Sydney United vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction

Sydney United
1-1
After Penalties
HT 0-0AET 0-0PEN 11-10
Central Coast Mariners
Sydney United Sports Centre, Sydney 22/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.5 / 10
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.42
SignalGOODModel34%SurpriseHighGap+9.1%
Sydney United Rest
3 days
Central Coast Mariners Rest
88 days

Sydney United vs Central Coast Mariners: result, form and history

Sydney United beat Central Coast Mariners on penalties (11-10) after a 1-1 draw in the Australia Cup on 22 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Sydney United had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Central Coast Mariners.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%2.29
X
22%3.58
2
29%2.62
Double Chance
1X
71%1.42
X2
51%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%1.43
No
55%2.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.12
Over 2.5
39%1.47
Over 3.5
19%2.21
Under 1.5
36%5.00
Under 2.5
61%2.38
Under 3.5
81%1.59
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

56'O. O'Carroll INH. Steele out
58'T. Wada INK. Farah out
59'O. LavaleAssist: B. Brandtman
69'L. McGing
72'J. Cop INT. Ozanic out
79'A. De Lima INJ. Mantell out
79'B. Brandtman INL. Becvinovski out
80'S. Roux
83'L. McGing INM. Krslovic out
85'J. Mantell
88'N. McCann
90'M. Krslovic(Penalty)

Extra Time0 - 0

91'L. Jennings INM. Glassock out
91'S. Mutokoyi INC. McCaskey out
106'B. Rule ING. Tilo out
112'M. Wells INK. Cimenti out

Penalty Shootout11 - 10

1C. De Oliveira(Penalty)
1L. Becvinovski(Penalty)
2K. Cimenti(Penalty)
2H. Steele(Penalty)
3M. Krslovic(Penalty)
3O. Lavale(Penalty)
4G. Tilo(Penalty)
4C. Donnell(Penalty)
5K. Farah(Penalty)
5A. Auglah(Penalty)
6M. Glassock(Penalty)
6L. Mauragis(Penalty)
7D. Rose(Penalty)
7J. Mantell(Penalty)
8A. Vlastelica(Penalty)
8A. Redmayne(Penalty)
9K. Nakano(Penalty)
9S. Roux(Penalty)
10T. Ozanic(Penalty)
10N. McCann(Penalty)
11A. Pavlesic(Penalty)
11C. McCaskey(Penalty missed)

Team Comparison

Sydney UnitedSydney United
Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast Mariners
1623Elo Rating 1490
2.42Attack 0.79
2.14Defense 1.15
50%Hit Rate 14%
-Shots per Game 10.5
-Shots on Target 3.6
-Corners per Game 2.0
-Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+133 Elo
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sydney UnitedSydney United
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast Mariners
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Sydney UnitedSydney United
5W2D3L
19/07/2026
Marconi StallionsSydney United
01
W
12/07/2026
Sydney UnitedRockdale City Suns
10
W
05/07/2026
Blacktown CitySydney United
00
D
26/06/2026
Sydney FC U23Sydney United
10
L
21/06/2026
Sydney UnitedSD Raiders
10
W
12/06/2026
Manly UnitedSydney United
11
D
06/06/2026
Western Sydney Wanderers U23Sydney United
02
W
31/05/2026
Sydney UnitedSutherland Sharks
01
L
23/05/2026
UNSWSydney United
20
L
16/05/2026
St. George SaintsSydney United
13
W
Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast Mariners
3W4D3L
25/04/2026
Newcastle JetsCentral Coast Mariners
40
L
19/04/2026
AucklandCentral Coast Mariners
01
W
10/04/2026
Central Coast MarinersBrisbane Roar
22
D
07/04/2026
Melbourne CityCentral Coast Mariners
21
L
04/04/2026
Central Coast MarinersPerth Glory
22
D
21/03/2026
Melbourne VictoryCentral Coast Mariners
41
L
14/03/2026
Central Coast MarinersAdelaide United
11
D
04/03/2026
MacarthurCentral Coast Mariners
13
W
28/02/2026
Central Coast MarinersNewcastle Jets
00
D
22/02/2026
Central Coast MarinersWestern Sydney Wanderers
32
W

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
APIA Leichhardt Tigers2
Peninsula Power1
Marlin Coast0
Brunswick Juventus FC4
FK Beograd2
North Sunshine Eagles3
Preston Lions3
Newcastle Jets2
Lions04
Perth Glory02
On penalties
Cumberland United0
Heidelberg United3
Bayswater City1
Sydney5
Cooma Tigers FC0
Western Sydney Wanderers2
Uni Azzurri0
Macarthur3
Weston Bears0
Melbourne City3
Kingborough Lions0
Melbourne Victory4
South Melbourne2
Adelaide United1
Sydney Olympic0
Brisbane Roar3
Western Sydney Wanderers02
Melbourne Victory03
On penalties
Brisbane Roar2
Sydney4
South Melbourne33
Fremantle City31
On penalties
Lions2
Melbourne City0
SD Raiders05
Macarthur03
On penalties
APIA Leichhardt Tigers13
Sydney United12
On penalties
Brunswick Juventus FC1
Preston Lions4
North Sunshine Eagles04
Heidelberg United03
On penalties
SD Raiders0
Sydney1
APIA Leichhardt Tigers00
Melbourne Victory01
After extra time
Lions4
North Sunshine Eagles0
Sydney0
Melbourne Victory2
South Melbourne3
Lions1
APIA Leichhardt Tigers2
Peninsula Power1
Marlin Coast0
Brunswick Juventus FC4
FK Beograd2
North Sunshine Eagles3
Preston Lions3
Newcastle Jets2
Lions04
Perth Glory02
On penalties
Cumberland United0
Heidelberg United3
Bayswater City1
Sydney5
Cooma Tigers FC0
Western Sydney Wanderers2
Uni Azzurri0
Macarthur3
Weston Bears0
Melbourne City3
Kingborough Lions0
Melbourne Victory4
South Melbourne2
Adelaide United1
Sydney Olympic0
Brisbane Roar3

About the Sydney United vs Central Coast Mariners forecast

As a knockout tie in the Australia Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Australia Cup

More Australia Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the Australia Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Sydney United have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Sydney United and Central Coast Mariners have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.