Lens vs Lyon Prediction

Lens
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Lyon
Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens·Jeremy Stinat 09/10/2026
LensLens
2-1
Finished
LyonLyon

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.53
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-1.2%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.65
SignalGOODModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+11.7%
Lens Rest
21 days
Lyon Rest
20 days

Lens vs Lyon: result, form and history

Lens beat Lyon 2-1 in the Ligue 1 on 9 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Lyon had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Lens.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.55
X
27%3.63
2
34%2.64
Double Chance
1X
66%1.45
X2
61%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%1.44
No
35%2.66
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.49 + 1.36 = 2.85
Over 1.5
81%1.15
Over 2.5
63%1.53
Over 3.5
40%2.31
Under 1.5
19%5.00
Under 2.5
37%2.45
Under 3.5
60%1.63
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.1 = 9.5
Over 8.5
61%1.33
Over 9.5
51%1.57
Over 10.5
35%1.98
Under 8.5
39%2.86
Under 9.5
49%2.18
Under 10.5
65%1.77
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 1.9 = 3.8
Over 3.5
52%1.49
Over 4.5
33%2.17
Under 3.5
48%2.56
Under 4.5
67%1.66

Match Events

23'Abner ViniciusFoul
36'Florian SotocaAssist: Florian Thauvin
50'Jonathan GraditFoul
53'Jonathan Gradit INSamson Baidoo out
54'Yassine Titraoui INAmadou Haidara out
60'Loïs Openda INKeito Nakamura out
60'Mads Bidstrup INNoah Teye Nartey out
69'Florian Sotoca INJunior Kadile out
69'Odsonne Édouard INFranjo Ivanovic out
71'Ernest Nuamah INKail Boudache out
76'Matthieu UdolAssist: Florian Thauvin
77'Tyler Morton INTanner Tessmann out
78'Pavel Šulc INKhalis Merah out
83'Michaël Cuisance INAndrija Bulatović out
84'Matthieu UdolSerious foul
85'Khalis Merah

Lineups

Lens
3-4-2-1Coach: Yannick Cahuzac
Lyon
4-2-3-1Coach: Paulo Fonseca
Avg rating6.90
Avg rating6.42
R. Risser7.440R. Risser
J. Gradit6.724J. Gradit
I. Ganiou7.025I. Ganiou
K. Antonio7.032K. Antonio
R. Aguilar6.82R. Aguilar
M. Cuisance6.727M. Cuisance
Y. Titraoui6.88Y. Titraoui
M. Udol6.914M. Udol
F. Thauvin8.610F. Thauvin
F. Sotoca8.27F. Sotoca
O. Édouard6.511O. Édouard
D. Greif7.41D. Greif
Z. Athekame6.913Z. Athekame
F. Bacher6.620F. Bacher
R. Kluivert6.221R. Kluivert
Abner5.716Abner
M. Bidstrup6.12M. Bidstrup
T. Morton6.223T. Morton
E. Nuamah6.37E. Nuamah
P. Šulc6.310P. Šulc
C. Tolisso6.58C. Tolisso
L. Openda6.417L. Openda

Lens Substitutes

23Saud Abdulhamid
6S. Baidoo53'for Jonathan Gradit6.3
16M. Gorgelin
21A. Haidara54'for Yassine Titraoui6.5
29F. Ivanović69'for Odsonne Édouard6.6
28J. Kadile69'for Florian Sotoca6.4
22M. Skóraś
38M. Soares
5A. Bulatović83'for Michaël Cuisance6.2

Lyon Substitutes

6T. Tessmann77'for Tyler Morton6.1
99N. Nartey60'for Mads Bidstrup6.0
11Keito Nakamura60'for Loïs Openda6.6
18K. Merah78'for Pavel Šulc85'6.9
22Clinton Mata
85N. Kamara
24J. Duranville
40R. Descamps
26K. Boudache71'for Ernest Nuamah6.5

Match Stats

LensLyon
48%Ball Possession52%
7Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
15Total Shots13
7Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal5
12Shots Inside Box9
3Shots Outside Box4
1Blocked Shots3
13Fouls12
1Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves5
454Total Passes488
386Passes Accurate414
11Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

LensLens
LyonLyon
1846Elo Rating 1830
1.41Attack 1.77
1.38Defense 1.24
61%Hit Rate 56%
14.9Shots per Game 10.4
5.0Shots on Target 4.3
5.5Corners per Game 4.7
2.3Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.85 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

LensLens
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
LyonLyon
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

LensLens5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
LyonLyon2Wins · 20%
2.6Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Ligue 117/05/2026
LyonLens
04
Coupe de France05/03/2026
LyonLens
4252
Ligue 116/08/2025
LensLyon
01
Ligue 104/05/2025
LyonLens
12
Ligue 115/09/2024
LensLyon
00
Ligue 103/03/2024
LyonLens
03
Ligue 102/12/2023
LensLyon
32
Ligue 112/02/2023
LyonLens
21
Ligue 102/10/2022
LensLyon
10
Ligue 119/02/2022
LensLyon
11

Referee Profile

Jeremy Stinat148 matches

3.96Cards per match
3.74Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
24.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jeremy Stinat3.96
Other referees3.91

3.96 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.91).

Cards come from 144 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain852116:9+717WWWWW
2RennesRennes851218:14+416WLWLW
3LilleLille843111:6+515DDWLW
4MonacoMonaco843111:7+415DLDWD
5LyonLyon842213:7+614LWLWD
6Paris FCParis FC842213:9+414LWLWD
7LensLens841316:12+413WWWLD
8MarseilleMarseille840418:13+512WWWLL
9LorientLorient83327:6+112DWWLD
10NiceNice83238:10-211WLWWL
11ToulouseToulouse824212:11+110DWDWD
12AuxerreAuxerre831412:18-610DWLWW
13Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29823314:12+29LDWLL
14AngersAngers82249:15-68DLLWD
15Le MansLe Mans814311:16-57DLLWD
16StrasbourgStrasbourg821512:18-67LLLLD
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes81255:16-115DLLLL
18Le HavreLe Havre80268:15-72LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain816:917
2RennesRennes818:1416
3LilleLille811:615
4MonacoMonaco811:715
5LyonLyon813:714
6Paris FCParis FC813:914
7LensLens816:1213
8MarseilleMarseille818:1312
9LorientLorient87:612
10NiceNice88:1011
11ToulouseToulouse812:1110
12AuxerreAuxerre812:1810
13Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29814:129
14AngersAngers89:158
15Le MansLe Mans811:167
16StrasbourgStrasbourg812:187
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes85:165
18Le HavreLe Havre88:152
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Lens vs Lyon forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lens and Lyon in the Ligue 1 table

Lyon and Lens are close in the Ligue 1 table, 5th and 7th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Lens 16-12, Lyon 13-7. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Lyon have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.