AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Prediction
World · League Stage - 2
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.33
SignalGOODModel73%SurpriseHighGap-2.1%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.57
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseHighGap+5.3%
AZ Alkmaar Rest
5 days
Hapoel Beer Sheva Rest
5 days
AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: the result in context
AZ Alkmaar beat Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-1 in the UEFA Europa League on 15 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
171%1.33
X19%5.53
210%8.08
Double Chance
1X90%1.07
X229%3.27
Both Teams to Score
Yes51%1.73
No49%2.02
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.21 + 0.82 = 3.03
Over 1.582%1.13
Over 2.562%1.44
Over 3.540%2.17
Under 1.518%5.50
Under 2.538%2.70
Under 3.560%1.71
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 3 = 9
Over 8.559%1.45
Over 9.543%1.80
Over 10.533%2.26
Under 8.541%2.50
Under 9.557%1.96
Under 10.567%1.57
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.4 = 4.2
Over 3.560%1.70
Over 4.541%2.06
Under 3.540%2.06
Under 4.559%1.74
Match Events
39'Pedro Miguel Santos AmadorFoul
45'Seiya MaikumaDissent
49'Peer KoopmeinersAssist: Valdemar Byskov Andreasen
52'Eilel PeretzArgument
52'Ayoub OufkirArgument
53'Idan Nachmias INMiguel Vitor out
55'Forson AmankwahAssist: zahi ahmed
61'Seiya Maikuma INDenso Kasius out
61'Ayoub Oufkir INCalvin Stengs out
62'Mohamad Abu Rumi INJavon East out
62'Eilel Peretz INNiv·Yehoshua out
75'Penalty confirmedBendegúz Kovács
76'Djibril diopFoul
76'Bendegúz Kovács INMexx Meerdink out
76'Mees de Wit INMateo Chávez out
77'Mexx Meerdink(Penalty)
78'Igor Zlatanović INAdrián Ugarriza out
78'Calvin StengsFoul
78'zahi ahmed INJoão Victor out
83'Denso KasiusFoul
86'Ro Zangelo Daal INWeslley Pinto Batista out
90+1'Adrián UgarrizaFoul
Lineups
AZ AlkmaarHapoel Beer Sheva
4-3-3Coach: R. KojokAvg ratingAvg rating
28J. De Busser
2S. Maikuma
3W. Goes
29W. Hoedt
34M. de Wit
21D. Kwakman
6P. Koopmeiners
24A. Oufkir
17V. Byskov
11R. Daal
18B. Kovacs
1O. Marciano
2G. Mizrahi
44D. Diop
15I. Nachmias
5P. Amador
17A. Forson
25L. Ventura
7E. Peretz
45M. Abu Rumi
66I. Zlatanović
9Z. AhmedAZ Alkmaar Substitutes
27Wassim bouziane
5M. Chávez76'for Mees de Wit
54Jerolldino Bergraaf
8J. Clasie
22E. Dijkstra
31R. Ichihara
30D. Kasius61'for Seiya Maikuma83'
9M. Meerdink76'for Bendegúz Kovács77'
1R. Owusu-Oduro
4L. Schouten
14C. Stengs61'for Ayoub Oufkir78'
7Weslley Patati86'for Ro Zangelo Daal
Hapoel Beer Sheva Substitutes
20J. East62'for Mohamad Abu Rumi
28N. Yehoshua62'for Eilel Peretz
11A. Ganah
70João Victor78'for zahi ahmed
8M. Kna'an
4M. Vítor53'for Idan Nachmias
12I. Rotman
36Y. Shani
90A. Ugarriza78'for Igor Zlatanović90+1'
13O. Davidzada
34M. Wolff
Match Stats
AZ AlkmaarHapoel Beer Sheva 58%Ball Possession42%
5Corner Kicks1
4Yellow Cards4
15Total Shots6
7Shots on Goal4
2Shots off Goal1
10Shots Inside Box5
5Shots Outside Box1
6Blocked Shots1
14Fouls17
0Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves5
589Total Passes401
499Passes Accurate311
17Free Kicks13
Team Comparison
AZ AlkmaarHapoel Beer Sheva1824Elo Rating 1686
1.64Attack 2.18
1.62Defense 1.02
39%Hit Rate 61%
12.9Shots per Game 11.0
5.6Shots on Target 5.1
5.0Corners per Game 4.1
2.3Cards per Game 3.1
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+138 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.03 goals
📈BTTS Trend
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
Game State Tendencies
AZ Alkmaar- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Hapoel Beer Sheva- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (2.2 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Recent Form
AZ Alkmaar7W1D2L
10/10/2026
FeyenoordAZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
Telstar
SunderlandAZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
Willem II
HeerenveenAZ Alkmaar
Fortuna SittardAZ Alkmaar
UtrechtAZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
ADO Den Haag
FeyenoordAZ Alkmaar20
L20/09/2026AZ AlkmaarTelstar10
W16/09/2026SunderlandAZ Alkmaar10
L11/09/2026AZ AlkmaarWillem II11
D06/09/2026HeerenveenAZ Alkmaar23
W29/08/2026AZ Alkmaar
GO Ahead Eagles
22/08/2026AZ AlkmaarGO Ahead Eagles52
WFortuna SittardAZ Alkmaar02
W15/08/2026UtrechtAZ Alkmaar14
W08/08/2026AZ AlkmaarADO Den Haag20
W02/08/2026
PSV EindhovenAZ Alkmaar
PSV EindhovenAZ Alkmaar04
WHapoel Beer Sheva5W2D3L
10/10/2026
Ironi TiberiasHapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva
Ironi Kiryat ShmonaHapoel Beer Sheva
Dinamo Zagreb
Hapoel Petah TikvaHapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva
Hapoel Haifa
Hapoel Ramat GanHapoel Beer Sheva
Sabah FAHapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer ShevaSabah FA
Ironi TiberiasHapoel Beer Sheva02
W19/09/2026Hapoel Beer ShevaIroni Kiryat Shmona10
W16/09/2026Hapoel Beer ShevaDinamo Zagreb00
D13/09/2026Hapoel Petah TikvaHapoel Beer Sheva02
W07/09/2026Hapoel Beer Sheva
Maccabi Tel Aviv
02/09/2026Hapoel Beer ShevaMaccabi Tel Aviv14
LHapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Haifa22
