Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Prediction

Merkur Spielarena, Dusseldorf·Mikola Balakin 22/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.38
SignalSOLIDModel74%SurpriseMediumGap-4.5%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.65
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseHighGap+3.5%
Union St. Gilloise Rest
4 days
Hapoel Beer Sheva Rest
3 days

Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: the result in context

Union St. Gilloise beat Hapoel Beer Sheva 4-0 in the UEFA Europa League on 22 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Union St. Gilloise tend to win more corners, 7.9 a game to 4.1 for Hapoel Beer Sheva.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
67%1.38
X
22%5.02
2
11%7.50
Double Chance
1X
89%1.08
X2
33%3.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.77
No
49%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.27 + 0.81 = 3.08
Over 1.5
81%1.15
Over 2.5
62%1.53
Over 3.5
41%2.35
Under 1.5
19%5.00
Under 2.5
38%2.45
Under 3.5
59%1.60
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 3.4 = 9.3
Over 8.5
55%1.66
Over 9.5
44%2.10
Over 10.5
34%2.79
Under 8.5
45%2.10
Under 9.5
56%1.65
Under 10.5
66%1.36
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.3 = 4.1
Over 3.5
58%1.61
Over 4.5
39%2.15
Under 3.5
42%2.23
Under 4.5
61%1.65

Match Events

14'Mateo Biondic INRaul Florucz out
20'Nohim ChibaniFoul
25'Niv·YehoshuaFoul
30'Darius Olaru INDylan Aquino out
45+1'Raul Florucz(Penalty)
45+6'zahi ahmedFoul
54'Eilel Peretz INJoão Victor out
58'Miguel VitorHandball
60'Guilherme SmithAssist: Relebohile Mofokeng
66'Forson Amankwah INHamode Kanaan out
66'Igor Zlatanović INAdrián Ugarriza out
66'Miguel Vitor INMatan Baltaksa out
72'Kamiel Van De PerreFoul
76'guy mizrahi INAmir Chaim·Ganah out
77'Dylan Aquino
79'Massire Sylla INDaniel Tshilanda Kabongo out
79'Nohim Chibani INDenzel De Roeve out
79'Relebohile Mofokeng INKevin Rodriguez out
81'Guilherme SmithAssist: Denzel De Roeve

Lineups

Union St. Gilloise
3-1-4-2Coach: D. Hubert
Hapoel Beer Sheva
4-3-3Coach: R. Kojok
Avg rating7.28
Avg rating6.25
H. Koffi6.912H. Koffi
N. Chibani6.84N. Chibani
M. Sylla7.829M. Sylla
N. Havenaar7.355N. Havenaar
K. Van de Perre6.86K. Van de Perre
L. Patris6.527L. Patris
D. Olaru7.128D. Olaru
B. Zeneli7.223B. Zeneli
Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho9.611G. Henriques da Silva Carvalho
M. Biondic6.69M. Biondic
R. Mofokeng7.538R. Mofokeng
O. Marciano7.61O. Marciano
G. Mizrahi5.92G. Mizrahi
M. Vítor6.24M. Vítor
I. Rotman6.612I. Rotman
Pedro Amador5.55P. Amador
A. Forson5.817A. Forson
N. Yehoshua6.428N. Yehoshua
E. Peretz5.67E. Peretz
J. East6.120J. East
I. Zlatanović6.466I. Zlatanović
Z. Ahmed6.09Z. Ahmed

Union St. Gilloise Substitutes

20D. Aquino30'for Darius Olaru77'7.9
1V. Chambaere
21D. De Roeve79'for Nohim Chibani7.3
30R. Florucz14'for Mateo Biondic45+1'7.8
39youssef hamoutahar
18G. Kavelashvili
13K. Rodríguez79'for Relebohile Mofokeng6.6
26R. Sykes
43Daniel Tshilanda Kabongo79'replaced by Massire Sylla
32S. Keita

Hapoel Beer Sheva Substitutes

13O. Davidzada
44D. Diop
11A. Ganah76'for guy mizrahi6.5
70João Victor54'for Eilel Peretz6.3
14Y. Malede
36Y. Shani
90A. Ugarriza66'for Igor Zlatanović6.5
3M. Baltaxa66'for Miguel Vitor5.9
45M. Abu Rumi6.3
8M. Kna'an66'for Forson Amankwah6.7
34M. Wolff

Match Stats

Union St. GilloiseHapoel Beer Sheva
69%Ball Possession31%
4Corner Kicks0
2Yellow Cards3
29Total Shots6
15Shots on Goal4
10Shots off Goal1
21Shots Inside Box6
8Shots Outside Box0
4Blocked Shots1
6Fouls13
0Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves11
501Total Passes500
394Passes Accurate407
11Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva
1886Elo Rating 1686
3.16Attack 2.18
2.15Defense 1.02
69%Hit Rate 61%
22.4Shots per Game 11.0
9.7Shots on Target 5.1
7.9Corners per Game 4.1
1.5Cards per Game 3.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+199 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.08 goals
📈BTTS Trend
⚠️Away Rotation Risk90%

Game State Tendencies

Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.9 vs 0.2 in first half)
Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.2 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Referee Profile

Mikola Balakin14 matches

5.08Cards per match
4.77Yellow cards per match
0.31Red cards per match
26.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Mikola Balakin5.08
Other referees5.14

5.08 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.14).

Cards come from 13 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Europa League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BenficaBenfica330010:2+89WWW
2Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen33008:0+89WWW
3BournemouthBournemouth33008:1+79WWW
4Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC33009:3+69WWW
5Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus33004:1+39WWW
6Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise32108:1+77WDW
7JuventusJuventus32109:3+67DWW
8BeşiktaşBeşiktaş32109:5+47DWW
9SunderlandSunderland32104:2+27DWW
10AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar32016:2+46WWL
11Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia32015:4+16LWW
12LyonLyon32015:6-16LWW
13RennesRennes31204:3+15DWD
14Real SociedadReal Sociedad31118:3+54WDL
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace31118:5+34DLW
16Sparta PrahaSparta Praha31115:3+24LDW
17Levski SofiaLevski Sofia31113:304WDL
18Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb31113:4-14LWD
19Sturm GrazSturm Graz31111:3-24WLD
20NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen31115:8-34WDL
21Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg31113:6-34DLW
22AnderlechtAnderlecht31024:3+13WLL
231899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim31025:503WLL
24AC MilanAC Milan31024:5-13LWL
25Celta VigoCelta Vigo31023:4-13WLL
26OFIOFI31023:4-13LLW
27JagielloniaJagiellonia31024:6-23LWL
28TorreenseTorreense31024:7-33LLW
29CeljeCelje30122:7-51DLL
30Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva30121:6-51LLD
31LillestromLillestrom30122:9-71LDL
32Lech PoznanLech Poznan30121:9-81DLL
33PlzenPlzen30032:7-50LLL
34MarseilleMarseille30031:6-50LLL
35CelticCeltic30033:9-60LLL
36Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia30032:11-90LLL
Europa League

About the Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva forecast

This is a UEFA Europa League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Union St. Gilloise and Hapoel Beer Sheva in the UEFA Europa League table

In the UEFA Europa League table, Union St. Gilloise are 6th and Hapoel Beer Sheva 30th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Union St. Gilloise 8-1, Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-6. The full standings are on the UEFA Europa League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Union St. Gilloise and Hapoel Beer Sheva have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.