Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander Prediction

Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo·Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea 19/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.80
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+9.0%
Celta Vigo Rest
2 days
Racing Santander Rest
2 days

Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander: result, form and history

Celta Vigo beat Racing Santander 5-0 in the La Liga on 19 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Racing Santander had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Celta Vigo.

Referee Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea averages 4.32 cards a game, 0.54 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.81
X
26%3.85
2
22%4.40
Double Chance
1X
78%1.22
X2
48%1.99
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.65
No
52%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.39 + 1 = 2.39
Over 1.5
64%1.21
Over 2.5
44%1.70
Over 3.5
20%2.65
Under 1.5
36%4.20
Under 2.5
56%2.18
Under 3.5
80%1.41
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.2 = 9.5
Over 8.5
61%1.50
Over 9.5
52%1.88
Over 10.5
38%2.38
Under 8.5
39%2.42
Under 9.5
48%1.90
Under 10.5
62%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.1 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%1.46
Over 4.5
40%1.91
Under 3.5
41%2.60
Under 4.5
60%1.81

Match Events

28'Penalty confirmedFerran Jutglà
32'Hugo González(Penalty)
43'Ilaix MoribaAssist: Miguel Roman
45'Hugo González INPablo Durán Fernández out
45'Javier Rueda García INSergio Carreira Vilarino out
45+3'Javier Rueda GarcíaFoul
57'Yassir ZabiriArgument
63'André Almeida INSergio Canales out
63'Alvaro Mantilla INAarón Martin Caricol out
63'Pablo García INAsier Villalibre out
63'Ferran Jutglà INBorja Iglesias out
64'Williot Swedberg INJavi Galán out
64'Jeanuël BelocianFoul
69'Miguel Roman
73'Yoel LagoFoul
75'Pablo Ramon ParraFoul
75'Yassir Zabiri INGiorgi Guliashvili out
78'Pablo Durán FernándezAssist: Hugo Alvarez Antunez
84'Miguel Roman INHugo Burcio out
84'Iván Martín INÍñigo Sáinz-Maza out
90'Sergio CanalesFoul
90+2'Pablo Durán FernándezAssist: Hugo Alvarez Antunez
90+3'Iñigo VicenteFoul

Lineups

Celta Vigo
3-4-3Coach: Claudio Giráldez
Racing Santander
4-1-4-1Coach: José Alberto López
Avg rating7.45
Avg rating6.05
I. Radu8.113I. Radu
Álvaro Núñez7.515Á. Núñez
Yoel Lago7.218Y. Lago
S. Cáceres7.621S. Cáceres
Javi Rueda6.317J. Rueda
I. Moriba8.26I. Moriba
Miguel Román9.08M. Román
Hugo Álvarez8.623H. Álvarez
Hugo González7.616H. González
Ferran Jutglà6.29F. Jutglà
W. Swedberg6.319W. Swedberg
Julen Agirrezabala6.613J. Agirrezabala
Álvaro Mantilla5.62Á. Mantilla
Pablo Ramón5.95P. Ramón
J. Belocian5.624J. Belocian
Jorge Salinas6.117J. Salinas
André Almeida6.78A. Almeida
Pablo García5.715P. García
Iván Martín6.223I. Martín
Iñigo Vicente6.410I. Vicente
Iker Luque6.219I. Luque
M. Zabiri6.021M. Zabiri

Celta Vigo Substitutes

1A. Bayındır
2C. Starfelt
20Javi Rodríguez
7Borja Iglesias63'for Ferran Jutglà6.7
22Javi Galán64'for Williot Swedberg7.3
14Aleix Febas
4A. Faye
11Pablo Durán45'for Hugo González78'90+2'8.4
24C. Driouech
5Sergio Carreira45'for Javier Rueda García7.3
30H. Burcio84'for Miguel Roman7.0
3Marcos Alonso