D29/08/2026Hapoel Ramat GanHapoel Beer Sheva12
W25/08/2026Sabah FAHapoel Beer Sheva5322
L19/08/2026Hapoel Beer ShevaSabah FA21
W15/08/2026Hapoel HaifaHapoel Beer Sheva
Hapoel HaifaHapoel Beer Sheva40
LReferee Profile
5.20Cards per match
4.93Yellow cards per match
0.28Red cards per match
26.4Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.20 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.10).
Cards come from 80 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | +8 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | +8 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | +7 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | +6 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| 6 |  Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:1 | +7 | 7 | WDW |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | +6 | 7 | DWW |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 9 | Sunderland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 7 | DWW |
| 10 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 | WWL |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 6 | LWW |
| 12 |  Lyon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | +1 | 5 | DWD |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | +5 | 4 | WDL |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 4 | DLW |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | +2 | 4 | LDW |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 | WDL |
| 18 | Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 | LWD |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 4 | WLD |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 | WDL |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 | DLW |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | +1 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 | LWL |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 | LWL |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 | LLW |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 | DLL |
| 30 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 | LLD |
| 31 |  Lillestrom | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:9 | -7 | 1 | LDL |
| 32 |  Lech Poznan | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 | DLL |
| 33 |  Plzen | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | -9 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica | 3 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 3 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 4 | Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 6 | Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 | Juventus | 3 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Beşiktaş | 3 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 3 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 | Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 | Lyon | 3 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 13 | Rennes | 3 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 14 | Real Sociedad | 3 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 | Sparta Praha | 3 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 | Levski Sofia | 3 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 | Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 | Sturm Graz | 3 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 | NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 | Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 | Anderlecht | 3 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 | AC Milan | 3 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 | Celta Vigo | 3 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 | OFI | 3 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 | Torreense | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 | Celje | 3 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 | Lillestrom | 3 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 | Plzen | 3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 | Marseille | 3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Celtic | 3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Europa League
Explore more predictions
This match
- AZ Alkmaar Predictions
- Hapoel Beer Sheva Predictions
- UEFA Europa League Predictions
- UEFA Europa League Standings
- UEFA Europa League Stats 2026
- UEFA Europa League top scorers
- UEFA Europa League Knockout Rounds
- UEFA Europa League Winners and Finals History
- Football Tournaments: Predictions, Brackets and History
More UEFA Europa League matches
About the AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva forecast
This is a UEFA Europa League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
AZ Alkmaar and Hapoel Beer Sheva in the UEFA Europa League table
In the UEFA Europa League table, AZ Alkmaar are 10th and Hapoel Beer Sheva 30th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: AZ Alkmaar 6-2, Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-6. The full standings are on the UEFA Europa League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
AZ Alkmaar and Hapoel Beer Sheva have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.