Sporting CP vs Galatasaray Prediction
World · League Stage - 1
E. Eskas 09/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.6 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.73
SignalNEUTRALModel57%SurpriseMediumGap+3.8%
Sporting CP Rest
3 days
Galatasaray Rest
5 days
Sporting CP vs Galatasaray: the result in context
Sporting CP beat Galatasaray 3-1 in the UEFA Champions League on 9 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
158%1.73
X23%4.03
219%4.47
Double Chance
1X81%1.20
X242%2.08
Both Teams to Score
Yes45%1.53
No55%2.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.4 + 1.09 = 2.49
Over 1.575%1.17
Over 2.554%1.55
Over 3.529%2.35
Under 1.525%5.00
Under 2.546%2.39
Under 3.571%1.61
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 3.6 = 9.1
Over 8.559%1.36
Over 9.541%1.64
Over 10.533%2.02
Under 8.541%2.81
Under 9.559%2.12
Under 10.567%1.70
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.2 + 1.6 = 2.9
Over 3.532%1.49
Over 4.516%1.97
Under 3.568%2.46
Under 4.584%1.76
Match Events
5'Gonçalo InácioOG
22'Sergi AltimiraFoul
27'Geny Catamo
43'Luis SuárezFoul
52'Eren ElmalıFoul
57'Luis Suárez(Penalty)
58'Leroy Sané INRafael Leão out
63'Rodrigo Zalazar
64'Aleksey Batrakov INDeniz Gül out
66'Rodrigo Zalazar INFlávio Gonçalves out
74'Luis Suárez INFotis Ioannidis out
74'Issa Doumbia INSilas Andersen out
80'Deniz GülFoul
83'Okan BurukDissent
84'Eduardo Quaresma INZeno Debast out
84'Georgios Vagiannidis INIván Fresneda out
84'Gabriel INRenato Nhaga out
85'Yunus Akgün INİlkay Gündoğan out
85'Lucas Torreira INLesley Ugochukwu out
90+5'Ismail JakobsArgument
Lineups
Sporting CPGalatasaray
4-2-3-1Coach: O. BurukAvg ratingAvg rating
1R. Silva
13G. Vagiannidis
72E. Quaresma
25G. Inácio
20M. Araújo
5S. Altimira
77I. Doumbia
10G. Catamo
17R. Zalazar
31L. Guilherme
97L. Suárez
1U. Çakır
7R. Sallai
6D. Sánchez
4I. Jakobs
17E. Elmalı
34L. Torreira
8G. Sara
10L. Sané
83A. Batrakov
11Y. Akgün
53B. YılmazSporting CP Substitutes
6Z. Debast84'for Eduardo Quaresma
28J. Derry
50Rodrigo Dias
4S. Andersen74'for Issa Doumbia
73Eduardo Felicíssimo
22Iván Fresneda84'for Georgios Vagiannidis
58Flávio Gonçalves66'for Rodrigo Zalazar
7F. Ioannidis74'for Luis Suárez
19N. Irankunda
30Kaique
9Rafael Ferreira Nel
21Pedro Lima
Galatasaray Substitutes
42A. Bardakcı
24J. Yılmaz
3E. Bitshiabu
21D. Gül64'for Aleksey Batrakov80'
20İ. Gündoğan85'for Yunus Akgün
27Rafael Leão58'for Leroy Sané
73Berat Luş
74Renato Nhaga84'for Gabriel
18L. Ugochukwu85'for Lucas Torreira
70E. Büyük
Match Stats
Sporting CPGalatasaray 38%Ball Possession62%
1Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards3
8Total Shots10
5Shots on Goal3
1Shots off Goal6
4Shots Inside Box8
4Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots1
13Fouls11
3Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves2
368Total Passes579
299Passes Accurate519
81%Pass Accuracy90%
Team Comparison
Sporting CPGalatasaray1894Elo Rating 1830
2.05Attack 2.00
1.52Defense 0.95
42%Hit Rate 66%
12.5Shots per Game 13.8
4.0Shots on Target 4.8
4.2Corners per Game 5.3
2.1Cards per Game 1.7
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Sporting CP- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.8 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Galatasaray- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Recent Form
Sporting CP8W1D1L
05/09/2026Sporting CP
Nacional
Rio AveSporting CPSporting CP
AlvercaSporting CP
Vitória SC
EstrelaSporting CP
Sporting CPNacional20
W28/08/2026Rio AveSporting CP04
W22/08/2026Sporting CPAlverca31
W14/08/2026Sporting CPVitória SC32
W08/08/2026EstrelaSporting CP22
D31/07/2026Sporting CP
Nottingham Forest
Sporting CPNottingham Forest41
W25/07/2026Sporting CP
Monaco
Sporting CPMonaco20
W20/07/2026Sporting CP
Strasbourg
Sporting CPStrasbourg70
W14/07/2026Sporting CP
Celtic
Sporting CPCeltic41
W24/05/2026Sporting CP
Torreense
Sporting CPTorreense1121
LGalatasaray4W2D4L
04/09/2026
BaşakşehirGalatasarayGalatasaray
Göztepe
Erzurumspor FKGalatasarayGalatasaray
Çorum FK
BaşakşehirGalatasaray23
W29/08/2026GalatasarayGöztepe32
W21/08/2026Erzurumspor FKGalatasaray04
W14/08/2026GalatasarayÇorum FK22
D08/08/2026Galatasaray
Villarreal
GalatasarayVillarreal12
L02/08/2026Galatasaray
Rennes
GalatasarayRennes33
D27/07/2026Galatasaray
Venezia
GalatasarayVenezia03
L24/07/2026Galatasaray
Monza
GalatasarayMonza02
L17/07/2026
ÜmraniyesporGalatasaray
ÜmraniyesporGalatasaray15
W17/05/2026
KasımpaşaGalatasaray
KasımpaşaGalatasaray10
LReferee Profile
3.56Cards per match
3.48Yellow cards per match
0.08Red cards per match
21.1Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
3.56 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.67).
