Lyon vs Crystal Palace Prediction

Lyon
3-2
Finished
HT 2-0
Crystal Palace
Groupama Stadium, Lyon·Joao Pinheiro 15/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.17
SignalHIGHModel46%SurpriseHighGap-6.4%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.41
SignalGOODModel71%SurpriseHighGap+3.2%
Lyon Rest
5 days
Crystal Palace Rest
4 days

Lyon vs Crystal Palace: result, form and history

Lyon beat Crystal Palace 3-2 in the UEFA Europa League on 15 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%2.39
X
25%3.65
2
31%2.80
Double Chance
1X
69%1.41
X2
56%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.49
No
36%2.48
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.81 + 1.22 = 3.03
Over 1.5
80%1.17
Over 2.5
58%1.62
Over 3.5
36%2.39
Under 1.5
20%4.80
Under 2.5
42%2.34
Under 3.5
64%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 3.9 = 9.5
Over 8.5
61%1.52
Over 9.5
43%1.88
Over 10.5
33%2.42
Under 8.5
39%2.38
Under 9.5
57%1.84
Under 10.5
67%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.4 = 4.5
Over 3.5
65%1.73
Over 4.5
46%2.53
Under 3.5
35%2.00
Under 4.5
54%1.49

Match Events

8'Corentin Tolisso
36'Ismaila SarrDissent
45+2'Ernest NuamahAssist: Keito Nakamura
50'Yeremy PinoAssist: Adam Wharton
56'Yeremy PinoFoul
58'Keito NakamuraFoul
62'Jörgen Strand Larsen INEddie Nketiah out
62'Ismaila Sarr INDaichi Kamada out
70'Khalis Merah INPavel Šulc out
70'Ernest Nuamah INKail Boudache out
75'Yeremy Pino INDario Osorio out
75'Oscar Mingueza INAnan Khalaili out
76'Pavel ŠulcAssist: Keito Nakamura
78'Noah Teye Nartey INTanner Tessmann out
81'Daichi Kamada
82'Chris RichardsFoul
86'Quinten Timber INDwight McNeil out
90'Corentin Tolisso INMads Bidstrup out

Lineups

Lyon
4-1-2-1-2Coach: Paulo Fonseca
Crystal Palace
3-4-2-1Coach: P. Sage
Avg rating6.69
Avg rating6.29
D. Greif6.21D. Greif
Z. Athekame6.513Z. Athekame
F. Bacher6.420F. Bacher
R. Kluivert6.721R. Kluivert
Abner6.316Abner
T. Morton6.823T. Morton
N. Nartey6.099N. Nartey
C. Tolisso7.58C. Tolisso
K. Merah6.118K. Merah
E. Nuamah7.67E. Nuamah
Keito Nakamura8.111K. Nakamura
W. Benítez5.544W. Benítez
C. Richards5.826C. Richards
A. Disasi6.45A. Disasi
J. Canvot6.76J. Canvot
Óscar Mingueza6.030Ó. Mingueza
A. Wharton7.720A. Wharton
Q. Timber6.323Q. Timber
T. Mitchell5.73T. Mitchell
I. Sarr5.77I. Sarr
Yeremy Pino7.110Y. Pino
J. Strand Larsen6.522J. Strand Larsen

Lyon Substitutes

2M. Bidstrup90'for Corentin Tolisso
26K. Boudache70'for Ernest Nuamah6.5
40R. Descamps
24J. Duranville
45R. Himbert
85N. Kamara
37Steeve Kango
22Clinton Mata
19M. Niakhaté
10P. Šulc70'for Khalis Merah76'7.0
6T. Tessmann78'for Noah Teye Nartey6.0
25J. Bengui João

Crystal Palace Substitutes

24D. Osorio75'for Yeremy Pino5.8
9E. Nketiah62'for Jörgen Strand Larsen6.4
11D. McNeil86'for Quinten Timber6.3
31R. Matthews
25A. Khalaili75'for Oscar Mingueza5.9
18D. Kamada62'for Ismaila Sarr81'6.8
19W. Hughes
81Lucca Benetton
54D. Benamar
21H. Ahanor

Match Stats

LyonCrystal Palace
51%Ball Possession49%
5Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards3
11Total Shots12
4Shots on Goal4
2Shots off Goal4
8Shots Inside Box10
3Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots4
4Fouls8
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves1
491Total Passes488
425Passes Accurate416
7Free Kicks4

Team Comparison

LyonLyon
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
1824Elo Rating 1788
1.03Attack 0.94
0.97Defense 0.90
36%Hit Rate 27%
9.2Shots per Game 9.1
4.0Shots on Target 3.0
4.7Corners per Game 3.4
1.0Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.04 goals
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

LyonLyon
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.3 in first half)

Referee Profile

Joao Pinheiro219 matches

4.83Cards per match
4.59Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
27.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Joao Pinheiro4.83
Other referees5.27

4.83 cards a match, 0.44 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.27).

Cards come from 179 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Europa League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BenficaBenfica330010:2+89WWW
2Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen33008:0+89WWW
3BournemouthBournemouth33008:1+79WWW
4Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC33009:3+69WWW
5Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus33004:1+39WWW
6Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise32108:1+77WDW
7JuventusJuventus32109:3+67DWW
8BeşiktaşBeşiktaş32109:5+47DWW
9SunderlandSunderland32104:2+27DWW
10AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar32016:2+46WWL
11Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia32015:4+16LWW
12LyonLyon32015:6-16LWW
13RennesRennes31204:3+15DWD
14Real SociedadReal Sociedad31118:3+54WDL
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace31118:5+34DLW
16Sparta PrahaSparta Praha31115:3+24LDW
17Levski SofiaLevski Sofia31113:304WDL
18Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb31113:4-14LWD
19Sturm GrazSturm Graz31111:3-24WLD
20NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen31115:8-34WDL
21Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg31113:6-34DLW
22AnderlechtAnderlecht31024:3+13WLL
231899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim31025:503WLL
24AC MilanAC Milan31024:5-13LWL
25Celta VigoCelta Vigo31023:4-13WLL
26OFIOFI31023:4-13LLW
27JagielloniaJagiellonia31024:6-23LWL
28TorreenseTorreense31024:7-33LLW
29CeljeCelje30122:7-51DLL
30Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva30121:6-51LLD
31LillestromLillestrom30122:9-71LDL
32Lech PoznanLech Poznan30121:9-81DLL
33PlzenPlzen30032:7-50LLL
34MarseilleMarseille30031:6-50LLL
35CelticCeltic30033:9-60LLL
36Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia30032:11-90LLL
Europa League

About the Lyon vs Crystal Palace forecast

This is a UEFA Europa League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lyon and Crystal Palace in the UEFA Europa League table

In the UEFA Europa League table, Lyon are 12th and Crystal Palace 15th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Lyon 5-6, Crystal Palace 8-5. The full standings are on the UEFA Europa League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Lyon and Crystal Palace have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.