealReal Betis
22
La Liga13/04/2025
Real BetisVillarreal
12
La Liga15/12/2024
VillarrealReal Betis
12
La Liga10/03/2024
Real BetisVillarreal
23
La Liga13/08/2023
VillarrealReal Betis
12
La Liga12/03/2023
VillarrealReal Betis
11
La Liga11/09/2022
Real BetisVillarreal
10
La Liga06/02/2022
Real BetisVillarreal
02
La Liga03/10/2021
VillarrealReal Betis
20

Recent Form

VillarrealVillarreal
3W2D5L
Real BetisReal Betis
7W1D2L
08/09/2026
LilleReal Betis
23
W
04/09/2026
Real BetisReal Madrid
10
W
29/08/2026
LevanteReal Betis
52
L
25/08/2026
ValenciaReal Betis
01
W
21/08/2026
Real BetisReal Sociedad
10
W
15/08/2026
InterReal Betis
10
L
08/08/2026
Real BetisBournemouth
22
D
05/08/2026
ArsenalReal Betis
13
W
01/08/2026
Real BetisAlmeria
10
W
29/07/2026
Real BetisLyon
40
W

Referee Profile

Francisco Jose Hernandez Maeso43 matches

4.05Cards per match
3.91Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
25.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Francisco Jose Hernandez Maeso4.05
Other referees4.85

4.05 cards a match, 0.80 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.85).

Cards come from 43 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

La Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BarcelonaBarcelona11100146:12+3430WLWWW
2Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1191122:8+1428WWWWW
3Real MadridReal Madrid1190228:10+1827WWWWL
4Real BetisReal Betis1172218:15+323WDLWD
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1161420:20019LWWWW
6SevillaSevilla1152417:19-217LWLDL
7Athletic ClubAthletic Club1043314:10+415WLDDD
8VillarrealVillarreal1133515:15012LWDLW
9Celta VigoCelta Vigo1126310:10012LDWDW
10AlavesAlaves1133515:17-212LDLLD
11Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano1033415:20-512LDDDW
12GetafeGetafe113358:16-812WLDLW
13Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1025313:13011LDLDL
14EspanyolEspanyol1132613:14-111WLLDL
15OsasunaOsasuna1032510:20-1011LWLDL
16Racing SantanderRacing Santander1132615:29-1411LWLDL
17ElcheElche1124514:18-410LWDDW
18LevanteLevante1124516:21-510LLWDD
19ValenciaValencia112368:17-99WLDDL
20MalagaMalaga110568:21-135LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1BarcelonaBarcelona1146:1230
2Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1122:828
3Real MadridReal Madrid1128:1027
4Real BetisReal Betis1118:1523
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1120:2019
6SevillaSevilla1117:1917
7Athletic ClubAthletic Club1014:1015
8VillarrealVillarreal1115:1512
9Celta VigoCelta Vigo1110:1012
10AlavesAlaves1115:1712
11Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano1015:2012
12GetafeGetafe118:1612
13Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1013:1311
14EspanyolEspanyol1113:1411
15OsasunaOsasuna1010:2011
16Racing SantanderRacing Santander1115:2911
17ElcheElche1114:1810
18LevanteLevante1116:2110
19ValenciaValencia118:179
20MalagaMalaga118:215
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Villarreal vs Real Betis forecast

The forecasts for this La Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Villarreal and Real Betis in the La Liga table

In the La Liga table, Real Betis are 4th and Villarreal 8th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Villarreal 15-15, Real Betis 18-15. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.