Celta Vigo vs Alaves Prediction

Celta Vigo
2-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Alaves
Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo·Jose Luis Munuera Montero 18/10/2026
Celta VigoCelta Vigo
2-1
Finished
AlavesAlaves

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-5.7%
Celta Vigo Rest
2 days
Alaves Rest
8 days

Celta Vigo vs Alaves: the result in context

Celta Vigo beat Alaves 2-1 in the La Liga on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Celta Vigo have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.1 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.27
X
29%3.17
2
29%3.46
Double Chance
1X
71%1.30
X2
58%1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%2.02
No
51%1.72
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.43 + 1.14 = 2.57
Over 1.5
67%1.43
Over 2.5
41%2.39
Over 3.5
21%4.58
Under 1.5
33%2.62
Under 2.5
59%1.58
Under 3.5
79%1.18
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.3 = 9.9
Over 8.5
63%1.62
Over 9.5
52%2.02
Over 10.5
41%2.71
Under 8.5
37%2.10
Under 9.5
48%1.71
Under 10.5
59%1.39
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.3 = 4.5
Over 3.5
66%1.39
Over 4.5
47%1.80
Under 3.5
34%2.88
Under 4.5
53%1.91

Match Events

15'Sebastián CáceresFoul
45'Toni MartínezFoul
45'Ilaix Moriba INAleix Febas out
45'Williot Swedberg INJavier Rueda García out
53'Ferran JutglàAssist: Javier Rodríguez Galiano
62'Jonny Otto INHugo Novoa Ramos out
62'Toni Martínez INMariano Díaz out
62'Carles Aleñá INDenis Suárez out
70'Couhaib Driouech INIago Aspas out
70'Hugo Burcio INAndrés Antañón Vieites out
71'Javier Rodríguez GalianoAssist: Iago Aspas
77'Sebastián Cáceres INMarcos Alonso out
87'Hugo Novoa RamosAssist: Mariano Díaz
88'Abderrahmane Rebbach INAitor Mañas out
88'Antonio Blanco INAnder Guevara out

Lineups

Celta Vigo
3-4-3Coach: Claudio Giráldez
Alaves
5-3-2Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores
Avg rating6.86
Avg rating6.53
I. Radu8.213I. Radu
Javi Rodríguez8.220J. Rodríguez
Yoel Lago7.018Y. Lago
S. Cáceres6.621S. Cáceres
Sergio Carreira6.35S. Carreira
H. Burcio6.630H. Burcio
I. Moriba6.46I. Moriba
Hugo Álvarez6.923H. Álvarez
C. Driouech6.424C. Driouech
Ferran Jutglà7.79F. Jutglà
W. Swedberg6.119W. Swedberg
Sivera5.91Sivera
N. Tenaglia6.614N. Tenaglia
Jonny6.617Jonny
V. Koski6.816V. Koski
N. Valentini6.52N. Valentini
A. Rebbach6.921A. Rebbach
Pablo Ibáñez6.719P. Ibáñez
Antonio Blanco7.28A. Blanco
Carles Aleñá6.310C. Aleñá
Toni Martínez6.411T. Martínez
L. Boyé6.015L. Boyé

Celta Vigo Substitutes

28Andrés Antañón70'for Hugo Burcio6.7
3Marcos Alonso77'for Sebastián Cáceres6.8
31Ángel Arcos
10Iago Aspas70'for Couhaib Driouech6.8
1A. Bayındır
4A. Faye
14Aleix Febas45'for Ilaix Moriba6.5
22Javi Galán
16Hugo González
15Álvaro Núñez
17Javi Rueda45'for Williot Swedberg6.5
25Iván Villar

Alaves Substitutes

24Selu Diallo
9M. Díaz62'for Toni Martínez6.6
3Yusi
6Guevara88'for Antonio Blanco6.1
20Aitor Mañas88'for Abderrahmane Rebbach6.3
12Hugo Novoa62'for Jonny Otto87'7.5
27X. Olaiz
13A. Giménez
22Miguel Rodríguez
4Denis Suárez62'for Carles Aleñá6.1
31G. Swiderski
23C. Benavídez

