Malaga vs Espanyol Prediction
Spain · Regular Season - 8
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.41
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-5.6%
Malaga Rest
19 days
Espanyol Rest
21 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
132%2.88
X29%3.24
239%2.55
Double Chance
1X61%1.50
X268%1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes57%1.73
No43%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.35 + 1.5 = 2.85
Over 1.574%1.30
Over 2.552%2.03
Over 3.530%3.40
Under 1.526%3.26
Under 2.548%1.81
Under 3.570%1.29
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.2 = 9.5
Over 8.561%1.65
Over 9.551%2.10
Over 10.535%2.81
Under 8.539%2.10
Under 9.549%1.67
Under 10.565%1.37
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.2 = 4.4
Over 3.564%1.52
Over 4.545%2.10
Under 3.536%2.43
Under 4.555%1.67
Match Events
13'Bryan ZaragozaAssist: Francisco Javier Hernandez Coarasa
24'Francisco Javier Hernandez CoarasaFoul
28'Bryan ZaragozaArgument
28'Carlos PugaArgument
41'Carlos Ruiz RubioFoul
57'Francisco Javier Hernandez Coarasa INUrko Gonzalez out
60'Omar El HilaliFoul
62'Carlos Puga INAdam Aznou out
62'Rafael Rodríguez Ruiz INAdrian Nino out
62'Joaquín Muñoz INCarlos Dotor out
66'Carlos DotorFoul
73'Bryan Zaragoza INÁlex Calatrava Torrado out
74'Fernando Calero INIzan Merino out
82'Roberto Fernández Jaén INRoger Hinojo out
82'Eduardo Expósito Jaén INPere Milla out
82'Tyrhys Dolan INMarcos Fernández out
82'Pablo Martínez Andrés INHaitam Abaida out
84'Clemens RiedelFoul
87'Roger HinojoFoul
89'Adam AznouFoul
90+3'Adrian NinoAssist: Rafael Garrido Hierro
Lineups
MalagaEspanyol
4-2-3-1Coach: Manolo GonzálezAvg ratingAvg rating
1A. Herrero
3Puga
20F. Calero
15Á. Recio
31Rafita
14R. Rodríguez
10D. Larrubia
22D. Lorenzo
18P. Martínez
11J. Muñoz
9Chupe
1Á. Fortuño
23O. El Hilali
5C. Riedel
6L. Cabrera
3Q. Hartman
8E. Expósito
10P. Lozano
24T. Dolan
28J. Hernandez
15B. Zaragoza
9R. FernándezMalaga Substitutes
7H. Abaida82'for Pablo Martínez Andrés
23Izan Merino74'for Fernando Calero
8Carlos Dotor62'for Joaquín Muñoz66'
13Carlos López
17Eneko Jauregi
4Einar Galilea
6Ramón Enríquez
21Adrián Niño Heredia62'for Rafael Rodríguez Ruiz90+3'
5Álex Pastor
39Adam Aznou Ben Cheikh62'for Carlos Puga89'
25Juan Berrocal
30Andrés Céspedes
Espanyol Substitutes
26Rafel Bauzà
22Álex Calatrava73'for Bryan Zaragoza
13M. Dmitrović
16V. Drkušić
18Marcos Fernández82'for Tyrhys Dolan
4Urko González57'for Francisco Javier Hernandez Coarasa
21Roger Hinojo82'for Roberto Fernández Jaén87'
11Pere Milla82'for Eduardo Expósito Jaén
14Unai Núñez
7Javi Puado
31Llorenç Serred
20Gabriel Moscardo
Match Stats
MalagaEspanyol 58%Ball Possession42%
8Corner Kicks2
4Yellow Cards5
15Total Shots9
7Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal2
9Shots Inside Box6
6Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots3
10Fouls15
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves6
484Total Passes353
426Passes Accurate279
14Free Kicks10
Team Comparison
MalagaEspanyol1639Elo Rating 1677
1.06Attack 0.77
0.80Defense 1.26
0%Hit Rate 0%
11.0Shots per Game 13.5
4.4Shots on Target 2.9
5.1Corners per Game 3.6
2.3Cards per Game 3.1
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.85 goals
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Malaga- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Espanyol- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings, all competitions
Malaga0Wins · 0%Draws00%
Espanyol2Wins · 100%
2Wins · 100%3.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2
Previous meetings
02/05/2021EspanyolMalaga30
02/11/2020MalagaEspanyol03
Recent Form
Malaga1W4D5L
20/09/2026
GetafeMalagaMalaga
Villarreal
Celta VigoMalagaMalaga
Levante
Real MadridMalagaMalaga
Deportivo La Coruna
Atletico MadridMalaga
GetafeMalaga10
L17/09/2026MalagaVillarreal13
L13/09/2026Celta VigoMalaga11
D06/09/2026MalagaLevante00
D30/08/2026Real MadridMalaga40
L24/08/2026MalagaDeportivo La Coruna11
D19/08/2026Atletico MadridMalaga20
L12/08/2026Malaga
Fulham
MalagaFulham22
D07/08/2026
AD Ceuta FCMalaga
AD Ceuta FCMalaga21
L06/08/2026Malaga
