Preston Lions vs South Melbourne Prediction

Genis Steel Stadium, Melbourne 26/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
5.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.32
SignalGOODModel54%SurpriseMediumGap-1.7%
Preston Lions Rest
4 days
South Melbourne Rest
3 days

Preston Lions vs South Melbourne: the result in context

South Melbourne beat Preston Lions 2-1 in the Australia Cup on 26 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 4 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%2.05
X
24%3.56
2
22%3.15
Double Chance
1X
78%1.32
X2
46%1.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.55
No
56%2.28
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.18
Over 2.5
39%1.65
Over 3.5
19%2.59
Under 1.5
37%4.10
Under 2.5
61%2.12
Under 3.5
81%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

37'O. Kubilay
42'L. Brooks ING. Albano out
48'C. CubaAssist: Z. Cianci
58'T. Giannakopoulos
60'J. Painter-Andrews
76'N. Bonada
83'S. Nigro INM. Bozinovski out
83'N. Bonada IND. Lazarevski out
86'A. CocksAssist: Y. Uchida
90+1'B. Juach INJ. Swibel out
90+1'A. Cocks INJ. Lampard out
90+1'D. Folino INJ. Romero out
90+1'C. Cuba ING. Mihailidis out
90+4'D. Yoo INM. Mikkola out

Team Comparison

Preston LionsPreston Lions
South MelbourneSouth Melbourne
1579Elo Rating 1569
0.58Attack 1.39
1.62Defense 2.63
0%Hit Rate 61%

Game State Tendencies

Preston LionsPreston Lions
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
South MelbourneSouth Melbourne
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Preston LionsPreston Lions1Wins · 25%
Draws125%
South MelbourneSouth Melbourne2Wins · 50%
2.0Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored1 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Victoria NPL18/07/2026
South MelbournePreston Lions
00
Victoria NPL11/04/2026
Preston LionsSouth Melbourne
03
Victoria NPL15/06/2025
South MelbournePreston Lions
21
Victoria NPL07/03/2025
Preston LionsSouth Melbourne
20

Recent Form

Preston LionsPreston Lions
7W3D0L
22/08/2026
Dandenong CityPreston Lions
00
D
16/08/2026
Preston LionsDandenong Thunder
30
W
12/08/2026
Brunswick Juventus FCPreston Lions
14
W
31/07/2026
Preston LionsGreen Gully
22
D
24/07/2026
Preston LionsBentleigh Greens
10
W
21/07/2026
Preston LionsNewcastle Jets
32
W
18/07/2026
South MelbournePreston Lions
00
D
10/07/2026
Preston LionsHume City
21
W
04/07/2026
AvondalePreston Lions
23
W
27/06/2026
Sunshine GeorgiesPreston Lions
02
W
South MelbourneSouth Melbourne
7W1D2L
23/08/2026
South MelbourneHeidelberg United
12
L
15/08/2026
Melbourne City IISouth Melbourne
03
W
09/08/2026
South MelbourneFremantle City
3313
W
02/08/2026
South MelbourneSt. Albans Saints
20
W
30/07/2026
South MelbourneAdelaide United
21
W
24/07/2026
Oakleigh CannonsSouth Melbourne
12
W
18/07/2026
South MelbournePreston Lions
00
D
10/07/2026
Dandenong CitySouth Melbourne
02
W
05/07/2026
South MelbourneDandenong Thunder
10
W
28/06/2026
South MelbourneGreen Gully
12
L

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
APIA Leichhardt Tigers2
Peninsula Power1
Marlin Coast0
Brunswick Juventus FC4
FK Beograd2
North Sunshine Eagles3
Preston Lions3
Newcastle Jets2
Lions04
Perth Glory02
On penalties
Cumberland United0
Heidelberg United3
Bayswater City1
Sydney5
Cooma Tigers FC0
Western Sydney Wanderers2
Uni Azzurri0
Macarthur3
Weston Bears0
Melbourne City3
Kingborough Lions0
Melbourne Victory4
South Melbourne2
Adelaide United1
Sydney Olympic0
Brisbane Roar3
Western Sydney Wanderers02
Melbourne Victory03
On penalties
Brisbane Roar2
Sydney4
South Melbourne33
Fremantle City31
On penalties
Lions2
Melbourne City0
SD Raiders05
Macarthur03
On penalties
APIA Leichhardt Tigers13
Sydney United12
On penalties
Brunswick Juventus FC1
Preston Lions4
North Sunshine Eagles04
Heidelberg United03
On penalties
SD Raiders0
Sydney1
APIA Leichhardt Tigers00
Melbourne Victory01
After extra time
Lions4
North Sunshine Eagles0
Sydney0
Melbourne Victory2
South Melbourne3
Lions1
SD Raiders0
Sydney1
APIA Leichhardt Tigers00
Melbourne Victory01
After extra time
Lions4
North Sunshine Eagles0

About the Preston Lions vs South Melbourne forecast

As a knockout tie in the Australia Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Australia Cup

More Australia Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the Australia Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.