Match Stats

Celta VigoAlaves
48%Ball Possession52%
0Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards1
6Total Shots20
3Shots on Goal9
3Shots off Goal5
3Shots Inside Box14
3Shots Outside Box6
0Blocked Shots6
14Fouls17
0Offsides3
8Goalkeeper Saves1
471Total Passes491
387Passes Accurate398
82%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

Celta VigoCelta Vigo
AlavesAlaves
1771Elo Rating 1734
1.01Attack 0.69
2.24Defense 1.74
42%Hit Rate 0%
11.9Shots per Game 13.4
2.9Shots on Target 4.1
2.8Corners per Game 3.3
1.5Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Celta VigoCelta Vigo
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AlavesAlaves
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Celta VigoCelta Vigo6Wins · 60%
Draws220%
AlavesAlaves2Wins · 20%
3.1Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

La Liga22/03/2026
Celta VigoAlaves
34
La Liga22/11/2025
AlavesCelta Vigo
01
La Liga27/01/2025
AlavesCelta Vigo
11
La Liga16/08/2024
Celta VigoAlaves
21
La Liga27/04/2024
AlavesCelta Vigo
30
La Liga28/09/2023
Celta VigoAlaves
11
La Liga07/05/2022
Celta VigoAlaves
40
La Liga27/11/2021
AlavesCelta Vigo
12
La Liga04/04/2021
AlavesCelta Vigo
13
La Liga20/12/2020
Celta VigoAlaves
20

Referee Profile

Jose Luis Munuera Montero179 matches

4.58Cards per match
4.36Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
25.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jose Luis Munuera Montero4.58
Other referees4.88

4.58 cards a match, 0.30 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.88).

Cards come from 146 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

La Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1191122:8+1428WWWWW
2BarcelonaBarcelona1090140:11+2927LWWWW
3Real MadridReal Madrid1080225:10+1524WWWLW
4Real BetisReal Betis1172218:15+323WDLWD
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1061319:18+119WWWWL
6SevillaSevilla1052316:16017WLDLW
7AlavesAlaves1033414:11+312DLLDL
8Athletic ClubAthletic Club933312:9+312LDDDD
9VillarrealVillarreal1133515:15012LWDLW
10Celta VigoCelta Vigo1126310:10012LDWDW
11Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano1033415:20-512LDDDW
12Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1025313:13011LDLDL
13EspanyolEspanyol1132613:14-111WLLDL
14OsasunaOsasuna1032510:20-1011LWLDL
15Racing SantanderRacing Santander1032515:26-1111WLDLL
16ElcheElche1024414:17-310WDDWL
17LevanteLevante1124516:21-510LWDDL
18GetafeGetafe102355:15-109LDLWL
19ValenciaValencia101367:17-106LDDLW
20MalagaMalaga110568:21-135LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1122:828
2BarcelonaBarcelona1040:1127
3Real MadridReal Madrid1025:1024
4Real BetisReal Betis1118:1523
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1019:1819
6SevillaSevilla1016:1617
7AlavesAlaves1014:1112
8Athletic ClubAthletic Club912:912
9VillarrealVillarreal1115:1512
10Celta VigoCelta Vigo1110:1012
11Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano1015:2012
12Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1013:1311
13EspanyolEspanyol1113:1411
14OsasunaOsasuna1010:2011
15Racing SantanderRacing Santander1015:2611
16ElcheElche1014:1710
17LevanteLevante1116:2110
18GetafeGetafe105:159
19ValenciaValencia107:176
20MalagaMalaga118:215
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Celta Vigo vs Alaves forecast

The forecasts for this La Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Celta Vigo and Alaves in the La Liga table

In the La Liga table, Celta Vigo (10th) and Alaves (7th) are level on 12 points. League goal record so far: Celta Vigo 10-10, Alaves 14-11. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.