Cards come from 150 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:5 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:7 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:5 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:4 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 7 | DWW |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 8 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 6 | LWW |
| 9 |  Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | +5 | 6 | WLW |
| 10 |  Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | 6 | WLW |
| 11 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 6 | WWL |
| 12 | Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | +3 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 6 | WLW |
| 14 |  Bayern München | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | +5 | 5 | DDW |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 4 | WLD |
| 16 |  Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 4 | DWL |
| 17 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 4 | LWD |
| 18 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 | WLD |
| 19 | Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 3 | LWL |
| 20 |  Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 21 |  Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 | Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 |  Lask Linz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 25 |  Sabah FA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 | LWL |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 | LWL |
| 27 |  Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 | LLW |
| 28 |  Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 | LLW |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
| 31 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 | DLD |
| 32 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 | DLL |
| 33 |  Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 | LDL |
| 34 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 |  Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:13 | -12 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 14:5 | 9 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 3 | 12:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 3 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 3 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 3 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 7 | Arsenal | 3 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 8 | Barcelona | 3 | 11:6 | 6 |
| 9 | Como | 3 | 10:5 | 6 |
| 10 | Manchester City | 3 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV | 3 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 12 | Sporting CP | 3 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 13 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 14 | Bayern München | 3 | 10:5 | 5 |
| 15 | AS Roma | 3 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 | Atletico Madrid | 3 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 17 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 18 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 19 | Villarreal | 3 | 8:8 | 3 |
| 20 | Inter | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 21 | Manchester United | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 22 | Napoli | 3 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 23 | Galatasaray | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 24 | Lask Linz | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 25 | Sabah FA | 3 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 26 | Feyenoord | 3 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 27 | Lens | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 28 | Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 29 | AEK Athens FC | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 30 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 31 | Fenerbahçe | 3 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 32 | Slavia Praha | 3 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 33 | Viking | 3 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 34 | FC Porto | 3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Lille | 3 | 4:10 | 0 |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 1:13 | 0 |
Explore more predictions
This match
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About the Sporting CP vs Galatasaray forecast
This is a UEFA Champions League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Sporting CP and Galatasaray in the UEFA Champions League table
In the UEFA Champions League table, Sporting CP are 12th and Galatasaray 23rd, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Sporting CP 7-4, Galatasaray 6-9. The full standings are on the UEFA Champions League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Sporting CP and Galatasaray have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.