Al-Arabi SC
MalagaAl-Arabi SC42
WEspanyol2W3D5L
18/09/2026Espanyol
Elche
Rayo VallecanoEspanyol
OsasunaEspanyolEspanyol
Sevilla
Real SociedadEspanyolEspanyolReal MadridEspanyolLevante
EspanyolElche13
L15/09/2026Rayo VallecanoEspanyol21
L12/09/2026OsasunaEspanyol02
W06/09/2026EspanyolSevilla11
D29/08/2026Real SociedadEspanyol21
L22/08/2026EspanyolReal Madrid12
L16/08/2026EspanyolLevante30
W08/08/2026
CoventryEspanyol
CoventryEspanyol31
L01/08/2026
MiddlesbroughEspanyol
MiddlesbroughEspanyol33
D29/07/2026
BurnleyEspanyol
BurnleyEspanyol22
DReferee Profile
4.05Cards per match
3.91Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
25.1Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.05 cards a match, 0.81 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.86).
Cards come from 43 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 40:11 | +29 | 27 | LWWWW |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20:8 | +12 | 25 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 25:10 | +15 | 24 | WWWLW |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:14 | +2 | 20 | DLWDW |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | +1 | 19 | WWWWL |
| 6 | Sevilla | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:16 | 0 | 17 | WLDLW |
| 7 |  Alaves | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:11 | +3 | 12 | DLLDL |
| 8 |  Athletic Club | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | +3 | 12 | LDDDD |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10:7 | +3 | 12 | DWDWD |
| 10 | Villarreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | +1 | 12 | WDLWW |
| 11 | Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Osasuna | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 11 | LWLDL |
| 13 |  Racing Santander | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:26 | -11 | 11 | WLDLL |
| 14 | Levante | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:19 | -3 | 10 | LWDDL |
| 15 | Elche | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 | WDDWL |
| 16 | Rayo Vallecano | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | -8 | 9 | DDDWL |
| 17 | Getafe | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 9 | LDLWL |
| 18 | Espanyol | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:14 | -2 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 19 |  Valencia | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 6 | LDDLW |
| 20 | Malaga | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7:19 | -12 | 5 | DLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 10 | 40:11 | 27 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 10 | 20:8 | 25 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 10 | 25:10 | 24 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 10 | 16:14 | 20 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 10 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 10 | 16:16 | 17 |
| 7 | Alaves | 10 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 9 | 12:9 | 12 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 10 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 10 | Villarreal | 10 | 15:14 | 12 |
| 11 | Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 12 | Osasuna | 10 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 13 | Racing Santander | 10 | 15:26 | 11 |
| 14 | Levante | 10 | 16:19 | 10 |
| 15 | Elche | 10 | 14:17 | 10 |
| 16 | Rayo Vallecano | 9 | 12:20 | 9 |
| 17 | Getafe | 10 | 5:15 | 9 |
| 18 | Espanyol | 10 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 19 | Valencia | 10 | 7:17 | 6 |
| 20 | Malaga | 10 | 7:19 | 5 |
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About the Malaga vs Espanyol forecast
The forecasts for this La Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Malaga and Espanyol in the La Liga table
Espanyol and Malaga are close in the La Liga table, 18th and 20th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Malaga 7-19, Espanyol 12-14. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Malaga and Espanyol have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.