Sunshine Georgies vs South Melbourne Prediction

City Vista Recreation Reserve, Melbourne 29/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel47%SurpriseHighGap-2.7%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.62
SignalSOLIDModel34%SurpriseHighGap+4.9%
Sunshine Georgies Rest
6 days
South Melbourne Rest
2 days

Sunshine Georgies vs South Melbourne: result, form and history

Sunshine Georgies beat South Melbourne 1-0 in the Victoria NPL on 29 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: South Melbourne had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Sunshine Georgies.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%3.70
X
18%3.65
2
33%1.80
Double Chance
1X
67%1.87
X2
51%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.60
No
40%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.64 + 1.49 = 3.13
Over 1.5
82%1.18
Over 2.5
62%1.62
Over 3.5
41%2.51
Under 1.5
18%4.30
Under 2.5
38%2.19
Under 3.5
59%1.45
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

9'A. Saniel

Team Comparison

Sunshine GeorgiesSunshine Georgies
South MelbourneSouth Melbourne
1509Elo Rating 1569
1.48Attack 1.39
1.76Defense 2.63
46%Hit Rate 61%

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.13 goals
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

Sunshine GeorgiesSunshine Georgies
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.6 in second half)
South MelbourneSouth Melbourne
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Sunshine GeorgiesSunshine Georgies1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
South MelbourneSouth Melbourne0Wins · 0%
4.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

Victoria NPL18/05/2026
South MelbourneSunshine Georgies
04

Recent Form

Sunshine GeorgiesSunshine Georgies
4W4D2L
South MelbourneSouth Melbourne
8W1D1L
26/08/2026
Preston LionsSouth Melbourne
12
W
23/08/2026
South MelbourneHeidelberg United
12
L
15/08/2026
Melbourne City IISouth Melbourne
03
W
09/08/2026
South MelbourneFremantle City
3313
W
02/08/2026
South MelbourneSt. Albans Saints
20
W
30/07/2026
South MelbourneAdelaide United
21
W
24/07/2026
Oakleigh CannonsSouth Melbourne
12
W
18/07/2026
South MelbournePreston Lions
00
D
10/07/2026
Dandenong CitySouth Melbourne
02
W
05/07/2026
South MelbourneDandenong Thunder
10
W

League Table

Victoria NPL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Oakleigh CannonsOakleigh Cannons26166456:24+3254LWWDL
2Preston LionsPreston Lions26156541:19+2251DDWDW
3Hume CityHume City26154751:36+1549LWWWL
4AvondaleAvondale26152965:34+3147WWLWW
5South MelbourneSouth Melbourne261321139:36+341LLWWW
6Heidelberg UnitedHeidelberg United26117842:34+840WWLLD
7Sunshine GeorgiesSunshine Georgies26911635:34+138WLWDD
8Dandenong CityDandenong City26107935:31+437WDWWD
9St. Albans SaintsSt. Albans Saints26971036:43-734WWDLW
10Melbourne City IIMelbourne City II26861242:42030LLLLL
11Altona MagicAltona Magic26771228:42-1428DLLDW
12Bentleigh GreensBentleigh Greens26661427:51-2424LWDDL
13Green GullyGreen Gully26461623:52-2918WLLDD
14Dandenong ThunderDandenong Thunder26431923:65-4215LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Oakleigh CannonsOakleigh Cannons2656:2454
2Preston LionsPreston Lions2641:1951
3Hume CityHume City2651:3649
4AvondaleAvondale2665:3447
5South MelbourneSouth Melbourne2639:3641
6Heidelberg UnitedHeidelberg United2642:3440
7Sunshine GeorgiesSunshine Georgies2635:3438
8Dandenong CityDandenong City2635:3137
9St. Albans SaintsSt. Albans Saints2636:4334
10Melbourne City IIMelbourne City II2642:4230
11Altona MagicAltona Magic2628:4228
12Bentleigh GreensBentleigh Greens2627:5124
13Green GullyGreen Gully2623:5218
14Dandenong ThunderDandenong Thunder2623:6515

About the Sunshine Georgies vs South Melbourne forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sunshine Georgies and South Melbourne in the Victoria NPL table

South Melbourne and Sunshine Georgies are close in the Victoria NPL table, 5th and 7th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Sunshine Georgies 35-34, South Melbourne 39-36. The full standings are on the Victoria NPL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Sunshine Georgies and South Melbourne have met only 1 time recently, with 4.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.