Lille vs Le Havre Prediction
France · Regular Season - 6
Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille·Bastein Dechepy 10/10/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.42
SignalSOLIDModel68%SurpriseMediumGap-2.2%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.52
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+8.1%
Lille Rest
8 days
Le Havre Rest
8 days
Lille vs Le Havre: the result in context
Match Forecasts
Match Result
167%1.42
X20%4.75
213%7.25
Double Chance
1X87%1.11
X233%2.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%1.80
No47%1.93
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.99 + 1 = 2.99
Over 1.579%1.19
Over 2.559%1.65
Over 3.537%2.62
Under 1.521%4.42
Under 2.541%2.30
Under 3.563%1.47
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 3.7 = 9.3
Over 8.561%1.50
Over 9.551%1.87
Over 10.535%2.40
Under 8.539%2.35
Under 9.549%1.88
Under 10.565%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.9 = 3.5
Over 3.547%1.67
Over 4.528%2.44
Under 3.553%2.11
Under 4.572%1.52
Match Events
5'Dilane BakwaAssist: Nianzou Tanguy Kouassi
22'Tiago Santos INMaxima Goffi out
57'Gaëtan Perrin INHákon Arnar Haraldsson out
57'Olivier Giroud INAyase Ueda out
61'Ayumu Seko
63'Rassoul NdiayeDissent
69'Sota Nakamura INRayan Fofana out
69'Josh Maja INJunior Mwanga out
73'Romain Perraud INCalvin Verdonk out
73'Ngal'ayel Mukau INOsame Sahraoui out
76'Djibril OuziadFoul
82'Amir Richardson INKaito Mizuta out
85'Maurits KjaergaardFoul
90+2'Maxima GoffiTime wasting
Lineups
LilleLe Havre
4-2-3-1Coach: D. DigardAvg ratingAvg rating
1B. Özer
22T. Santos
23T. Nianzou
4A. Ribeiro
15R. Perraud
6N. Bentaleb
14M. Kjærgaard
7D. Bakwa
17N. Mukau
28G. Perrin
9O. Giroud
93G. Gallon
20D. Ouziad
15A. Seko
5A. Touba9797M. Ndiaye
26S. Ebonog
7A. Richardson
30S. Nakamura
14R. Ndiaye
25M. Samatta
9J. MajaLille Substitutes
26I. Cossier
38M. Goffi22'for Tiago Santos90+2'
12O. Gill
35S. Diaoune
21B. André
10H. Haraldsson57'for Gaëtan Perrin
11O. Sahraoui73'for Ngal'ayel Mukau
18A. Ueda57'for Olivier Giroud
24C. Verdonk73'for Romain Perraud
Le Havre Substitutes
23V. Sasso
6J. Mwanga69'for Josh Maja
78D. Mosengo
17K. Mizuta82'for Amir Richardson
44I. Bouneb
16A. Bodart
27E. Koffi Vinette
38R. Fofana69'for Sota Nakamura
24G. Zohouri
Match Stats
LilleLe Havre 47%Ball Possession53%
4Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
5Total Shots17
1Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal10
3Shots Inside Box9
2Shots Outside Box8
0Blocked Shots5
17Fouls12
4Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves0
408Total Passes448
343Passes Accurate378
11Free Kicks17
Team Comparison
LilleLe Havre1805Elo Rating 1581
1.05Attack 1.43
1.40Defense 0.00
27%Hit Rate 0%
11.5Shots per Game 17.1
4.1Shots on Target 5.4
4.3Corners per Game 5.2
2.0Cards per Game 1.5
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+224 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.99 goals
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Lille- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Le Havre- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings, all competitions
Lille4Wins · 66%Draws117%
Le Havre1Wins · 17%
1Wins · 17%2.3Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored2 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6
Previous meetings
03/05/2026LilleLe Havre11
30/11/2025Le HavreLille01
08/02/2025LilleLe Havre12
28/09/2024Le HavreLille03
17/02/2024LilleLe Havre30
01/10/2023Le HavreLille02
Recent Form
Lille5W3D2L
02/10/2026Lille
Zulte Waregem
20/09/2026LilleZulte Waregem21
W
NiceLille21
L13/09/2026Lille
Estac Troyes20
W08/09/2026Lille
Real Betis23
L03/09/2026
ToulouseLille01
W28/08/2026Lille
Paris Saint Germain22
D23/08/2026
AngersLille02
W15/08/2026
EvertonLille
EvertonLille11
D08/08/2026
Hamburger SVLille
Hamburger SVLille22
D01/08/2026
OH LeuvenLille
OH LeuvenLille36
WLe Havre3W3D4L
02/10/2026Le Havre
Boulogne
19/09/2026Le HavreBoulogne61
WToulouseLe Havre32
L12/09/2026Le HavreAngers00
D05/09/2026Le Havre
Stade Brestois 2912
L29/08/2026
LyonLe Havre11
D23/08/2026Le Havre
Monaco01
L15/08/2026
Le MansLe Havre
Le MansLe Havre01
W04/08/2026
IpswichLe Havre
IpswichLe Havre10
L31/07/2026Le Havre
Laval
Le HavreLaval11
D25/07/2026Le Havre
RED Star FC 93
Le HavreRED Star FC 9321
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | +11 | 20 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Lille | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | +6 | 18 | WDDWL |
| 3 |  Rennes | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:19 | +1 | 16 | LWLWL |
| 4 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:7 | +4 | 15 | DLDWD |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | +6 | 14 | LWLWD |
| 6 |  Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | +4 | 14 | LWLWD |
| 7 | Nice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | +1 | 14 | WWLWW |
| 8 |  Lens | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:13 | +3 | 13 | LWWWL |
| 9 |  Marseille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18:13 | +5 | 12 | WWWLL |
| 10 |  Lorient | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 12 | DWWLD |
| 11 | Toulouse | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | +1 | 10 | DWDWD |
| 12 |  Auxerre | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:18 | -6 | 10 | DWLWW |
| 13 | Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | +2 | 9 | LDWLL |
| 14 | Angers | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 | DLLWD |
| 15 | Le Mans | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 7 | DLLWD |
| 16 |  Strasbourg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 7 | LLLLD |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:16 | -11 | 5 | DLLLL |
| 18 | Le Havre | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9:20 | -11 | 2 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 | Lille | 9 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 | Rennes | 9 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 4 | Monaco | 8 | 11:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 13:7 | 14 |
| 6 | Paris FC | 8 | 13:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Nice | 9 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 8 | Lens | 9 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 9 | Marseille | 8 | 18:13 | 12 |
| 10 | Lorient | 8 | 7:6 | 12 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 8 | 12:11 | 10 |
| 12 | Auxerre | 8 | 12:18 | 10 |
| 13 | Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 14:12 | 9 |
| 14 | Angers | 8 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 15 | Le Mans | 8 | 11:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Strasbourg | 8 | 12:18 | 7 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 8 | 5:16 | 5 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 9 | 9:20 | 2 |
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About the Lille vs Le Havre forecast
The forecasts for this Ligue 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Lille and Le Havre in the Ligue 1 table
The table shows a wide gap: Lille are 2nd in the Ligue 1, while Le Havre sit 18th, 16 points behind. League goal record so far: Lille 12-6, Le Havre 9-20. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.