Racing Santander Substitutes

14M. Gueye
16Facundo González
31Laro Gómez
20Sergio Canales63'for André Almeida90'5.5
9Juan Carlos Arana
7G. Guliashvili75'for Yassir Zabiri6.1
4Manu Hernando
3Aarón Martín63'for Alvaro Mantilla5.8
22Pedro Felipe
18M. Prati
6Íñigo Sainz-Maza84'for Iván Martín5.8
12Asier Villalibre63'for Pablo García6.4

Match Stats

Celta VigoRacing Santander
41%Ball Possession59%
3Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards5
13Total Shots11
9Shots on Goal5
2Shots off Goal4
8Shots Inside Box6
5Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots2
13Fouls11
3Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves4
431Total Passes605
372Passes Accurate538
9Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

Celta VigoCelta Vigo
Racing SantanderRacing Santander
1768Elo Rating 1678
1.90Attack 1.21
2.11Defense 0.07
64%Hit Rate 27%
12.0Shots per Game 14.7
3.4Shots on Target 6.0
2.8Corners per Game 5.4
1.4Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Celta VigoCelta Vigo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Racing SantanderRacing Santander
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Celta VigoCelta Vigo1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Racing SantanderRacing Santander0Wins · 0%
5.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

Copa del Rey05/01/2025
Racing SantanderCelta Vigo
23

Recent Form

Racing SantanderRacing Santander
3W1D6L
16/09/2026
BarcelonaRacing Santander
72
L
12/09/2026
Racing SantanderAlaves
21
W
05/09/2026
Rayo VallecanoRacing Santander
32
L
28/08/2026
Racing SantanderElche
32
W
23/08/2026
GetafeRacing Santander
10
L
16/08/2026
Racing SantanderVillarreal
22
D
07/08/2026
Racing SantanderAlaves
6171
L
07/08/2026
Racing SantanderSporting Gijon
41
W
01/08/2026
WolvesRacing Santander
30
L
29/07/2026
Racing SantanderAthletic Club
03
L

Referee Profile

Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea190 matches

4.32Cards per match
4.10Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
23.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea4.32
Other referees4.86

4.32 cards a match, 0.54 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.86).

Cards come from 176 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

La Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BarcelonaBarcelona1090140:11+2927LWWWW
2Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1081120:8+1225WWWWW
3Real MadridReal Madrid1080225:10+1524WWWLW
4Real BetisReal Betis1062216:14+220DLWDW
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1061319:18+119WWWWL
6SevillaSevilla1052316:16017WLDLW
7AlavesAlaves1033414:11+312DLLDL
8Athletic ClubAthletic Club933312:9+312LDDDD
9Celta VigoCelta Vigo1026210:7+312DWDWD
10VillarrealVillarreal1033415:14+112WDLWW
11Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1025313:13011LDLDL
12OsasunaOsasuna1032510:20-1011LWLDL
13Racing SantanderRacing Santander1032515:26-1111WLDLL
14LevanteLevante1024416:19-310LWDDL
15ElcheElche1024414:17-310WDDWL
16Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano923412:20-89DDDWL
17GetafeGetafe102355:15-109LDLWL
18EspanyolEspanyol1022612:14-28LLDLL
19ValenciaValencia101367:17-106LDDLW
20MalagaMalaga100557:19-125DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BarcelonaBarcelona1040:1127
2Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1020:825
3Real MadridReal Madrid1025:1024
4Real BetisReal Betis1016:1420
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1019:1819
6SevillaSevilla1016:1617
7AlavesAlaves1014:1112
8Athletic ClubAthletic Club912:912
9Celta VigoCelta Vigo1010:712
10VillarrealVillarreal1015:1412
11Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1013:1311
12OsasunaOsasuna1010:2011
13Racing SantanderRacing Santander1015:2611
14LevanteLevante1016:1910
15ElcheElche1014:1710
16Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano912:209
17GetafeGetafe105:159
18EspanyolEspanyol1012:148
19ValenciaValencia107:176
20MalagaMalaga107:195
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Celta Vigo and Racing Santander in the La Liga table

In the La Liga table, Celta Vigo are 9th and Racing Santander 13th, 1 point apart. League goal record so far: Celta Vigo 10-7, Racing Santander 15-26. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Celta Vigo and Racing Santander have met only 1 time recently, with 5.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.